Bitter-Meaning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 08-28 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

43% 100% +$0

Other

27% 98% -$155

Crypto

13% 41% -$136

Politics

13% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$0	04-02 07:35
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$161	81	81	+0	No	+$1	01-30 01:41
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	3	$156	400	0	+400	No	-$156	02-21 08:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	01-29 10:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$78	79	0	+79	Yes	+$0	01-29 10:31
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	01-29 10:34
bitcoin up or down february 22 5am et	2	$54	110	0	+110	Up	-$54	02-22 10:08
bitcoin up or down february 22 4am et	3	$49	100	0	+100	Up	-$49	02-22 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:30 UTC	1	$24	50	0	+50	Up	-$24	02-22 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:45 UTC	2	$24	50	0	+50	Up	-$24	02-22 10:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	3	$23	50	0	+50	Down	+$27	02-22 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:15 UTC	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	-$15	02-22 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:35 UTC	2	$15	30	0	+30	Up	-$15	02-22 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	1	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$15	02-22 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:25 UTC	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	-$15	02-22 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	3	$15	30	0	+30	Up	-$15	02-22 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:00 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	02-22 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-29 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 06:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on July 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-09 03:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:55 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	02-22 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:15 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	02-22 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:10 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	02-22 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:20 UTC	4	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	02-22 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:15 UTC	1	$9	20	0	+20	Down	+$11	02-22 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 07:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5215a0…
08-28 07:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x723a99…
08-28 06:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe33047…
07-25 06:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x195721…
07-25 06:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c1dcf…
07-25 06:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd16a72…
07-17 08:53:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x162408…
07-17 08:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x773944…
07-17 08:49:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47ba45…
07-09 03:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c3567…
07-09 03:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaccb7c…
07-09 03:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ac553…
07-09 03:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80510c…
07-08 02:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb95f7…
07-08 02:43:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x384b86…
07-08 02:43:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on July 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd54902…
07-07 03:53:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on July 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb54e04…
07-07 03:51:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81f41b…
07-07 03:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x67e6a7…
07-06 03:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87d1bd…
07-06 03:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4bf3b1…
07-06 03:42:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a4569…
07-06 03:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96330…
07-06 03:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3792fb…
07-06 03:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc9b96e…
07-02 09:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x052a28…
07-02 09:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x42c097…
07-02 09:29:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1c4bf…
07-02 09:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1f1ccd…
07-02 09:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6845c6…
07-02 09:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6453cd…
07-01 04:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xddbb1f…
07-01 04:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3a29aa…
07-01 04:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf528ce…
06-30 08:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2955ba…
06-29 07:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x154730…
06-29 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe207e8…
06-29 07:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2465e9…
06-23 07:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x708c7f…
06-23 07:24:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe966b2…
06-23 07:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea2611…
06-22 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff953e…
06-22 09:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2af8f1…
06-22 09:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbebad1…
06-22 09:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70ec32…
06-22 09:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9cb50c…
06-22 09:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39e531…
06-18 06:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x52ba18…
06-18 06:52:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55a4ec…
06-18 06:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd97663…
06-17 06:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x129bc3…
06-17 06:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8782b…
06-17 06:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x705ea8…
06-16 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec5fd3…
06-16 08:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4c70d…
06-16 08:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa8e588…
06-16 08:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078cc2…
06-16 08:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x76a1f6…
06-12 07:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf50a91…
06-12 07:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85c9cd…
06-12 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58bae8…
05-19 10:03:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x875ed8…
05-19 10:03:13	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf7dfb…
04-02 07:35:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	525	97¢	$507	0x7ecf74…
04-01 09:22:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	477	97¢	$461	0x5435b0…
04-01 09:11:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xd8e799…
02-22 10:46:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0xd22dca…
02-22 10:46:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x54bb7c…
02-22 10:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x74740d…
02-22 10:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x30a1db…
02-22 10:08:52	bitcoin up or down february 22 5am et	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x206c89…
02-22 10:08:02	bitcoin up or down february 22 5am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x5cc9ee…
02-22 09:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xacb0e6…
02-22 09:44:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xac2a64…
02-22 09:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6deb9f…
02-22 09:44:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x06f811…
02-22 08:58:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x381016…
02-22 08:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xc6187d…
02-22 08:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xadbc97…
02-22 08:54:46	bitcoin up or down february 22 4am et	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x938908…
02-22 08:49:56	bitcoin up or down february 22 4am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xb4827f…
02-22 08:40:06	bitcoin up or down february 22 4am et	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x5cc896…
02-22 08:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8482d0…
02-22 08:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x37d42e…
02-22 08:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x56b2a5…
02-22 08:28:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa2bfd2…
02-22 08:27:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x840a5f…
02-22 08:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe49dd0…
02-22 08:21:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91132d…
02-22 08:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6a56d5…
02-22 08:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9058d3…
02-22 08:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7d62b5…
02-22 08:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x034f7b…
02-22 08:14:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x317334…
02-22 08:12:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc003a4…
02-22 08:07:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x26c4f2…
02-21 08:03:36	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	374	39¢	$146	0x1718a1…
02-21 08:02:56	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x83effe…
02-21 08:02:52	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x972097…
01-30 01:41:36	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x79087c…