Legal-Middleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

309

Trades

916

lifetime

Volume

$68.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-15 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

54% 61% -$1,507

Politics

36% 44% -$44

Sports

10% 63% +$102

Tech

1% 0% -$33

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	35	$6.8K	3,696	3,696	+0	Yes	+$8	01-30 04:19
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	52	$5.7K	3,275	3,275	+0	No	+$11	01-14 14:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	34	$5.1K	2,822	2,622	+200	No	+$12	01-30 18:52
odds of gov shutdown over 90 on friday night	52	$4.9K	2,423	2,830	-407	Yes	-$46	01-31 03:13
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	36	$4.2K	3,620	3,620	+0	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-$71	03-22 01:22
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	21	$2.2K	0	4,400	-4,400	No	-$2	02-25 03:13
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	8	$2.0K	1,840	1,840	+0	Duke Blue Devils	+$0	03-28 00:46
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	25	$1.5K	1,000	1,049	-49	No	-$62	01-14 17:01
cbb yale harvrd 2026 02 14	3	$1.5K	737	737	+0	Yale Bulldogs	+$7	02-15 01:43
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	13	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	-$15	02-03 03:01
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	01-30 12:38
Will the US strike Somalia next?	25	$1.2K	670	770	-100	Yes	-$17	02-02 07:09
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	39	$1.2K	0	2,400	-2,400	Yes	-$2	02-27 03:27
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	8	$1.1K	650	650	+0	No	+$2	02-01 05:33
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 04:10
5 days gov shutdown odds 50 monday night 12 1 am	22	$1.1K	565	565	+0	No	-$1	02-03 03:09
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	18	$991	651	651	+0	Yes	+$267	09-15 22:40
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	2	$980	508	508	+0	Pacers	+$25	02-11 03:30
will donald trumps tie be blue	11	$970	500	500	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	8	$791	0	1,600	-1,600	No	-$9	03-01 02:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	6	$768	450	450	+0	No	-$7	01-18 12:11
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	5	$760	400	400	+0	No	+$0	02-02 12:31
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	3	$756	877	0	+877	Yes	-$756	04-22 20:07
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	3	$676	230	530	-300	No	-$43	02-22 02:37
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	4	$600	0	1,200	-1,200	Yes	+$0	02-16 02:55
zuffa ajagb marti 2026 02 15	11	$479	220	311	-91	Ajagba	+$1	02-16 03:33
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	6	$443	351	199	+151	Patriots	+$48	01-18 23:05
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	14	$411	1,005	1,000	+5	Arizona Wildcats	-$51	03-29 01:13
spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	14	$402	400	400	+0	Down	-$50	02-20 12:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	6	$400	0	800	-800	No	+$0	03-04 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 22:40:21	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	99¢	$373	0x7cf1c2…
09-15 15:00:34	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6e7710…
09-15 14:58:39	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	93¢	$256	0x8dff9b…
09-15 11:52:57	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	91¢	$125	0xe88432…
09-14 16:02:51	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x21c185…
09-14 15:57:12	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6d6fe8…
09-14 15:54:48	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf05f05…
09-14 15:54:39	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd99222…
09-14 15:54:21	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xb40025…
08-29 15:30:31	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	TCU	BUY	52	74¢	$39	0x6059fb…
08-29 10:41:45	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc4c3ec…
08-24 14:24:37	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x20940e…
08-24 13:38:33	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0xed0743…
08-24 13:27:25	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xf8613c…
06-09 18:53:40	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0x4132ea…
06-08 17:39:10	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x91ff70…
06-06 18:16:49	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	98	28¢	$27	0x4db1e4…
06-06 17:53:57	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0x93d6a7…
06-05 16:45:03	mlb bal tor 2026 06 05	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2a3eb7…
06-05 16:44:33	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	Chicago Cubs	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0e0c1e…
06-04 14:14:39	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x4e6b0e…
06-03 17:01:24	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe0aa82…
06-03 17:00:58	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6fa368…
06-03 17:00:31	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x54869b…
06-03 14:52:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9f2f68…
06-03 01:01:35	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x075f7c…
06-02 12:30:36	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0x4d85c0…
06-02 10:20:57	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x598206…
06-01 23:21:04	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	62	21¢	$13	0x048751…
06-01 16:54:27	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe27465…
06-01 16:53:38	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xdd8733…
06-01 16:53:09	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x7af2a6…
05-31 16:09:58	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5596af…
05-31 16:09:38	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7c8816…
05-31 16:09:14	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x51b733…
05-31 16:08:55	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc684ec…
05-30 23:18:29	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x7977d2…
05-30 22:47:24	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	93	67¢	$62	0xb1b9e2…
05-30 17:24:37	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2dc3a5…
05-30 17:24:19	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1deeea…
05-30 17:22:53	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x54a180…
05-30 01:20:34	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0xe09ea0…
05-29 20:27:18	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xf311b2…
05-29 20:01:43	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x34e24e…
05-29 17:11:54	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x8ccb3a…
05-29 16:54:02	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x3e9cf3…
05-29 16:26:56	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0530d9…
05-29 16:00:29	Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbaa8a6…
05-28 23:54:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5edf2a…
05-28 19:30:21	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x458766…
05-28 16:54:18	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x374b41…
05-28 16:54:02	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb89e21…
05-28 14:24:34	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc1c37a…
05-28 13:15:35	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0x18d68c…
05-28 12:32:55	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xefb738…
05-27 17:01:36	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0x1a7d9b…
05-27 16:59:44	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x817496…
05-27 16:59:15	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xed522f…
05-27 16:54:38	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x7f9e2b…
05-27 16:53:54	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8947ef…
05-27 16:53:14	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x414622…
05-27 12:01:27	Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Hailey Baptiste	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x880d9e…
05-27 12:01:06	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xee4d61…
05-26 17:36:12	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x52cca2…
05-26 17:34:01	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2453dd…
05-26 17:33:33	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x41b433…
05-26 17:32:52	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfc08a4…
05-26 17:32:40	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4de041…
05-24 15:05:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd3e7e5…
05-24 15:05:38	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9cb827…
05-24 15:05:21	Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x277bbe…
05-24 15:03:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf7b3cd…
05-24 15:02:27	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xacc14a…
05-24 15:01:52	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdf2c48…
05-24 14:21:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8901c9…
05-24 14:21:08	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfedea7…
05-22 17:09:48	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	Chicago White Sox	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e9845…
05-22 17:08:45	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdf43a3…
05-22 17:08:22	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb94659…
05-22 17:07:45	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x92bac4…
05-22 17:06:12	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x196868…
05-22 01:32:10	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x98723b…
05-22 01:28:39	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xf7abde…
05-22 01:27:29	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd668d1…
05-22 01:27:22	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xb35896…
05-22 01:20:13	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x4533c7…
05-21 18:56:42	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa7c4b3…
05-21 18:11:40	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xbd50fb…
05-21 17:26:03	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0x961eed…
05-21 16:45:22	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd3622b…
05-21 16:44:33	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xffb657…
05-21 16:43:54	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9e78e7…
05-21 10:47:26	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x522846…
05-21 10:17:13	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x067a53…
05-21 10:17:06	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xff0fd6…
05-21 10:13:13	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x05813a…
05-21 10:11:33	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xee2c7c…
05-21 10:11:23	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x0a9229…
05-21 10:10:51	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x0fb531…
05-20 16:49:31	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc8541c…