Cautious-Toreador — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

34,333

Trades

98,492

lifetime

Volume

$988.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$118

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-28 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$17,965

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 3423 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	—	+120	$114	98¢	$118	+$4	10-28 15:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	130	$3.3K	4,915	1,422	+3,493	Down	-$151	10-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	148	$3.0K	4,423	1,176	+3,248	Up	+$141	10-09 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	119	$3.0K	4,544	1,424	+3,120	Down	+$31	10-09 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	200	$2.9K	5,398	0	+5,398	Down	-$177	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	191	$2.7K	3,824	824	+3,000	Down	-$163	10-16 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	106	$2.5K	3,810	946	+2,864	Up	-$515	10-09 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,691	1,055	+2,636	Up	-$242	10-08 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	88	$2.3K	3,468	1,308	+2,160	Down	-$360	10-02 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	129	$2.3K	5,037	0	+5,037	Down	+$194	10-24 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	66	$2.3K	3,803	973	+2,830	Down	+$222	10-10 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	42	$2.3K	5,040	0	+5,040	Up	+$66	10-25 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	122	$2.3K	3,964	850	+3,113	Down	+$10	10-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	140	$2.2K	3,985	985	+3,000	Up	+$460	10-07 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	85	$2.1K	3,664	540	+3,124	Down	+$264	10-11 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	46	$2.1K	2,754	597	+2,157	Up	-$89	10-04 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	76	$2.1K	3,243	760	+2,483	Down	+$26	10-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	64	$2.0K	2,156	608	+1,548	Down	-$314	10-05 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	113	$2.0K	3,597	0	+3,597	Up	-$218	10-16 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	149	$2.0K	2,886	732	+2,155	Down	-$262	10-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	63	$1.9K	4,320	0	+4,320	Down	-$108	10-25 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	75	$1.9K	2,752	832	+1,920	Down	-$601	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	71	$1.9K	3,192	887	+2,304	Down	+$223	10-02 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	74	$1.9K	2,680	375	+2,305	Up	-$419	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	143	$1.9K	2,857	543	+2,314	Down	-$216	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	88	$1.8K	2,979	675	+2,305	Down	+$246	10-05 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	114	$1.8K	2,682	522	+2,160	Up	-$181	10-10 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	80	$1.7K	2,845	400	+2,445	Down	+$264	10-05 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	80	$1.7K	2,636	0	+2,636	Up	-$377	10-17 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	49	$1.7K	3,251	0	+3,251	Up	-$48	10-17 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	76	$1.7K	2,487	433	+2,055	Down	-$98	10-12 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xa49c78…
10-28 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb17079…
10-28 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfa1346…
10-28 15:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x60dd5f…
10-28 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdd9209…
10-28 15:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa28ca…
10-28 15:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x7c4c2f…
10-28 15:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab4c2c…
10-28 14:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4ebde4…
10-28 14:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x46ce3e…
10-28 14:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x91fb23…
10-28 14:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8db3c0…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf8a384…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb737f6…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x4beb65…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x32325f…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x129886…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x06d662…
10-28 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x05cdb0…
10-28 14:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x4cb927…
10-28 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x51da69…
10-28 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e0a41…
10-28 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xc7d557…
10-28 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x956c83…
10-28 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x74ef18…
10-28 13:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x40520b…
10-28 13:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9bcd28…
10-28 13:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc01079…
10-28 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0xaa6649…
10-28 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xcca25d…
10-28 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xa99c28…
10-28 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x06b155…
10-28 13:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x772145…
10-28 13:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3e307e…
10-28 13:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xcf35c9…
10-28 13:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0x9d0dfd…
10-28 13:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x284ad9…
10-28 13:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x31b301…
10-28 13:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9a971…
10-28 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4a9bb7…
10-28 13:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xc29b04…
10-28 13:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe42884…
10-28 13:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc7ea84…
10-28 13:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x65300a…
10-28 13:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x24086c…
10-28 13:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x329266…
10-28 13:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc3a0aa…
10-28 13:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5aaab3…
10-28 13:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7451f1…
10-28 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdc50a0…
10-28 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x60f6de…
10-28 12:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x4cb07d…
10-28 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xa84009…
10-28 12:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0x8bb0f4…
10-28 12:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa874c5…
10-28 12:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2c5f8e…
10-28 12:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x96672e…
10-28 12:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x35a600…
10-28 12:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x38cb7f…
10-28 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcd477c…
10-28 12:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e1bf8…
10-28 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0xa42e23…
10-28 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x86e0ed…
10-28 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x3a9ea7…
10-28 12:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x13ea78…
10-28 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x754436…
10-28 12:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x12e8ac…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	99	16¢	$16	0xdf896b…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xbe3f3d…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x597207…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x29ab44…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x1da015…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0xfce8d5…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xfbb00a…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xf3eb7d…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb2f3c4…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xb2c1b3…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9a3fd1…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x8f5157…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0x8a970c…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x7d9f13…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52db5e…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x449e7a…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0x276224…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x25b98d…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x202796…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x1daf80…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x11f654…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x0d8474…
10-28 12:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4271ec…
10-28 11:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x0b4f26…
10-28 11:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xfc6c44…
10-28 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1f3f9…
10-28 11:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0x3d531c…
10-28 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfd2162…
10-28 11:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9b2603…
10-28 11:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbd686c…
10-28 11:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a2cfd…
10-28 11:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x272aab…
10-28 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb252f8…