Cautious-Toreador — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

34,085

Trades

97,588

lifetime

Volume

$976.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-27 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$17,645

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 3423 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	130	$3.3K	4,915	1,422	+3,493	Down	-$151	10-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	148	$3.0K	4,423	1,176	+3,248	Up	+$141	10-09 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	119	$3.0K	4,544	1,424	+3,120	Down	+$31	10-09 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	200	$2.9K	5,398	0	+5,398	Down	-$177	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	191	$2.7K	3,824	824	+3,000	Down	-$163	10-16 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	106	$2.5K	3,810	946	+2,864	Up	-$515	10-09 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,691	1,055	+2,636	Up	-$242	10-08 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	88	$2.3K	3,468	1,308	+2,160	Down	-$360	10-02 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	129	$2.3K	5,037	0	+5,037	Down	+$194	10-24 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	66	$2.3K	3,803	973	+2,830	Down	+$222	10-10 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	42	$2.3K	5,040	0	+5,040	Up	+$66	10-25 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	122	$2.3K	3,964	850	+3,113	Down	+$10	10-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	140	$2.2K	3,985	985	+3,000	Up	+$460	10-07 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	85	$2.1K	3,664	540	+3,124	Down	+$264	10-11 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	46	$2.1K	2,754	597	+2,157	Up	-$89	10-04 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	76	$2.1K	3,243	760	+2,483	Down	+$26	10-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	64	$2.0K	2,156	608	+1,548	Down	-$314	10-05 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	113	$2.0K	3,597	0	+3,597	Up	-$218	10-16 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	149	$2.0K	2,886	732	+2,155	Down	-$262	10-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	63	$1.9K	4,320	0	+4,320	Down	-$108	10-25 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	75	$1.9K	2,752	832	+1,920	Down	-$601	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	71	$1.9K	3,192	887	+2,304	Down	+$223	10-02 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	74	$1.9K	2,680	375	+2,305	Up	-$419	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	143	$1.9K	2,857	543	+2,314	Down	-$216	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	88	$1.8K	2,979	675	+2,305	Down	+$246	10-05 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	114	$1.8K	2,682	522	+2,160	Up	-$181	10-10 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	80	$1.7K	2,845	400	+2,445	Down	+$264	10-05 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	80	$1.7K	2,636	0	+2,636	Up	-$377	10-17 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	49	$1.7K	3,251	0	+3,251	Up	-$48	10-17 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	76	$1.7K	2,487	433	+2,055	Down	-$98	10-12 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd220f3…
10-27 09:22:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x64b7d8…
10-27 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbae67e…
10-27 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb2f568…
10-27 09:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5aa4bc…
10-27 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ba49e…
10-27 08:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	81¢	$108	0x0e122d…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x05c3bd…
10-27 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x758c0f…
10-27 08:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c4c6d…
10-27 08:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x01665f…
10-27 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x5c1a57…
10-27 08:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x13e81e…
10-27 08:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd6c85e…
10-27 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x96f260…
10-27 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2a045a…
10-27 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33de28…
10-27 07:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x11ab0b…
10-27 07:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x944888…
10-27 07:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbdf231…
10-27 07:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0385a8…
10-27 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x837663…
10-27 07:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8f7835…
10-27 07:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8298b…
10-27 07:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x659e5c…
10-27 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xed57b2…
10-27 07:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbf4817…
10-27 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4572f8…
10-27 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb6eca5…
10-27 06:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xe5ddee…
10-27 06:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x84c829…
10-27 06:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x27d3a9…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xe3d05a…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xe140ac…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb7d986…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x51836d…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$4	0x32c4f1…
10-27 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x2b06ac…
10-27 06:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xb52a1f…
10-27 06:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x28a987…
10-27 06:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x0bfe81…
10-27 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa57c23…
10-27 06:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf30e4c…
10-27 06:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1b6124…
10-27 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0b5969…
10-27 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x816fd6…
10-27 05:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x08db19…
10-27 05:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x14c4df…
10-27 05:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x24e384…
10-27 05:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x41e0c5…
10-27 05:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x290789…
10-27 05:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf855fe…
10-27 05:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa5bd77…
10-27 05:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0x273caf…
10-27 05:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x89ef93…
10-27 05:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0bb121…
10-27 05:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xee412a…
10-27 05:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x9251c4…
10-27 05:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5dc18b…
10-27 05:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xdf56e6…
10-27 05:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1352f2…
10-27 05:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7d0f71…
10-27 05:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	178	85¢	$151	0x68f854…
10-27 05:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd88c3…
10-27 05:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb3cc0e…
10-27 05:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x9d5be6…
10-27 05:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4f47cb…
10-27 05:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x276cfe…
10-27 04:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x85366d…
10-27 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x99f18a…
10-27 04:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd93f17…
10-27 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x3885bc…
10-27 04:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x25e87a…
10-27 04:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc045f9…
10-27 04:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0x32f8bc…
10-27 04:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0x80ca99…
10-27 04:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfb6fff…
10-27 04:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	144	26¢	$37	0x9d7e1d…
10-27 04:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	144	62¢	$89	0xbf5776…
10-27 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	175	27¢	$47	0xda97f4…
10-27 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x18ec11…
10-27 04:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x635229…
10-27 03:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x100185…
10-27 03:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a5aee…
10-27 03:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3a467e…
10-27 03:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	112	82¢	$92	0x3c0d55…
10-27 03:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0x810677…
10-27 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x8e3a05…
10-27 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x1711fe…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x94fadd…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	51¢	$57	0x939275…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8b2949…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x7e3376…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7ceb28…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x640091…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x47c772…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x19e7de…
10-27 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x151f85…
10-27 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd0dfdf…
10-27 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1b5be5…