Likely-Submitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-07 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$11

Politics

19% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$221	223	+223	open	—	05-18 19:01
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 draw	4	$188	200	+200	open	—	04-04 20:57
will spy dip to 730 by june 1 2026	1	$140	141	+141	open	—	06-05 13:49
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	06-07 20:52
will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	1	$138	140	+140	open	—	06-05 11:38
will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	2	$138	139	+139	open	—	06-05 16:27
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	06-04 02:48
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	05-30 02:24
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	1	$135	136	+136	open	—	06-01 00:10
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	05-29 20:36
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	05-27 10:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	05-27 10:58
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	1	$135	139	+139	open	—	06-05 13:51
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	1	$133	134	+134	open	—	05-18 19:46
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$132	133	+133	open	—	05-23 03:09
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?	3	$132	133	+133	open	—	05-22 19:51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$131	133	+133	No	+$1	05-08 19:44
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$131	132	+132	open	—	05-19 18:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$131	131	+131	No	+$0	05-08 17:34
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$131	131	+131	open	—	05-16 23:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$130	131	+131	open	—	05-15 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$129	130	+130	No	+$1	05-08 17:08
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	1	$129	131	+131	No	+$1	05-07 19:44
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$129	130	+130	open	—	05-10 09:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$129	132	+132	No	+$2	05-08 19:32
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$129	130	+130	Alexander Volkov	+$1	05-10 03:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$129	130	+130	open	—	05-11 19:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$129	130	+130	No	+$1	05-10 21:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$129	130	+130	No	+$1	05-07 23:08
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$129	130	+130	open	—	05-11 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 20:52:10	Spread: Morocco (-2.5)	Norway	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x3a1fed…
06-06 03:43:55	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f1862…
06-05 19:49:12	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5b362a…
06-05 19:49:10	wti closes above 92 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xe2f16c…
06-05 16:27:25	will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x19df34…
06-05 14:12:10	will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x7c87d7…
06-05 13:51:19	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x24c081…
06-05 13:49:55	will spy dip to 730 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x5d77cf…
06-05 11:38:43	will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0xd901cb…
06-04 20:25:03	wti closes above 96 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x89cb54…
06-04 18:46:36	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x775984…
06-04 02:48:22	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x88fedb…
06-03 03:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xcf7579…
06-01 03:25:42	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xe20b37…
06-01 03:25:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfba4ce…
06-01 00:10:13	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xe9beae…
05-31 23:14:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x40fe44…
05-31 22:51:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x5712af…
05-30 02:24:53	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x260896…
05-29 20:36:32	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x3b1fe4…
05-29 15:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x39b237…
05-27 12:26:34	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x8ae1d5…
05-27 10:58:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x72b6d5…
05-27 10:30:34	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x7ba0c5…
05-26 02:21:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x662062…
05-25 03:49:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x4b4e0b…
05-25 03:29:53	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x259b06…
05-23 03:09:17	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x6875b7…
05-22 19:51:10	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x38d38a…
05-22 19:51:07	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb95827…
05-22 19:50:35	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x417bf5…
05-20 19:04:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 20?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x96dfa6…
05-20 11:31:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x4a163b…
05-20 11:27:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x4eb29c…
05-19 19:14:59	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xbbae8a…
05-19 18:47:31	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xae9f4c…
05-18 19:46:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xfa8a0d…
05-18 19:01:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x405cce…
05-18 11:48:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xbfb3d2…
05-17 16:24:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x6ef4be…
05-17 16:11:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$44	0xd67cab…
05-17 16:01:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$45	0xc14f3d…
05-16 23:04:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc6da61…
05-15 14:41:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e09c8…
05-15 14:29:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x4642a0…
05-14 10:49:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd50f5b…
05-14 10:48:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x6b41b4…
05-14 10:45:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x9c8d63…
05-11 21:53:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x04d313…
05-11 19:27:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xe556f0…
05-11 17:13:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xf15f5c…
05-11 11:26:03	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x623735…
05-10 21:50:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x0dde51…
05-10 20:27:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x6d8979…
05-10 09:12:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x00eedb…
05-10 03:19:55	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	93	99¢	$93	0xe644bd…
05-10 03:19:48	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x511dc6…
05-10 03:19:18	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8669bb…
05-10 00:15:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd4c289…
05-08 19:44:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xe3cb6d…
05-08 19:43:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xde5d20…
05-08 19:32:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc08bd4…
05-08 17:34:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x12a3ef…
05-08 17:08:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x650e2a…
05-08 15:19:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa50470…
05-08 14:26:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0xa4afe4…
05-07 23:08:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xf53191…
05-07 19:44:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$129	0xd6f699…
05-06 19:45:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x45f6c8…
05-06 19:21:19	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xed7fcf…
05-06 19:18:38	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x59e5dc…
05-05 23:16:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x5a36fe…
05-05 15:09:10	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0x7c17e6…
05-01 01:19:34	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe77b05…
05-01 01:13:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd9ce8a…
05-01 01:02:20	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xc0ef65…
05-01 00:38:46	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x985798…
05-01 00:38:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x76f36e…
04-30 23:40:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x0f4481…
04-30 19:29:04	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x6d5ac1…
04-30 18:15:30	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x08a823…
04-30 13:52:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x84a738…
04-30 13:52:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47bc6b…
04-30 00:15:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0962c4…
04-29 23:56:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x6139b0…
04-29 23:54:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x09824b…
04-29 23:41:28	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x29a6e5…
04-29 23:37:40	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0afae7…
04-29 23:35:42	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x61ffdc…
04-29 22:08:42	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xf1d784…
04-29 16:33:58	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xa571f4…
04-29 15:56:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x5437b3…
04-29 14:48:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x928bce…
04-28 22:15:30	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc4815d…
04-23 23:54:54	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9f7064…
04-23 22:33:56	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12723b…
04-23 22:09:12	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfbfce5…
04-23 20:49:56	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x167488…
04-23 20:48:58	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf24ee4…
04-23 20:14:32	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x6f6ae9…