Likely-Submitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$207

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

2,273

Trades

4,344

lifetime

Volume

$318.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$647

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-27 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

87% 99% +$216

Politics

8% 98% -$134

Crypto

3% 100% +$57

Sports

1% 100% +$39

Tech

1% 100% +$28

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+220	$219	99¢	$218	-$1	10-26 19:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+216	$215	100¢	$215	$0	10-24 12:16
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+220	$213	97¢	$214	+$1	10-05 00:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	16	$1.4K	788	638	+150	Portugal	+$4	06-17 16:52
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$694	422	282	+140	No	+$2	06-23 11:59
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	2	$440	443	0	+443	No	+$3	08-31 18:13
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	13	$438	225	225	+0	open	—	10-24 11:30
spx up or down on september 3 2026	10	$402	403	0	+403	Up	+$2	09-03 16:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 1?	3	$374	376	0	+376	No	+$2	08-31 22:33
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	4	$357	359	0	+359	Under	+$3	06-17 02:40
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	4	$294	300	0	+300	No	+$6	06-18 01:35
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	3	$283	284	0	+284	Yes	+$1	06-18 00:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$281	283	0	+283	Yes	+$3	06-14 23:06
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 8pt5	2	$275	278	0	+278	Under	+$2	06-16 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	3	$254	255	0	+255	No	+$1	06-28 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?	1	$252	252	0	+252	No	+$1	06-28 04:17
spy closes above 745 on july 16 2026	1	$251	252	0	+252	Yes	+$1	07-16 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?	1	$251	252	0	+252	No	+$1	06-28 05:34
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	3	$250	257	0	+257	France	+$7	07-18 21:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	1	$249	250	0	+250	Under	+$0	07-18 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	4	$249	254	0	+254	Yes	+$4	07-18 13:45
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	3	$249	255	0	+255	Spain	+$5	07-19 04:50
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	1	$249	253	0	+253	No	+$4	07-17 20:27
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?	1	$249	251	0	+251	No	+$2	06-28 04:29
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	1	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	07-18 04:15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	1	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	07-18 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?	3	$249	251	0	+251	No	+$2	06-27 06:00
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?	2	$249	257	0	+257	No	+$8	07-18 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 18?	1	$248	249	0	+249	No	+$1	07-18 18:20
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?	5	$248	254	0	+254	No	+$6	07-07 20:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 3pt5	2	$248	254	0	+254	Argentina	+$6	07-17 14:13
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?	2	$248	254	0	+254	No	+$6	07-07 11:21
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	2	$248	253	0	+253	No	+$5	07-18 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:27:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d3b40…
10-26 23:31:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfe897…
10-26 23:31:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141589…
10-26 23:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb7ef16…
10-26 23:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97ba3f…
10-26 23:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x78d902…
10-26 23:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c836a…
10-26 23:01:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xdce7bb…
10-26 22:22:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95a87d…
10-26 19:08:54	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xc4a81a…
10-26 18:56:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf14a1c…
10-26 18:56:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf32119…
10-26 16:43:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x92e803…
10-26 16:06:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xe06e0d…
10-26 16:06:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xdef324…
10-26 15:48:39	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x2982f6…
10-26 15:34:54	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs ex-6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Sökerorg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4ca06…
10-26 15:21:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xb7b09e…
10-26 12:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$219	0xc1669e…
10-26 09:57:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf203c3…
10-26 02:25:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x97d73e…
10-26 01:55:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0xdbaaf2…
10-26 01:31:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1b1039…
10-26 00:42:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x521f5e…
10-26 00:02:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0xfdc93f…
10-25 23:09:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdb1a83…
10-25 23:08:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xdad368…
10-25 23:07:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	126	99¢	$124	0x5cb8dc…
10-25 23:07:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x97a488…
10-25 21:51:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xe118fd…
10-25 21:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xa0dae3…
10-25 21:05:50	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x224de9…
10-25 21:01:53	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	No	BUY	195	97¢	$189	0x551766…
10-25 19:17:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x74c4a9…
10-25 19:09:44	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	171	97¢	$165	0x9de3d8…
10-25 19:09:27	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	226	96¢	$218	0x66f029…
10-25 19:02:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x44b881…
10-25 18:28:35	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xef8033…
10-25 18:25:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$131	0xf3dcb4…
10-25 18:01:35	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x43cab6…
10-25 18:01:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x01153e…
10-25 17:30:57	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xec2b77…
10-25 15:13:59	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x31958b…
10-25 15:13:26	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x953d79…
10-25 15:12:50	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x76b555…
10-25 14:48:39	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0x47f6b7…
10-25 08:40:29	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x33f2cd…
10-25 08:40:27	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0xb7de4b…
10-25 05:45:56	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5	Under	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0xa41afe…
10-25 02:31:08	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x6fa32d…
10-25 02:30:08	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x809dca…
10-25 02:25:08	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xfa9878…
10-25 02:22:06	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x21ee4f…
10-25 02:20:06	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x076c85…
10-25 00:17:03	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf97331…
10-25 00:00:15	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7734d4…
10-24 23:03:05	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0xcb4a79…
10-24 22:34:14	Michigan State vs. UCLA	UCLA	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x66a3de…
10-24 21:20:53	Will Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeff5de…
10-24 21:20:53	Will Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	217	98¢	$213	0xcfc9b2…
10-24 21:20:50	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0x186551…
10-24 20:45:48	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x520c0c…
10-24 20:40:30	Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0xc8010e…
10-24 20:34:17	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd744e0…
10-24 20:34:17	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x9e4d3a…
10-24 19:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x99ea47…
10-24 19:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x1c090a…
10-24 19:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x160d96…
10-24 18:13:48	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0xeac193…
10-24 17:45:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0xb317ed…
10-24 17:21:15	Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0x7006b9…
10-24 15:42:26	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x76177f…
10-24 15:16:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x972522…
10-24 15:14:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x648787…
10-24 15:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0f68cf…
10-24 15:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x7cd55b…
10-24 13:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3e3916…
10-24 13:45:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa2749e…
10-24 12:16:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x08caf1…
10-24 11:30:21	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	123	97¢	$119	0x4277a1…
10-24 08:45:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0xa50255…
10-24 08:41:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x607ada…
10-24 07:51:54	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xfc02f0…
10-24 03:57:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x49d275…
10-24 03:53:36	Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x4554f4…
10-24 02:21:47	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x8e281c…
10-24 01:29:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x918d18…
10-24 00:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0x19400a…
10-23 22:18:33	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x6caf92…
10-23 22:18:30	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xdfe21c…
10-23 22:04:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x16351a…
10-23 21:45:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0eb169…
10-23 19:33:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x748e76…
10-23 18:02:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb2317b…
10-23 17:44:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x04504c…
10-23 17:11:27	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x920f2a…
10-23 15:55:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b5c65…
10-23 15:54:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68bc6b…
10-23 15:52:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x515e8d…
10-23 15:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x2ead0c…