Likely-Submitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

973

lifetime

Volume

$66.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 08-09 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

82% 100% +$11

Politics

12% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	16	$1.4K	788	638	+150	open	—	06-17 16:52
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	4	$357	359	0	+359	open	—	06-17 02:40
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	4	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	06-18 01:35
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	3	$283	284	0	+284	open	—	06-18 00:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$281	283	0	+283	open	—	06-14 23:06
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 8pt5	2	$275	278	0	+278	open	—	06-16 14:15
spy closes above 745 on july 16 2026	1	$251	252	0	+252	open	—	07-16 19:50
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	3	$250	257	0	+257	open	—	07-18 21:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	1	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	07-18 23:42
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	3	$249	255	0	+255	open	—	07-19 04:50
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	1	$249	253	0	+253	open	—	07-17 20:27
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 3pt5	2	$248	254	0	+254	open	—	07-17 14:13
will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026 534	4	$248	257	0	+257	open	—	07-17 18:39
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 6pt5	1	$248	250	0	+250	open	—	06-28 01:48
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	1	$247	249	0	+249	open	—	07-18 07:51
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$247	248	0	+248	open	—	06-26 11:13
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	2	$247	250	0	+250	open	—	06-26 20:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	1	$247	248	0	+248	open	—	06-26 16:59
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	1	$247	247	0	+247	open	—	06-26 06:01
Bill Gates charged by June 30?	1	$247	247	0	+247	open	—	06-26 06:01
spx up or down on july 16 2026	5	$246	248	0	+248	open	—	07-16 19:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$246	247	0	+247	open	—	06-26 06:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$246	247	0	+247	open	—	07-15 02:33
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 8pt5	1	$246	246	0	+246	open	—	07-06 10:15
spy up or down on july 6 2026	3	$246	248	0	+248	open	—	07-06 16:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$246	246	0	+246	open	—	06-26 04:19
wti up or down on june 26 2026	2	$246	248	0	+248	open	—	06-26 20:32
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 2pt5	2	$245	253	0	+253	open	—	07-15 06:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$245	245	0	+245	open	—	06-26 00:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$245	254	0	+254	open	—	07-15 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:39:16	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x638399…
08-09 18:38:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd8e5c1…
08-09 16:52:54	lol gls pcs 2026 08 09	Project Conquerors	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7c26b5…
08-09 16:50:33	lol gls pcs 2026 08 09	Project Conquerors	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0e6a7…
08-08 00:40:57	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x86f88d…
08-07 23:57:54	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x698f94…
08-07 23:52:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0xc5aa47…
08-07 23:17:24	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x95d8f8…
08-07 22:32:31	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x179c4f…
08-07 21:48:22	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5cf581…
08-07 07:59:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xf97af3…
08-07 07:31:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67d112…
08-07 07:31:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x634366…
08-07 07:13:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4e9258…
08-07 07:13:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32984e…
08-07 07:07:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc81f04…
08-07 07:06:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe92cf6…
08-07 07:03:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6a8cb…
08-07 06:16:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc108b5…
08-07 06:15:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb4afd…
08-06 13:12:41	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x2faba7…
08-05 20:55:12	wti closes above 73 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedcd5b…
08-05 20:55:11	wti closes above 73 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x999c7c…
08-05 10:44:30	lol dkc nsea 2026 08 05	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x9976e6…
08-05 10:38:57	lol dkc nsea 2026 08 05	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x57ae9c…
08-05 08:52:51	lol dkc nsea 2026 08 05 game1	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f33fd…
08-05 08:50:48	lol dkc nsea 2026 08 05 game1	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x547fc9…
08-04 18:15:38	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa39483…
08-04 18:15:33	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x99b2f2…
08-04 18:15:29	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xdd31e4…
08-04 17:30:27	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xb747fe…
08-04 17:27:26	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	109	98¢	$106	0x4ad60c…
08-04 16:58:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0xbcf740…
08-04 16:43:27	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	91	99¢	$91	0x981ed5…
08-04 16:13:20	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xadaa29…
08-04 16:13:11	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x2b690b…
08-04 16:11:18	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x558f82…
08-04 16:03:42	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd1c610…
08-04 16:03:38	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x63a27b…
08-04 15:18:48	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x6c94ac…
08-03 16:36:30	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	198	99¢	$195	0x4cbc9a…
08-03 16:23:24	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7a061…
08-03 16:22:15	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x0548d5…
08-03 16:19:09	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0x2949f5…
08-03 16:11:18	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11d95e…
08-01 03:49:32	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0xf954a0…
08-01 00:03:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5bef4e…
07-31 19:54:03	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x28c914…
07-31 19:53:59	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	71	97¢	$70	0x42ce4b…
07-31 19:36:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x797973…
07-31 19:36:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x821734…
07-31 19:36:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa8402b…
07-31 18:42:06	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	218	96¢	$210	0xda39a1…
07-31 13:30:33	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xcc8862…
07-31 13:03:59	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	221	97¢	$214	0xabc9b9…
07-31 05:57:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	221	99¢	$218	0x640c74…
07-30 19:34:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xf50733…
07-30 18:47:56	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xd4fe33…
07-30 17:36:53	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xb3e920…
07-30 05:43:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0xef8c99…
07-29 20:03:15	xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1a4f74…
07-29 19:57:05	xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	232	97¢	$225	0x78a5ac…
07-28 20:55:47	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xaa17d5…
07-28 20:14:20	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x339da0…
07-28 19:50:04	spy closes above 745 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x5de5fd…
07-28 17:21:25	wti up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x333c24…
07-28 17:05:43	wti up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x898019…
07-28 16:43:01	arg ros rac 2026 07 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf594f9…
07-28 16:43:01	arg ros rac 2026 07 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	239	98¢	$235	0x53f713…
07-28 16:15:02	will trump say gay or homosexual during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556648	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xda5bef…
07-28 16:11:10	will trump say gay or homosexual during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556648	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x12a8a9…
07-28 16:07:38	will trump say gay or homosexual during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556648	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xae764f…
07-28 15:17:05	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x31f287…
07-28 15:01:32	will trumps remarks not air 20260724170556653	No	BUY	242	98¢	$238	0xdca57e…
07-25 15:58:06	ethereum above 1900 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc414ec…
07-24 23:14:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x643a9c…
07-24 22:01:36	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	241	97¢	$234	0x2e9202…
07-24 20:06:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xb1e62f…
07-24 20:04:45	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xfa8120…
07-24 19:42:40	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24 game1	Sharks	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xa8ddf7…
07-24 19:42:37	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24 game1	Sharks	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4aef2e…
07-24 19:04:37	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc2d7ba…
07-24 17:04:33	will wti reach 100 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0xb1b859…
07-24 16:22:42	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xf03fb6…
07-24 15:39:06	ethereum above 1900 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xa8815b…
07-24 15:15:27	ethereum above 1800 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe2a274…
07-24 13:03:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xba08ae…
07-24 03:08:18	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 23	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe67816…
07-23 23:36:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	142	98¢	$140	0xa8dd27…
07-23 23:30:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xb17551…
07-23 16:22:22	spx up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xa16e32…
07-23 16:14:51	spx up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xba9442…
07-22 16:23:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x7feaa4…
07-22 16:19:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc75d8c…
07-22 15:15:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca86b8…
07-21 18:02:55	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xa14845…
07-21 18:02:55	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x0e4d02…
07-21 18:02:55	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x0bf6c4…
07-21 17:02:43	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98d40e…
07-21 17:02:43	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x1a048d…