Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved
2,288
Trades
4,395
lifetime
Volume
$323.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$2.21K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 10-29 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
86% 99% +$6
Politics
9% 98% -$134
Crypto
3% 100% +$57
Sports
1% 100% +$39
Tech
1% 100% +$28
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +228 $225 100¢ $227 +$2 10-28 00:26
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +225 $220 100¢ $225 +$5 10-27 17:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +223 $220 100¢ $223 +$3 10-28 00:23
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$2 10-28 02:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +223 $219 99¢ $221 +$2 10-27 21:26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +220 $220 100¢ $220 +$0 10-27 10:00
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +220 $219 100¢ $220 +$1 10-26 19:08
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +220 $220 100¢ $219 $0 10-27 20:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +220 $220 100¢ $219 $0 10-27 10:00
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +220 $213 96¢ $211 -$2 10-05 00:15