Half-Advantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$190

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

558

Trades

5,596

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-05 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$190

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 838 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	22	$183	165	165	+0	open	—	05-18 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	29	$142	138	130	+8	open	—	05-19 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	28	$138	140	140	+0	open	—	05-19 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	27	$129	130	120	+10	open	—	05-19 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	48	$124	120	120	+0	open	—	05-18 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	24	$118	110	110	+0	open	—	05-19 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	24	$107	123	110	+13	open	—	05-19 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	25	$101	105	105	+0	open	—	05-19 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	22	$100	99	99	+0	open	—	05-20 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	21	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	23	$88	105	115	-10	Down	$-13	05-07 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	21	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	19	$83	91	90	+1	open	—	05-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	19	$83	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	16	$78	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	16	$77	82	70	+12	open	—	05-19 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	18	$75	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	14	$69	70	70	+0	open	—	05-19 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	14	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	15	$68	70	70	+0	open	—	05-19 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	16	$67	72	70	+2	open	—	05-19 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	13	$67	89	0	+89	Down	+$22	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	24	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	05-18 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	22	$65	79	79	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	12	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	14	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	14	$63	70	70	+0	open	—	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	12	$63	70	50	+20	open	—	05-19 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$61	38	38	+0	open	—	05-18 14:08
btc updown 5m 1780563300	12	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	06-04 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 14:32:18	btc updown 5m 1780669800	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xf21ee3…
06-05 14:30:24	btc updown 5m 1780669800	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x13016e…
06-05 14:28:12	btc updown 5m 1780669500	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8f8c52…
06-05 14:27:51	btc updown 5m 1780669500	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3e394d…
06-05 14:17:52	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0xec60ef…
06-05 14:17:46	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc382a1…
06-05 14:17:03	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xe233e3…
06-05 14:15:24	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x2a749e…
06-05 14:06:39	btc updown 5m 1780668300	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0x35b3d5…
06-05 14:04:24	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xd0d8d1…
06-05 14:04:04	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa31c9c…
06-05 14:04:00	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x6a4f02…
06-05 14:03:57	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0xa96abf…
06-05 14:03:45	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x6c7eb2…
06-05 14:03:33	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xd955d0…
06-05 14:02:15	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x481689…
06-05 14:02:07	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc218d1…
06-05 14:01:33	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x141be4…
06-05 14:00:13	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe44052…
06-05 13:57:04	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x7a090e…
06-05 13:55:19	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe7eecf…
06-05 13:54:45	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd8fbe1…
06-05 13:54:40	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdcb4de…
06-05 11:53:24	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x49aee1…
06-05 11:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x67b7a0…
06-05 11:53:18	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x25f850…
06-05 11:53:09	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0d3a4e…
06-05 11:43:22	btc updown 5m 1780659600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xda7456…
06-05 11:42:24	btc updown 5m 1780659600	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x574165…
06-05 11:24:19	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x49719f…
06-05 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x8765d9…
06-05 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x75a2e7…
06-05 11:23:54	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xf32116…
06-05 11:23:54	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x238c85…
06-05 11:23:36	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb14bd9…
06-05 11:23:34	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x69c587…
06-05 11:23:15	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x21a16c…
06-05 11:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xee5a69…
06-05 11:05:15	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc414d2…
06-05 10:31:31	btc updown 5m 1780655400	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x6d149e…
06-05 10:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780655400	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x85d961…
06-05 10:23:21	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x10d63f…
06-05 10:21:25	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x87c923…
06-05 10:13:27	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x258232…
06-05 10:12:51	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1de2ca…
06-05 10:11:52	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc10cce…
06-05 10:11:45	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbe6cfe…
06-05 10:06:39	btc updown 5m 1780653900	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xc15a32…
06-05 10:05:49	btc updown 5m 1780653900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfddc64…
06-05 10:02:48	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf7428f…
06-05 10:02:09	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x241306…
06-05 10:01:52	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x739241…
06-05 10:01:22	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa80971…
06-05 09:52:19	btc updown 5m 1780653000	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x3f39c4…
06-05 09:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780653000	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e28a3…
06-05 09:46:09	btc updown 5m 1780652700	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa57996…
06-05 09:37:25	btc updown 5m 1780652100	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf5c881…
06-05 09:36:45	btc updown 5m 1780652100	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd0d198…
06-05 09:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x76ba1e…
06-05 09:23:03	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3084c4…
06-05 09:19:51	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x4045d5…
06-05 09:19:13	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa0d107…
06-05 09:18:19	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xea1258…
06-05 09:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf29753…
06-05 09:07:28	btc updown 5m 1780650300	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xb6db52…
06-05 09:06:55	btc updown 5m 1780650300	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe264f7…
06-05 09:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780650000	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcd1d82…
06-05 08:56:46	btc updown 5m 1780649700	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x41ce48…
06-05 08:55:54	btc updown 5m 1780649700	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x22861d…
06-05 08:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780649400	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x94a467…
06-05 08:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780649400	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x099f42…
06-05 08:42:12	btc updown 5m 1780648800	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x851125…
06-05 08:41:21	btc updown 5m 1780648800	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe9207f…
06-05 08:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780648500	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x293300…
06-05 08:37:15	btc updown 5m 1780648500	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbf8c77…
06-05 08:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780648200	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x13f2e4…
06-05 08:31:57	btc updown 5m 1780648200	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x23d1ac…
06-05 08:23:28	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xd3a82c…
06-05 08:22:39	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x76bab3…
06-05 08:16:28	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x126886…
06-05 08:15:48	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x507dd1…
06-05 07:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x555787…
06-05 07:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x87a2b4…
06-05 07:53:40	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xd9e967…
06-05 07:51:46	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xc3f13a…
06-05 07:49:28	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xde69f0…
06-05 07:49:01	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd724c4…
06-05 07:47:48	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5ec398…
06-05 07:47:04	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x22acc2…
06-05 07:44:31	btc updown 5m 1780645200	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x8577b8…
06-05 07:42:04	btc updown 5m 1780645200	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xcafaa9…
06-05 07:37:24	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8050c9…
06-05 07:36:58	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xdcec8b…
06-05 07:33:34	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x8cbff7…
06-05 07:32:34	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x602da6…
06-05 06:53:33	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8a7d66…
06-05 06:53:15	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xbe469f…
06-05 06:43:40	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xb8e48c…
06-05 06:43:18	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x199466…
06-05 06:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe29b59…