Harmless-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$304

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

364

Trades

4,534

lifetime

Volume

$56.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-09 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% $-305

Other

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 645 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 7am et	6	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-25 12:48
btc updown 5m 1773772800	3	$127	153	0	+153	open	—	03-17 18:45
solana up or down march 14 1am et	8	$101	101	101	+0	open	—	03-14 05:22
ethereum up or down march 14 12am et	6	$101	102	102	+0	open	—	03-14 04:41
btc updown 5m 1773036900	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	03-09 06:20
solana up or down march 14 12am et	6	$101	102	102	-0	open	—	03-14 04:41
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	4	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-25 14:20
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 9am et	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-25 14:20
solana up or down march 25 2026 9am et	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-25 14:20
bitcoin up or down march 14 12am et	5	$100	102	101	+1	open	—	03-14 04:41
xrp up or down march 14 12am et	6	$100	102	102	-0	open	—	03-14 04:40
solana up or down march 25 2026 8am et	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-25 13:32
sol updown 5m 1774441800	2	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-25 12:35
sol updown 5m 1773776700	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 19:50
sol updown 15m 1773780300	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 21:00
eth updown 15m 1773780300	5	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 21:01
btc updown 5m 1773034500	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-09 05:40
xrp updown 5m 1773775200	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 19:25
eth updown 15m 1773783000	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 21:45
btc updown 5m 1774386000	2	$98	101	0	+101	open	—	03-24 21:04
btc updown 5m 1774441800	2	$98	101	0	+101	open	—	03-25 12:35
ethereum up or down march 24 2026 5pm et	2	$94	51	50	+0	open	—	03-24 22:43
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	2	$93	51	50	+0	open	—	03-25 19:27
bitcoin up or down march 14 1am et	4	$91	101	100	+1	open	—	03-14 05:17
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	2	$88	51	50	+0	open	—	03-25 13:32
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	9	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	03-25 19:27
btc updown 5m 1773774900	3	$74	92	0	+92	open	—	03-17 19:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$73	1,304	0	+1,304	open	—	03-15 04:30
btc updown 15m 1773464400	2	$73	51	50	+1	open	—	03-14 05:10
sol updown 5m 1774503000	2	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	03-26 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 13:05:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	22¢	$9	0xd00435…
05-09 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xb83f3a…
05-09 13:03:54	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x671f82…
05-09 12:55:44	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x1ba829…
05-09 12:52:44	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x52f5dd…
05-09 12:45:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$9	0xf576ed…
05-09 12:45:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0xc6fdbd…
05-09 12:45:23	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x67ee20…
05-09 12:40:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x625a4e…
05-09 12:40:17	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xd0ce72…
05-09 12:35:14	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x6e1446…
05-09 12:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x208ef6…
05-09 12:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x73eb45…
05-09 12:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x0f5225…
05-09 12:30:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x1aa8bd…
05-09 12:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0xc43700…
05-09 12:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xf2c69a…
05-09 12:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x6c391c…
05-09 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	33¢	$9	0x50800a…
05-09 12:25:21	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x8d78d1…
05-09 12:25:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x51849b…
05-09 12:20:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x9f67d9…
05-09 12:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x72fd02…
05-09 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xc414f0…
05-09 12:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xda77d6…
05-09 12:17:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xc3844d…
05-09 12:15:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x5ae913…
05-09 12:10:25	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0xd9fd9e…
05-09 12:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x0d3dc1…
05-09 12:06:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$9	0x4d24aa…
05-09 12:06:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	34¢	$9	0x394867…
05-09 12:05:31	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xf77599…
05-09 12:05:31	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$9	0x3051c8…
05-09 12:00:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xd8a032…
05-09 11:56:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x0b7c48…
05-09 11:55:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x77ffe8…
05-09 11:50:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0xdf163d…
05-09 11:50:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xb5c636…
05-09 11:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$9	0x525492…
05-09 11:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0xec9f32…
05-09 11:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x324176…
05-09 11:45:44	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xd50e65…
05-09 11:45:44	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x610d55…
05-09 11:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xb2cbff…
05-09 11:40:54	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x851722…
05-09 11:35:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xe90a5a…
05-09 11:35:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x0ea789…
05-09 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x3324c5…
05-09 08:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xdbcaa8…
05-09 08:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xcc9b59…
05-09 08:41:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x022afd…
05-09 08:35:15	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xd151a6…
05-09 08:35:15	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xcd794d…
05-09 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x263814…
05-09 08:35:13	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0x7e0224…
05-09 08:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x5d4941…
05-09 08:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$9	0xf982bf…
05-09 08:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xf7efe2…
05-09 08:30:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0xfba641…
05-09 08:25:25	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xe6f05a…
05-09 08:21:20	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x1d94f1…
05-09 08:20:37	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6f5593…
05-09 08:20:35	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x7af5fb…
05-09 08:17:01	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x674175…
05-09 08:17:00	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xfe9a25…
05-09 08:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x2033f6…
05-09 08:10:21	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x1da62a…
05-09 08:05:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xf5f3e7…
05-09 08:05:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x9066b5…
05-09 08:05:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x792e79…
05-09 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0x01c24f…
05-09 08:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xe071ec…
05-09 08:01:37	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x6e020b…
05-09 08:01:37	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x60bc45…
05-09 08:00:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x0358cb…
05-09 07:56:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0x9c1686…
05-09 07:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xb841fc…
05-09 07:51:20	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$9	0x606fa6…
05-09 07:50:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xb978ca…
05-09 07:50:55	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0x1cc195…
05-09 07:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0xc90387…
05-09 07:45:24	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$9	0xbe32aa…
05-09 07:45:24	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xb00760…
05-09 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x0d3e94…
05-09 07:45:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x181fb9…
05-09 07:40:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x11670d…
05-09 07:35:45	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x15e170…
05-09 07:35:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x5adb6a…
05-09 07:31:14	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x7e8646…
05-09 07:31:12	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0xf7f2ed…
05-09 07:30:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x90f5b9…
05-09 07:25:55	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x8770f4…
05-09 07:21:49	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0xf76345…
05-09 07:21:49	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9b264a…
05-09 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x6e2aef…
05-09 07:15:50	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x318e0b…
05-09 07:15:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xa2db04…
05-09 07:15:18	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x365437…
05-09 07:10:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x0f895e…
05-09 07:10:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$9	0xebac71…