Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-04 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

41% 25% $-3

Crypto

26% 100% +$3

Politics

25% 0% $-4

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774945200	2	$46	38	36	+2	open	—	03-31 08:26
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$40	32	33	-1	open	—	03-29 20:24
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	8	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	04-09 21:29
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	13	$30	39	34	+5	open	—	04-23 07:41
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	04-06 09:40
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-29 20:24
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	6	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	03-30 13:23
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	3	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 01:52
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	13	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	04-14 20:14
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$19	21	21	+0	Yes	$-1	04-23 07:44
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	10	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 16:55
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 08:13
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	8	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 19:51
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	6	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	04-04 00:47
btc updown 5m 1774945800	4	$17	118	0	+118	open	—	03-31 08:32
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-30 08:50
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	10	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	3	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-30 04:35
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-29 20:24
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	8	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 02:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$15	11	11	+0	No	+$2	03-30 20:12
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	7	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	04-01 11:16
houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 10:05
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	8	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 12:43
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	3	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	03-31 08:55
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	5	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	03-30 12:10
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	8	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 02:24
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 06:38
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 05:28
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	8	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 16:55:52	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xdc68d2…
05-04 16:55:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x955eed…
04-23 13:14:32	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa957bd…
04-23 12:43:34	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x9d2cb3…
04-23 12:43:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf92188…
04-23 12:43:18	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7970c6…
04-23 12:43:14	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb5e407…
04-23 12:42:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x3bb46f…
04-23 12:42:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x451676…
04-23 12:41:36	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x1d85d9…
04-23 10:16:42	Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x5312c8…
04-23 10:08:46	Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x6deb9d…
04-23 08:48:36	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x6396b6…
04-23 07:58:26	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0adbc8…
04-23 07:44:34	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x9ddb45…
04-23 07:41:54	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x09a017…
04-23 07:22:44	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xeb77d5…
04-23 06:57:38	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x297394…
04-23 06:55:34	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8570ef…
04-23 06:12:54	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xea6a81…
04-23 04:46:34	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xb14ec5…
04-23 04:30:22	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x42c204…
04-23 03:48:02	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x662646…
04-23 03:14:14	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x104ca4…
04-23 02:07:22	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x39d17b…
04-23 00:01:42	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd04b69…
04-22 23:53:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x09194c…
04-22 23:53:28	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5f19e5…
04-22 23:53:16	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd01cba…
04-22 23:51:26	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdc18bc…
04-22 23:44:18	Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x495b9b…
04-22 22:45:04	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9075f0…
04-22 20:38:34	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x07d0c2…
04-22 19:51:22	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x7063bf…
04-22 18:44:36	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x802ee7…
04-22 18:20:38	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7032a4…
04-22 18:13:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x474bf5…
04-22 17:32:02	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2bbc04…
04-22 16:42:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x346574…
04-22 13:55:18	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4cdc52…
04-22 12:57:02	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xcada5f…
04-22 12:57:00	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfb730f…
04-22 11:44:16	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb4c071…
04-22 10:37:52	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa40cca…
04-22 09:34:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x36ded4…
04-22 08:24:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1ef9aa…
04-22 08:13:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x68eaa7…
04-22 07:41:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x57e1aa…
04-22 07:28:44	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1c5b68…
04-22 06:48:10	Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x376189…
04-22 05:52:34	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x977a9a…
04-22 05:28:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x5243c9…
04-22 02:51:28	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x173252…
04-22 02:14:10	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x45a3a4…
04-21 22:19:42	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb0cb8e…
04-21 21:22:42	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe4bbc1…
04-21 20:18:30	Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x51d30e…
04-21 20:11:26	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa8c57d…
04-21 16:49:46	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7a7601…
04-21 15:48:14	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfbc187…
04-21 15:21:12	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x726522…
04-21 12:25:32	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c16c4…
04-21 09:36:52	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x62f250…
04-21 06:11:32	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e4553…
04-21 02:46:06	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7212ba…
04-20 21:09:22	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd9aefd…
04-20 12:24:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe8d68b…
04-20 08:19:00	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xee16f7…
04-20 03:14:42	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe38363…
04-19 22:33:28	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xad7098…
04-19 22:33:26	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc53d3b…
04-19 22:23:26	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa6f120…
04-19 22:23:24	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x89284e…
04-19 18:43:00	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7fe3e2…
04-19 15:06:14	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x35ef67…
04-19 13:45:58	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xd36e28…
04-19 13:14:30	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfbe5eb…
04-19 12:35:20	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb453c9…
04-19 08:34:00	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe7aac3…
04-19 07:18:00	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3dcc22…
04-19 03:31:34	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcff10b…
04-19 02:27:10	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x156a12…
04-19 01:19:04	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xd3c0a2…
04-19 00:52:40	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xdc05d3…
04-18 22:26:00	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x566bbc…
04-18 21:36:28	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcc13e3…
04-18 19:33:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2dc779…
04-18 19:29:00	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2c0bab…
04-18 19:17:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9c0534…
04-18 19:15:12	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf1600f…
04-18 19:15:12	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x73b36c…
04-18 18:11:12	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe3a12d…
04-18 17:09:00	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x5d1255…
04-18 15:40:32	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0c297f…
04-18 13:04:34	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x7d8c67…
04-18 12:45:56	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x36cca5…
04-18 12:39:08	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xafef2f…
04-18 11:35:36	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf8ccf7…
04-18 10:37:26	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5d3404…
04-18 08:44:20	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x69a5c6…