Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-26 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$30

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	10-24 13:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-24 13:21
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-24 13:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	15	$178	296	296	+0	Down	-$2	10-24 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$98	79	73	+7	Down	+$48	10-24 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$85	120	0	+120	Up	-$85	10-24 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$80	45	45	+0	Up	+$10	10-25 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	7	$75	45	45	+0	Down	+$15	10-25 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$54	50	50	+0	Down	-$6	10-25 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$52	42	42	+0	Down	+$32	10-24 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$49	29	29	+0	Up	+$9	10-24 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	6	$48	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	10-24 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$39	24	24	+0	Down	+$9	10-25 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$37	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	10-25 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$37	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	10-25 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-25 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$32	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$29	31	31	+0	Up	-$1	10-24 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$29	37	37	+0	Up	-$1	10-25 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$26	193	26	+167	Up	+$6	10-26 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	10-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	Up	+$3	10-24 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$15	190	0	+190	Down	-$15	10-25 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	10-26 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-24 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Down	-$10	10-24 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	2	$9	122	122	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$8	7	9	-2	Down	-$1	10-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	-$3	10-25 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	Down	-$4	10-24 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5e11d7…
10-26 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0a4b0a…
10-26 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x8f670f…
10-26 16:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8f5dd2…
10-26 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x09ca15…
10-26 16:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3c3128…
10-26 16:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfd260f…
10-26 16:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc728e7…
10-26 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0x17c4b1…
10-26 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x049b75…
10-26 16:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x3ff17c…
10-26 16:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x873855…
10-25 17:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x4881d2…
10-25 17:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4f0c4d…
10-25 13:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xc5fe22…
10-25 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x65a8e2…
10-25 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x08ff6d…
10-25 13:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x786af0…
10-25 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc4509a…
10-25 13:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x6ea8cd…
10-25 13:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3b4ccc…
10-25 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x99edb0…
10-25 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2df674…
10-25 13:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9e70dc…
10-25 12:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x9c9ddd…
10-25 12:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x938e44…
10-25 12:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xfcb516…
10-25 12:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x093834…
10-25 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x81aa27…
10-25 12:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5e925b…
10-25 12:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0f757e…
10-25 12:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x641806…
10-25 12:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x32cf43…
10-25 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5cdc5c…
10-25 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc2dc58…
10-25 12:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7f98c1…
10-25 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1ec1ed…
10-25 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbf47fe…
10-25 12:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x65522d…
10-25 12:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3616ab…
10-25 12:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x3994ab…
10-25 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6be9c6…
10-25 12:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x444b49…
10-25 12:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5705fb…
10-25 12:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x645afb…
10-25 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x383621…
10-25 12:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x15a9e2…
10-25 12:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4dbbe5…
10-25 12:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf37e92…
10-25 12:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x762596…
10-25 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2ade86…
10-25 12:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x0f99d4…
10-25 12:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4cd7e0…
10-25 12:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x353e99…
10-25 12:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcdbb8f…
10-25 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x38d1ac…
10-25 12:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb3370f…
10-25 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x65ccdb…
10-25 12:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xde358e…
10-24 13:22:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9fb6a2…
10-24 13:21:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x68cd97…
10-24 13:20:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbbf8a6…
10-24 13:18:41	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x18b9fd…
10-24 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1320ed…
10-24 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x29c5b3…
10-24 13:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53a106…
10-24 13:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x259607…
10-24 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d7311…
10-24 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84aa0b…
10-24 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xfadc71…
10-24 13:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42b7b1…
10-24 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf8d21f…
10-24 13:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x021f71…
10-24 13:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x00e05d…
10-24 13:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x76fdc0…
10-24 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xbdcd08…
10-24 12:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x34bba8…
10-24 12:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xe5e1e6…
10-24 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8c8235…
10-24 12:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xc5cccc…
10-24 12:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x137f9a…
10-24 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x7c502e…
10-24 12:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x29950f…
10-24 12:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5fe1c9…
10-24 12:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf9b9c2…
10-24 12:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3fd653…
10-24 12:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x74c6fe…
10-24 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x008d09…
10-24 12:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5f3f55…
10-24 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa24d2c…
10-24 12:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x444205…
10-24 11:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x8e7bd8…
10-24 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x4046b4…
10-24 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeba304…
10-24 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xff06d5…
10-24 11:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x200622…
10-24 11:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x034436…
10-24 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9ba6e8…
10-24 11:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0fbe6c…
10-24 11:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x178b51…