Lustrous-Nose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$753

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-04 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

48% 50% $-13

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

16% 67% +$2

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+34	$10	58¢	$20	+$10	06-04 21:29
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+48	$10	41¢	$20	+$10	06-04 21:29
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	+14	$10	94¢	$13	+$3	06-04 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$30	42	+42	open	—	04-18 21:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$25	41	+41	open	—	04-24 19:20
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-22 13:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	05-26 12:19
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$15	21	+21	open	—	04-16 22:15
btc updown 5m 1777035900	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	04-24 13:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$10	16	+16	Cavaliers	$-10	05-13 13:35
btc updown 5m 1777036200	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-24 13:12
btc updown 5m 1776462600	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	04-17 21:52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-25 20:58
Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papa	1	$10	14	+14	Christopher Papa	+$4	05-12 13:11
btc updown 5m 1776463800	1	$10	22	+22	open	—	04-17 22:10
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-17 21:25
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	04-24 19:17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-25 21:00
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-26 12:52
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$10	48	+48	open	—	06-04 21:29
btc updown 5m 1776546300	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	04-18 21:07
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	06-01 12:29
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-24 19:48
AD Cali vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-25 21:17
btc updown 5m 1776987000	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-23 23:33
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-17 21:25
btc updown 5m 1777034400	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-24 12:42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	04-24 19:43
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-24 16:19
Oeiras 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Nicolas Mejia	1	$10	17	+17	Benjamin Hassan	$-10	05-12 13:42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	04-23 12:54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	04-25 21:03
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-26 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 21:29:48	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb1eef3…
06-04 21:29:36	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa692ef…
06-04 21:27:24	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x85b800…
06-02 13:24:27	Heilbronn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehberg	Daniel Galan	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd4d097…
06-02 13:20:36	Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x673fef…
06-01 12:44:56	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5a64e2…
06-01 12:43:11	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4355da…
06-01 12:29:53	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95f0ed…
05-29 14:15:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x248cd7…
05-28 13:05:21	Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcbf4a3…
05-26 12:52:07	Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Sebastian Baez	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x77f259…
05-26 12:33:25	Centurion: Preston Brown vs Eliakim Coulibaly	Preston Brown	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x0269b2…
05-26 12:19:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x47b618…
05-24 16:36:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd24406…
05-24 16:23:03	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Taylor Fritz	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc25327…
05-24 16:19:10	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xff026b…
05-22 13:05:26	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x11c4e1…
05-20 13:30:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6213a0…
05-19 13:29:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8bc0be…
05-19 12:55:51	Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x065a64…
05-19 12:54:13	Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x158d25…
05-19 12:52:44	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Luciano Darderi	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x447fae…
05-13 13:35:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x626130…
05-12 13:42:55	Oeiras 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7391db…
05-12 13:11:20	Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papa	Christopher Papa	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x46f9cc…
05-12 13:04:32	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3ff7a4…
05-05 12:44:00	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2e13d0…
05-02 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3b9f13…
05-02 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x98613e…
05-02 20:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x481704…
05-02 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5514cc…
05-02 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4bf438…
05-01 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b4319…
05-01 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x87a316…
05-01 13:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1967b3…
05-01 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f5088…
04-30 23:56:44	CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa70886…
04-29 19:22:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd0b0b4…
04-27 12:26:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8ce242…
04-26 16:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2894bc…
04-26 13:01:54	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x689dea…
04-25 21:17:32	AD Cali vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa94164…
04-25 21:17:14	Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe2585b…
04-25 21:04:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5317e2…
04-25 21:03:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeecb4e…
04-25 21:02:24	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1f846f…
04-25 21:00:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x22d18b…
04-25 20:58:50	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1a7f76…
04-25 20:57:48	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x80f635…
04-24 19:48:06	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x002640…
04-24 19:43:46	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x55b216…
04-24 19:20:10	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xb4f870…
04-24 19:18:36	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa9299b…
04-24 19:17:12	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0c8e38…
04-24 13:12:24	btc updown 5m 1777036200	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xee164b…
04-24 13:07:56	btc updown 5m 1777035900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2b6bfc…
04-24 13:02:52	btc updown 5m 1777035600	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc2e984…
04-24 12:57:18	btc updown 5m 1777035300	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbc4655…
04-24 12:47:56	btc updown 5m 1777034700	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x836e2d…
04-24 12:42:56	btc updown 5m 1777034400	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcbe2ef…
04-24 00:15:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4964d9…
04-24 00:10:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd4f509…
04-23 23:33:10	btc updown 5m 1776987000	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe28c7b…
04-23 12:54:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x459e36…
04-23 12:47:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb2b426…
04-18 21:21:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xecd7dc…
04-18 21:07:10	btc updown 5m 1776546300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbf191a…
04-17 22:10:54	btc updown 5m 1776463800	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd5fc3d…
04-17 21:58:02	btc updown 5m 1776462900	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x69199b…
04-17 21:52:54	btc updown 5m 1776462600	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5746a7…
04-17 21:41:30	btc updown 5m 1776462000	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa89ffd…
04-17 21:39:06	btc updown 5m 1776461700	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x08b019…
04-17 21:25:46	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x06aa5b…
04-17 21:25:24	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb02e1a…
04-17 21:09:10	btc updown 5m 1776459900	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6a622e…
04-17 21:02:40	btc updown 5m 1776459600	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x095080…
04-16 22:15:44	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x1ff5f6…
04-16 22:14:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x78a9f0…
04-16 22:08:16	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x089dec…
04-16 21:47:30	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x38c575…
04-16 21:40:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2db8b3…