Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$958

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 04-16 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

70% 50% -$67

Other

30% 100% +$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$147	276	276	+0	Yes	-$4	04-06 11:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$117	131	131	+0	No	+$3	04-16 08:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$98	122	122	+0	No	-$2	04-16 08:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	4	$83	250	250	+0	No	+$15	04-07 13:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$80	56	30	+26	Yes	-$24	04-07 13:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$66	122	60	+62	Yes	-$6	04-04 00:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$34	400	400	+0	No	-$14	04-04 00:54
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	3	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$1	04-01 04:50
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$26	29	0	+29	No	+$3	04-07 09:16
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-31 11:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	-$25	04-07 13:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	04-01 04:51
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$21	13	12	+1	No	+$0	03-24 12:04
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-01 04:51
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-01 04:51
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 00:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-26 15:06
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:52
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-26 15:03
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	03-26 15:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-26 15:01
will qatar strike iran by march 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	03-22 13:11
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-25 04:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-25 10:25
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-27 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-16 08:08:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xc88776…
04-16 08:08:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	122	39¢	$48	0x0cf777…
04-07 13:39:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9bc77e…
04-07 13:39:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x8085d6…
04-07 13:17:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x0e753a…
04-07 09:16:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xc9e526…
04-06 12:09:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4a2605…
04-06 11:54:29	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	26¢	$72	0x83c9bd…
04-06 09:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x8c853f…
04-04 00:55:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6a2e7b…
04-04 00:55:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x392650…
04-04 00:54:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$10	0x4dd179…
04-04 00:51:09	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x411774…
04-02 23:06:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xdfa22b…
04-02 23:05:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x537740…
04-02 02:42:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x1e281b…
04-02 01:25:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x5c908c…
04-02 01:24:21	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x89c933…
04-02 01:17:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x4d8a48…
04-02 00:43:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0x3eacc0…
04-01 23:45:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x29873c…
04-01 23:34:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x2445fc…
04-01 23:28:53	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x6f8ebd…
04-01 21:45:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd8856a…
04-01 14:41:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x306bf9…
04-01 14:09:11	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x5e061c…
04-01 04:52:57	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a328a…
04-01 04:51:55	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x048651…
04-01 04:51:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbbebe4…
04-01 04:51:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x695372…
04-01 04:50:09	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9fd8d6…
03-31 11:44:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x11f146…
03-30 10:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x8aa0cc…
03-30 05:12:48	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x28b3cc…
03-29 11:50:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05de89…
03-29 11:45:32	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x333c5d…
03-27 09:41:41	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x652a9f…
03-26 15:14:15	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0d5ba4…
03-26 15:06:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xff9f00…
03-26 15:03:51	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbd4db6…
03-26 15:02:59	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x04409e…
03-26 15:01:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2699d2…
03-25 10:25:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ee437…
03-25 04:39:53	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc3da85…
03-24 14:30:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa53db0…
03-24 12:04:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x89ef96…
03-24 10:00:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x5a78c7…
03-23 14:23:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xfbf4d0…
03-23 14:22:23	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8716b4…
03-23 12:51:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc4199b…
03-23 12:40:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x14050b…
03-22 13:28:41	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x136788…
03-22 13:14:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2f1462…
03-22 13:11:35	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2391df…
03-22 13:00:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5f1d75…
03-22 13:00:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xac159b…
03-22 12:50:41	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5b404a…