Fortunate-Province — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$318

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-13 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-10

Crypto

27% 0% $-20

Politics

13% 0% $-10

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$20	31	+31	open	—	05-11 19:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	04-21 17:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-11 19:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	+3,333	open	—	04-21 17:20
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-21 17:34
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$10	125	+125	open	—	04-28 02:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$10	77	+77	open	—	04-23 20:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$10	38	+38	open	—	05-12 02:19
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-23 15:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-03 18:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	1	$10	51	+51	open	—	05-11 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-27 23:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	1	$10	53	+53	No	$-10	05-13 02:24
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-27 22:58
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	04-27 23:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	1	$10	35	+35	open	—	04-23 15:54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$10	29	+29	open	—	04-28 02:28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	04-21 17:23
lal mal val 2026 04 21 val	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	04-21 17:33
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	1	$10	77	+77	open	—	05-12 02:16
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$10	23	+23	Yes	$-10	04-23 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	1	$10	22	+22	Down	$-10	05-12 02:12
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-21 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-23 20:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-21 17:19
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$10	21	+21	No	$-10	05-13 02:36
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 bet	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	04-21 17:34
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	1	$10	1,215	+1,215	open	—	04-21 17:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-23 15:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$8	20	+20	open	—	04-28 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 02:36:15	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x596659…
05-13 02:24:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2c3039…
05-12 02:19:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x145e14…
05-12 02:16:12	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9964d4…
05-12 02:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb10ded…
05-11 19:59:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x2d47f3…
05-11 19:58:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xd109e6…
05-11 19:45:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4d4ea5…
05-03 18:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x914555…
04-28 02:29:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5d28b0…
04-28 02:28:46	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdac19f…
04-28 02:28:32	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7ad500…
04-28 02:14:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9b6944…
04-27 23:03:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd1d3e4…
04-27 23:00:10	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x72cef8…
04-27 22:58:02	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x837a93…
04-23 20:23:04	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2bd71b…
04-23 20:14:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf199b8…
04-23 20:12:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xae3f25…
04-23 15:54:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xc6c1bf…
04-23 15:35:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xed10b7…
04-23 15:34:40	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x597f60…
04-21 17:34:22	lal gir bet 2026 04 21 bet	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x076815…
04-21 17:34:12	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3a8cd6…
04-21 17:33:26	lal mal val 2026 04 21 val	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf878a9…
04-21 17:33:06	lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x497a06…
04-21 17:27:48	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,215	1¢	$10	0x1b0f64…
04-21 17:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfe6a12…
04-21 17:20:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xa719d5…
04-21 17:19:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x156b70…
04-21 17:18:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xf85228…
04-21 00:56:10	btc updown 5m 1776732900	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0e9290…