Thankful-Calculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$676

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

1,526

Trades

3,103

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-31 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% +$696

Other

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	5	$96	97	+97	Up	+$1	10-14 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:20 UTC	5	$95	98	+98	Down	+$2	10-14 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:05 UTC	5	$95	96	+96	Up	+$1	10-14 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	5	$94	95	+95	Up	+$1	10-13 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$93	94	+94	Up	+$1	10-13 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$92	94	+94	Down	+$1	10-13 03:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	5	$92	93	+93	Down	+$1	10-13 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$91	92	+92	Down	+$1	10-13 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$90	92	+92	Down	+$2	10-12 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$89	90	+90	Up	+$1	10-12 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$88	90	+90	Down	+$2	10-12 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$88	89	+89	Down	+$1	10-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	5	$82	84	+84	Up	+$2	10-14 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	5	$73	74	+74	Up	+$2	10-31 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$71	73	+73	Up	+$2	10-30 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	5	$71	72	+72	Down	-$71	10-15 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$70	71	+71	Down	+$1	10-30 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$70	71	+71	Up	+$1	10-30 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC	5	$69	71	+71	Up	+$2	10-15 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:35 UTC	5	$69	70	+70	Down	+$1	10-14 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$68	70	+70	Down	+$2	10-30 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$68	69	+69	Up	+$1	10-30 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$68	69	+69	Up	+$1	10-30 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$68	68	+68	Up	+$1	10-30 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$67	68	+68	Down	+$1	10-30 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$67	68	+68	Up	+$1	10-30 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$66	68	+68	Down	+$2	10-29 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	5	$66	67	+67	Up	+$1	10-15 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$66	67	+67	Up	+$1	10-30 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$66	66	+66	Up	+$1	10-29 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xe2db81…
10-31 10:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18a60d…
10-31 10:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x42f6b0…
10-31 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a4fff…
10-31 05:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9dac3…
10-31 05:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x810322…
10-31 04:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24487f…
10-31 04:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x07899b…
10-31 04:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff3f0f…
10-31 04:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x370a97…
10-31 04:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe9398f…
10-31 04:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x364162…
10-31 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x05fb1c…
10-31 04:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6050f4…
10-31 04:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f2e4e…
10-31 02:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eda16…
10-31 00:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x3d4386…
10-31 00:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4c66c…
10-31 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84ba52…
10-30 23:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd4636…
10-30 23:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa26824…
10-30 23:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x470967…
10-30 23:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd9880e…
10-30 23:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc49ae8…
10-30 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf27cfa…
10-30 22:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0487f…
10-30 21:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f94ed…
10-30 21:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x1c35d7…
10-30 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x6419de…
10-30 21:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x9c4f15…
10-30 21:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x7f67c9…
10-30 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa6c7df…
10-30 21:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x63ae70…
10-30 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6f5797…
10-30 21:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb7ab62…
10-30 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf5e77f…
10-30 21:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b2f60…
10-30 21:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x260b9f…
10-30 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x381b0b…
10-30 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x0e9ab5…
10-30 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x968a36…
10-30 20:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa595e8…
10-30 20:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8b9ba4…
10-30 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd91bdd…
10-30 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xabeefe…
10-30 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59aba7…
10-30 19:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd1ac36…
10-30 19:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66993c…
10-30 19:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x761a72…
10-30 19:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a7f18…
10-30 19:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x049e9a…
10-30 19:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x086c20…
10-30 18:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc252ea…
10-30 18:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f90cb…
10-30 18:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6702c…
10-30 18:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbf3a2d…
10-30 18:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa808ff…
10-30 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8513b8…
10-30 18:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8bac6…
10-30 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xc94ec7…
10-30 17:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x13a2b9…
10-30 17:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa06c0f…
10-30 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x80e9ba…
10-30 17:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1e1b88…
10-30 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x84e7d1…
10-30 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2cd6ad…
10-30 16:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3e1bf3…
10-30 16:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa4a99e…
10-30 16:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb1a3f2…
10-30 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x312e26…
10-30 16:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd4f71d…
10-30 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdae8c2…
10-30 16:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5f9bcb…
10-30 16:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf86c27…
10-30 16:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9e1978…
10-30 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x3e7be3…
10-30 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd619a…
10-30 16:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x758f8b…
10-30 16:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9c389d…
10-30 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56de6e…
10-30 15:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x53bcc8…
10-30 15:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x01171e…
10-30 15:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x57d6b0…
10-30 15:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xad6a63…
10-30 15:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73bc27…
10-30 15:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe20870…
10-30 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x38bd1c…
10-30 15:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x704280…
10-30 15:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d2e57…
10-30 15:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x0cc0f7…
10-30 15:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x28d687…
10-30 15:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x17ab9c…
10-30 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe45596…
10-30 15:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4df7b…
10-30 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x093003…
10-30 15:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x23d2cf…
10-30 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x760f65…
10-30 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x96a1fd…
10-30 15:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf97847…
10-30 15:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbee52b…