Stable-Petal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$65

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

2,393

Trades

3,849

lifetime

Volume

$151.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$363

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

87% 35% +$1,786

Sports

11% 41% -$2,229

Politics

3% 41% -$1,167

Crypto

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+483	$180	40¢	$191	+$11	10-24 12:08
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	+192	$125	36¢	$70	-$55	10-27 02:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+988	$79	6¢	$59	-$20	10-21 18:43
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+169	$44	26¢	$43	-$1	10-21 00:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?	3	$2.2K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	+$639	10-15 01:41
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	3	$1.6K	1,295	1,295	+0	Yes	+$525	10-24 15:41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	3	$1.6K	1,186	1,186	+0	Yes	+$765	10-20 20:56
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	3	$1.5K	1,149	1,149	+0	Yes	+$720	10-23 20:23
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	3	$1.5K	1,202	1,202	+0	Yes	+$898	10-23 02:25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	3	$1.5K	1,084	1,084	+0	Yes	+$682	10-21 18:36
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	CA Mineiro	+$540	10-27 00:58
Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	3	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Ashlyn Krueger	+$449	10-21 03:48
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-17?	2	$1.2K	852	852	+0	Yes	+$481	10-18 02:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.2K	2,575	0	+2,575	No	-$1,170	10-25 22:46
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$1.1K	951	951	+0	Yes	+$822	10-18 21:03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	3	$993	851	851	+0	Yes	+$506	10-17 15:47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-25?	2	$864	515	515	+0	Yes	+$164	10-25 13:55
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	3	$810	625	625	+0	Ashlyn Krueger	+$438	10-24 07:33
Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen	2	$793	519	519	+0	Ashlyn Krueger	+$243	10-19 07:08
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	2	$772	1,448	0	+1,448	No	-$772	10-23 20:23
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	2	$734	489	489	+0	open	—	10-27 03:10
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$734	585	585	+0	76ers	+$320	10-21 01:55
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	2	$722	548	548	+0	Galatasaray SK	+$372	10-21 18:36
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	2	$716	471	471	+0	Yes	+$226	10-26 18:04
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2	$712	463	463	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$213	10-21 10:33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?	2	$710	1,409	0	+1,409	No	-$710	10-17 14:18
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	2	$695	434	434	+0	Yes	+$139	10-24 20:02
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	2	$694	603	603	+0	No	+$284	10-24 17:47
atp roncade prado 2026 10 14	4	$689	783	783	+0	Franco Roncadelli	+$233	10-15 22:59
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	2	$682	488	488	+0	SE Palmeiras	+$292	10-24 23:39
Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek	2	$680	557	557	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$290	10-21 12:37
Will PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	2	$672	487	487	+0	Yes	+$302	10-25 15:22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$668	1,591	1,591	+0	Yes	-$32	10-25 21:35
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	2	$667	493	493	+0	Lorenzo Musetti	+$317	10-25 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:30:08	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	264	36¢	$95	0xec1059…
10-27 03:20:56	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x817d91…
10-27 03:20:00	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	SELL	212	94¢	$199	0xaeb933…
10-27 03:19:33	Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann	Simona Waltert	BUY	353	58¢	$205	0x41c2fb…
10-27 03:10:48	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x207025…
10-27 03:10:39	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	SELL	489	99¢	$484	0x47d393…
10-27 02:54:05	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	489	51¢	$250	0x5381c1…
10-27 02:27:35	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	458	29¢	$135	0xd7f46d…
10-27 02:21:59	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	212	59¢	$125	0x6ae35c…
10-27 02:21:08	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	192	65¢	$125	0x31a808…
10-27 02:14:53	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xc1e84b…
10-27 01:05:02	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	177	48¢	$85	0x73cc2b…
10-27 00:59:41	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	573	48¢	$275	0x05a118…
10-27 00:58:54	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CA Mineiro	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x95f04f…
10-27 00:36:45	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	270	28¢	$75	0x61f763…
10-27 00:33:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	533	46¢	$245	0xdcfdcf…
10-27 00:31:20	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x17cf68…
10-26 23:32:44	Will América FC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	202	42¢	$85	0x684ccd…
10-26 22:59:08	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	480	15¢	$72	0xa32743…
10-26 22:58:56	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CA Mineiro	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xfa44f4…
10-26 22:28:51	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	184	57¢	$105	0x6dacc6…
10-26 22:28:27	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	126	57¢	$72	0x6dcc77…
10-26 22:27:48	Will CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	347	36¢	$125	0x298e33…
10-26 22:12:02	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	363	100¢	$362	0x0b51b7…
10-26 20:18:17	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	255	40¢	$102	0x92d6dc…
10-26 20:17:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	363	51¢	$185	0x9436dc…
10-26 18:18:23	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x116bd4…
10-26 18:07:48	Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	437	63¢	$275	0x50b803…
10-26 18:04:41	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0x332c3b…
10-26 16:45:44	Courmayeur: Lisa Zaar vs Ayla Aksu	Lisa Zaar	BUY	151	43¢	$65	0x379243…
10-26 16:04:48	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	471	52¢	$245	0xabc1f4…
10-26 15:54:38	Game Spread: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+1.5)	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	204	76¢	$155	0xb65b5b…
10-26 15:47:21	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	438	100¢	$438	0x89b9e7…
10-26 14:00:17	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	438	40¢	$175	0x594c1b…
10-26 11:29:06	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	SELL	378	100¢	$377	0x2cb428…
10-26 10:28:48	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	378	49¢	$185	0x6914ca…
10-26 01:56:44	Pan Pacific Open: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Xinyu Wang	BUY	230	37¢	$85	0xf52e38…
10-26 01:00:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	683	30¢	$205	0xb3fb80…
10-26 00:39:00	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	343	54¢	$185	0x418e9a…
10-26 00:37:44	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	1,012	42¢	$425	0x81e672…
10-26 00:29:02	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Raptors	BUY	141	53¢	$75	0xb0a5c7…
10-26 00:27:41	Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)	Racing Club	SELL	328	100¢	$328	0xd6d14a…
10-25 23:32:50	Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)	Racing Club	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xf74b9b…
10-25 22:46:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	301	41¢	$125	0x75afdd…
10-25 22:19:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	383	38¢	$145	0x2e979d…
10-25 22:12:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$175	0x55a61e…
10-25 22:09:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	407	43¢	$175	0x5a8216…
10-25 22:08:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,085	51¢	$550	0x814b85…
10-25 21:57:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	233	16¢	$38	0xbab04c…
10-25 21:38:27	Spread: Jazz (-3.5)	Jazz	BUY	320	55¢	$175	0x9d7bba…
10-25 21:36:24	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	1,135	26¢	$295	0xa11f98…
10-25 21:35:36	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xfb0c47…
10-25 21:35:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1,591	20¢	$318	0x31a1b2…
10-25 21:09:59	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	648	27¢	$175	0xb7002e…
10-25 20:07:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,591	22¢	$350	0xc3a8e2…
10-25 20:03:27	Will Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	411	18¢	$74	0xab800c…
10-25 19:57:09	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x916145…
10-25 19:54:11	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	372	39¢	$145	0xd8ea65…
10-25 19:50:09	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	SELL	395	87¢	$343	0xbaf17f…
10-25 19:49:47	Will Manchester United WFC vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	203	90¢	$183	0xe1acbe…
10-25 19:49:09	Will Manchester United WFC vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	176	85¢	$149	0xd46ad9…
10-25 18:45:18	Will Manchester United WFC vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	379	33¢	$125	0xa84172…
10-25 18:39:32	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	418	49¢	$205	0x8ab869…
10-25 18:20:06	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	290	60¢	$175	0x0076bb…
10-25 18:10:11	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	160	87¢	$139	0xa6d387…
10-25 18:09:54	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1,002	12¢	$124	0xe8ecc9…
10-25 17:37:53	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x26b1e7…
10-25 17:25:54	Colts vs. Vikings	Colts	BUY	305	42¢	$128	0x507c13…
10-25 17:02:39	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	283	58¢	$164	0xc389b0…
10-25 16:44:54	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	283	30¢	$85	0x8fa4cc…
10-25 16:40:14	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	481	37¢	$178	0x5bbbd2…
10-25 16:39:39	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	160	52¢	$83	0x82fa55…
10-25 16:27:05	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	521	34¢	$177	0x678475…
10-25 15:47:44	Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	402	43¢	$173	0x6754a5…
10-25 15:37:54	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: AS Monaco FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0x671f52…
10-25 15:28:30	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: AS Monaco FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	273	64¢	$175	0x05ca42…
10-25 15:22:41	Will PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	487	100¢	$487	0x03fab0…
10-25 15:04:09	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	394	17¢	$67	0xff21cc…
10-25 15:03:18	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	493	100¢	$492	0x6f551e…
10-25 14:45:23	Will PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	487	38¢	$185	0x111125…
10-25 14:06:39	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	578	32¢	$185	0x7861dd…
10-25 13:55:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0xe26625…
10-25 13:52:59	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	323	96¢	$310	0x9e5e19…
10-25 13:42:08	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	394	47¢	$185	0x32dd0e…
10-25 13:41:26	Steelers vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	658	38¢	$250	0x56a831…
10-25 13:37:51	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	493	36¢	$175	0xce3627…
10-25 13:05:36	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x45e201…
10-25 13:04:59	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0x1b4939…
10-25 12:30:29	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	515	68¢	$350	0x80f736…
10-25 12:09:33	Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0x898425…
10-25 12:08:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	235	32¢	$75	0xa37027…
10-25 11:34:24	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x7a335c…
10-25 10:25:24	Set Handicap: Elena Rybakina (-1.5) vs Leylah Fernandez (+1.5)	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	331	13¢	$43	0x02d387…
10-25 10:25:14	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	612	5¢	$28	0x7aa6a8…
10-25 02:06:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	227	33¢	$75	0x7192b0…
10-25 02:05:24	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Mavericks	BUY	173	46¢	$80	0xecc409…
10-25 02:04:35	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	438	65¢	$285	0x8d7108…
10-25 00:12:44	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	205	61¢	$125	0xb0ff7c…
10-24 23:39:17	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	SELL	488	100¢	$487	0x0b8529…
10-24 23:26:11	CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	273	99¢	$272	0xf3ef40…