Belated-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$89

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

153

1,160 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$750

$6.41K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

78% 43% +$157

Politics

10% 43% +$31

Sports

9% 47% -$25

Crypto

3% 45% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	+37	$15	32¢	$12	-$3	10-28 20:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+11	$3	50¢	$5	+$2	10-27 12:04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	+10	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-28 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spl hil njm 2026 03 05 hil	2	$227	125	125	+0	Yes	-$2	03-05 16:31
epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast	2	$156	78	78	+0	Yes	+$1	01-25 16:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$153	95	95	+0	Yes	-$2	03-08 20:14
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	2	$141	102	102	+0	Yes	+$21	03-04 21:07
sea ata par 2026 01 25 ata	2	$135	69	69	+0	Yes	+$2	01-25 15:43
lal mad mal 2026 01 25 mad	2	$118	68	68	+0	Yes	+$18	01-25 15:01
lal vil rea 2026 01 24 rea	2	$116	76	76	+0	Yes	+$37	01-24 21:55
epl ast che 2026 03 04 che	3	$112	104	104	+0	Yes	+$28	03-04 21:07
will israel strike gaza on january 24 2026	2	$106	83	83	+0	Yes	-$2	01-20 19:00
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$97	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	01-24 22:05
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 halftime result away	3	$96	75	75	+0	Yes	+$54	03-05 21:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	7	$95	83	83	+0	Yes	-$6	02-10 14:56
bun fre wer 2026 02 07 fre	4	$94	75	75	+0	Yes	+$3	02-07 16:02
will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026	2	$85	56	56	+0	No	+$25	01-20 14:11
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	2	$83	47	47	+0	Yes	+$9	02-07 15:43
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?	3	$78	48	48	+0	Yes	+$18	10-24 17:56
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	3	$77	53	53	+0	No	+$14	01-20 18:19
bl2 s04 bie 2026 03 06 s04	3	$74	49	49	+0	Yes	+$24	03-06 19:30
epl new mun 2026 03 04 mun	4	$71	115	42	+73	No	-$45	03-04 21:17
bun fre koe 2026 01 25 fre	2	$70	50	50	+0	Yes	+$30	01-25 18:25
nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	3	$66	107	107	+0	Lakers	-$57	03-08 21:43
fl1 pfc olm 2026 01 31 olm	1	$64	66	0	+66	No	-$64	01-31 17:23
will the us strike iran next 433	8	$61	247	247	+0	No	+$5	01-21 14:14
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$58	38	38	+0	Yes	+$18	10-24 13:04
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	2	$56	35	35	+0	Yes	+$14	02-07 14:55
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	3	$56	35	35	+0	Yes	+$14	02-08 21:49
fl1 met lyo 2026 01 25 lyo	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$14	01-25 17:36
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	4	$51	33	33	+0	Yes	+$7	01-31 15:13
cde ogc mon 2026 02 04 ogc	2	$50	32	32	+0	Yes	+$14	02-04 21:28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	+$27	10-25 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:56:35	Will IFK Goteborg vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb98ea4…
10-28 20:55:53	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x89a2b9…
10-28 20:55:37	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd87c7c…
10-28 20:54:58	Le Mans Sarthe Basket vs. Hapoel Jerusalem	Le Mans Sarthe Basket	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xb21d84…
10-28 20:46:41	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xd7b7d3…
10-28 19:38:22	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x951f3e…
10-28 19:37:05	Will IFK Goteborg vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xedf45e…
10-28 19:36:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbe3d94…
10-28 15:21:26	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x80049a…
10-28 15:20:49	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xb9088c…
10-28 12:04:53	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x800377…
10-28 12:04:41	Will FK Partizan Belgrade win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x184ec5…
10-28 10:09:34	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x47c5e1…
10-27 22:57:21	Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1ed797…
10-27 21:49:23	Will CD Atlético Paso vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0e07af…
10-27 21:49:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x859dc7…
10-27 13:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd5e8d0…
10-27 13:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb0744f…
10-27 12:04:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x165ac9…
10-27 09:35:11	SS Lazio to score first vs. US Sassuolo Calcio?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x77be57…
10-27 09:35:05	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x49e7a5…
10-27 09:34:50	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcd9556…
10-27 09:29:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6f727f…
10-27 09:29:02	Will Inter Milano U23 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa5a43b…
10-27 09:27:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe538cc…
10-26 23:28:08	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8f5258…
10-26 23:27:54	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd50290…
10-26 23:27:23	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x830727…
10-26 23:27:18	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe6f6d0…
10-26 23:25:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x8f217f…
10-26 23:24:30	Will CA Unión win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x10eaf7…
10-26 21:31:45	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xb6b313…
10-26 21:30:33	Will Salford City FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xdd5aef…
10-26 21:29:57	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfde7e6…
10-26 21:29:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xabd2fc…
10-26 21:29:39	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb748e8…
10-26 20:33:21	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xed4b6c…
10-26 19:24:54	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc9dda9…
10-26 18:58:29	Will Salford City FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1fb3dc…
10-26 18:57:24	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2006e7…
10-26 18:56:57	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3f38af…
10-26 18:37:23	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb252bf…
10-26 17:54:44	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x172030…
10-26 17:54:35	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4c4b51…
10-26 17:15:05	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1aa32c…
10-26 17:14:54	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa1fd97…
10-26 17:14:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x8be1c6…
10-26 17:11:15	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x65f216…
10-26 17:10:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x946519…
10-26 12:25:36	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb37635…
10-26 12:23:33	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x1a6601…
10-26 12:23:09	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5140ac…
10-26 12:23:00	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xec8b1a…
10-25 22:08:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc24b1d…
10-25 22:04:50	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe98f98…
10-25 22:02:32	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8743a0…
10-25 22:01:57	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x47e2c8…
10-25 20:56:42	Will CD Palestino vs. CSD Colo-Colo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5bcd45…
10-25 20:55:26	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfdd8bd…
10-25 19:58:45	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0a5459…
10-25 19:58:38	Will Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd6c4e7…
10-25 18:49:03	Will FC Salzburg win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x02c4a8…
10-25 18:48:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa98d1…
10-25 16:12:09	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdecb76…
10-25 16:01:54	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x869bef…
10-25 16:01:41	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x87b878…
10-25 16:01:32	Will Legia Warszawa win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5627d2…
10-25 16:01:20	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5eded7…
10-25 16:01:11	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x686702…
10-25 16:01:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1bf04b…
10-25 16:00:51	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc72c2f…
10-25 16:00:44	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x2c1d04…
10-25 16:00:09	Will FC Salzburg win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b6c3e…
10-25 15:59:36	Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x43955f…
10-25 15:59:33	Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x318d7d…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xdf5724…
10-25 15:58:00	Will NEC vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3b380d…
10-25 15:57:56	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b80c0…
10-25 15:19:06	Will NEC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x8273b8…
10-25 15:18:12	Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd80cef…
10-25 15:16:59	Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3efe72…
10-25 15:16:45	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe251f0…
10-25 15:16:23	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9d2a8f…
10-25 15:15:42	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa9cdc6…
10-25 15:14:41	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xec50c5…
10-25 15:14:03	Will NEC vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x47c2b5…
10-25 15:12:48	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x687854…
10-25 15:12:42	Will KRC Genk win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbde95d…
10-25 13:22:14	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc03769…
10-25 12:48:30	Will NEC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x714c07…
10-25 12:48:26	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7a49b5…
10-25 12:48:17	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc28521…
10-25 12:47:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x251eac…
10-25 12:47:47	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x052453…
10-25 12:47:27	Will KRC Genk win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55afe4…
10-25 07:12:14	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc2e7f6…
10-24 22:05:54	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc65ab9…
10-24 22:05:45	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x37f39b…
10-24 22:05:33	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa87214…
10-24 22:00:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xed2eb4…