Short-Dough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

722

Trades

1,137

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-25 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

94% 77% -$73

Crypto

6% 77% -$134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?	2	$114	64	64	+0	No	+$14	07-03 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	2	$113	65	65	+0	No	+$16	07-03 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3?	2	$113	64	64	+0	No	+$13	07-03 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?	2	$111	63	63	+0	No	+$14	07-02 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 4?	2	$110	64	64	+0	No	+$17	07-04 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 28?	2	$110	64	64	+0	No	+$17	06-28 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?	2	$110	64	64	+0	No	+$17	06-28 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	2	$109	62	62	+0	No	+$14	07-03 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?	2	$109	63	63	+0	No	+$14	07-02 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	2	$109	62	62	+0	No	+$14	07-02 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on June 28?	2	$108	62	62	+0	No	+$16	06-28 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	2	$108	63	63	+0	No	+$16	06-28 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 1?	2	$107	60	60	+0	No	+$14	07-01 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?	2	$106	61	61	+0	No	+$14	06-28 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?	2	$106	62	62	+0	No	+$17	06-27 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 3?	2	$106	60	60	+0	No	+$14	07-03 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 3?	2	$106	60	60	+0	No	+$14	07-03 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?	2	$106	60	60	+0	No	+$14	07-01 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	2	$104	61	61	+0	No	+$16	06-27 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?	2	$104	59	59	+0	No	+$13	07-01 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	2	$104	59	59	+0	No	+$14	07-01 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 27?	2	$104	59	59	+0	No	+$15	06-27 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?	2	$103	61	61	+0	No	+$17	07-03 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 29?	2	$103	60	60	+0	No	+$16	06-29 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?	2	$102	60	60	+0	No	+$16	06-30 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 1?	2	$102	58	58	+0	No	+$13	07-01 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?	2	$102	58	58	+0	No	+$13	07-01 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 30?	2	$101	59	59	+0	No	+$15	06-30 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 3?	2	$101	57	57	+0	No	+$13	07-03 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 1?	2	$101	57	57	+0	No	+$13	07-01 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x9801f2…
08-25 11:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x130057…
08-25 11:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	46	94¢	$44	0xcd3ac9…
08-25 11:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	91¢	$43	0x474a2f…
08-25 10:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	88	52¢	$46	0x883eb2…
08-25 10:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0xa75c76…
08-25 10:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0x547bcf…
08-25 09:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x889a1a…
08-25 09:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xb50149…
08-25 08:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x010bc7…
08-25 08:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	58¢	$45	0x1e9f0c…
08-25 04:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0xbc1734…
08-25 03:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x50cca2…
08-25 03:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xfc69e4…
08-25 01:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	97	51¢	$49	0x3ac379…
08-25 00:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	138	38¢	$52	0xb66cad…
08-24 20:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x12b26b…
08-24 20:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7d429f…
08-24 19:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4ccbaa…
08-24 19:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x68f8df…
08-24 18:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x9e5906…
08-24 17:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb7ec12…
08-24 17:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x8129b2…
08-24 17:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x659b1e…
08-24 17:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xef433c…
08-24 17:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb9ccf6…
08-24 17:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe7d2c1…
08-24 16:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x30ab14…
08-24 16:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xce2c40…
08-24 15:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x29f980…
08-24 15:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf44a50…
08-24 14:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8bfca1…
08-24 14:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfd2e2a…
08-24 09:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9e5724…
08-24 08:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8e361e…
08-24 08:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4432c3…
08-24 07:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x15b615…
08-24 06:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x60e40c…
08-24 06:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2bb30e…
08-24 06:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xff878f…
08-24 05:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa7ca0e…
08-24 05:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x74ab4b…
08-24 04:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x9d04f8…
08-24 04:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xfb5b68…
08-24 04:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x5615f1…
08-24 04:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xfb51f9…
08-24 03:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xbc59dc…
08-24 03:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf01773…
08-24 03:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4c50f3…
08-24 03:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x79250d…
08-24 03:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x35abc6…
08-24 02:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd2a869…
08-24 02:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5c9a43…
08-24 02:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x436170…
08-24 01:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3b16dc…
08-24 01:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x392b6f…
08-24 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8bc75b…
08-24 00:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x6ac016…
08-23 23:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x91a161…
08-23 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xde30c1…
08-23 21:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf998d2…
08-23 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfd5fa0…
08-23 20:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x338dde…
08-23 17:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x864414…
08-23 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xce9949…
08-17 19:58:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d948d…
08-17 19:57:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1d3573…
08-17 18:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x52910c…
08-17 18:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x352263…
08-15 02:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2afa6c…
08-15 02:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc47aeb…
08-12 20:54:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 12?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd46a1b…
08-12 20:53:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc87cf9…
08-12 20:03:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83a8c7…
08-12 04:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x511af2…
08-12 04:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x251750…
08-11 19:58:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21a407…
08-11 19:57:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe0d596…
08-09 17:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x314bea…
08-09 17:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe5f901…
08-06 20:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x207bd8…
08-06 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfb6eae…
08-06 04:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3bee8c…
08-06 04:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3295a6…
08-06 03:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2cdf60…
08-06 03:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f1629…
08-05 21:58:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xe6ab86…
08-05 20:57:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbede43…
07-30 20:58:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xc80431…
07-30 19:57:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 30?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0839d1…
07-29 15:17:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 30?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x1f7dec…
07-29 15:17:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xba5067…
07-29 15:07:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xaadebe…
07-29 15:07:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x536ab8…
07-29 04:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x961a6a…
07-28 04:55:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 28?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0a6ff4…
07-28 04:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc24c0f…
07-28 03:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd190e0…
07-28 03:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a3926…
07-28 02:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x62badb…