Mammoth-Belly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-29 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 80% $-1

Crypto

34% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$450	455	0	+455	open	—	05-27 04:10
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	2	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-19 19:26
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	1	$380	380	0	+380	open	—	05-20 19:27
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	1	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	05-25 10:23
tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	1	$300	304	0	+304	open	—	06-04 14:53
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 14?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 19:42
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$296	299	0	+299	open	—	05-26 17:30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	4	$288	192	102	+90	No	$-2	05-13 19:47
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	6	$282	302	7	+295	open	—	06-26 22:15
YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$250	259	0	+259	open	—	06-06 16:59
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$240	240	0	+240	open	—	05-18 19:58
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $308 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$227	229	0	+229	open	—	05-15 18:52
XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$226	231	0	+231	open	—	05-28 19:20
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$214	215	0	+215	open	—	05-21 19:15
XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$212	215	0	+215	open	—	05-28 19:25
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 12?	1	$205	205	0	+205	open	—	05-12 19:38
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-21 19:54
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in May?	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	05-29 16:40
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	3	$195	206	0	+206	open	—	06-29 04:56
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-15 19:01
Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	3	$139	141	0	+141	open	—	05-26 13:12
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$136	136	0	+136	Up	+$1	05-13 19:45
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $4.50?	2	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	05-29 18:07
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-29 16:38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	05-13 19:42
will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	3	$81	58	58	+0	open	—	06-27 10:28
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 14?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-14 19:43
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 12?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-12 19:51
Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 20?	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	05-20 18:51
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 13?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-13 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 04:56:29	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf41389…
06-28 04:34:47	Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb73365…
06-27 16:44:55	will kast launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0x45ca67…
06-27 10:28:01	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	58	70¢	$41	0xbd7f96…
06-27 10:04:29	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xcb1f70…
06-27 10:03:23	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x41e7a6…
06-27 10:02:55	Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4d3fd7…
06-27 03:28:05	will kast launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	60	14¢	$9	0x0956f1…
06-26 22:15:25	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdfc0c…
06-26 12:34:25	will codex launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x2e88c3…
06-26 08:39:26	will codex launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x96a8ba…
06-10 03:37:09	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x231b6f…
06-08 06:10:06	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x2801d7…
06-07 10:27:52	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6523f0…
06-06 19:18:31	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xac74d2…
06-06 16:59:27	YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x5f4826…
06-06 13:15:51	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xe3e066…
06-06 05:33:36	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x31af7f…
06-06 04:01:19	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6c14f9…
06-04 14:53:09	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xcc8a8c…
06-03 19:48:33	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe9918c…
06-01 12:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xec2b1e…
06-01 12:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x4b700b…
06-01 12:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ca880…
05-30 10:44:55	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x8c45db…
05-30 06:43:07	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbb77dc…
05-30 06:42:34	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x80ee65…
05-30 06:41:52	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xd36ffe…
05-29 18:35:12	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbf815b…
05-29 18:07:11	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $4.50?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf2903…
05-29 18:06:44	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $4.50?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3d62a0…
05-29 16:40:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3af316…
05-29 16:38:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7902aa…
05-28 19:25:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0xa56be4…
05-28 19:20:34	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xab4d78…
05-28 19:20:27	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x95e747…
05-28 19:17:52	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x967204…
05-28 19:11:35	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0xa05b10…
05-27 04:10:28	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x88fea9…
05-27 04:10:21	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x45db06…
05-27 04:09:25	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xddd862…
05-26 17:30:17	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7e03a…
05-26 16:17:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xd3dd1f…
05-26 16:15:38	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x68a1dc…
05-26 13:12:51	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdcd17…
05-25 12:20:53	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x301891…
05-25 10:23:49	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x16e01b…
05-24 10:05:59	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3959a6…
05-21 19:56:16	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x543c88…
05-21 19:54:34	Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x21070d…
05-21 19:15:26	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf17620…
05-21 18:05:03	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xfaa250…
05-21 08:43:16	Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x074dda…
05-20 19:27:13	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0xb93389…
05-20 18:51:30	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x35168e…
05-19 19:26:18	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x689434…
05-19 19:19:25	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xdbbd67…
05-18 19:58:01	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x4f8d76…
05-15 19:01:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x2bee89…
05-15 18:52:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $308 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0xbe43e9…
05-14 19:43:08	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 14?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa73346…
05-14 19:42:51	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe72159…
05-13 19:48:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x407256…
05-13 19:47:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa6de81…
05-13 19:45:27	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x784eb4…
05-13 19:42:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa8833c…
05-13 10:38:33	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x10bf9c…
05-13 10:35:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf40ff5…
05-12 19:51:27	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 12?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4cdbb2…
05-12 19:38:54	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 12?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x9ce0b8…
05-12 19:25:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xccf583…