Mammoth-Belly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 08-09 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 80% $-1

Crypto

29% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	1	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	07-25 16:33
over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	3	$590	597	0	+597	open	—	07-22 07:07
laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	2	$560	566	0	+566	open	—	07-05 20:00
over 6m committed to the squid public sale	11	$534	541	0	+541	open	—	07-03 03:43
over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	07-14 02:37
over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	1	$500	509	0	+509	open	—	07-17 04:54
over 4m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325642	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	07-13 18:51
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$450	455	0	+455	open	—	05-27 04:10
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	2	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-19 19:26
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	2	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	07-25 14:26
over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	07-21 17:01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	1	$380	380	0	+380	open	—	05-20 19:27
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	1	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	05-25 10:23
over 25m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831384	2	$304	308	0	+308	open	—	08-07 16:36
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	07-31 14:21
tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	1	$300	304	0	+304	open	—	06-04 14:53
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 14?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 19:42
ripcars fdv above 5m one day after launch 20260721182210410	2	$299	305	0	+305	open	—	07-26 07:42
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$296	299	0	+299	open	—	05-26 17:30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	4	$288	192	102	+90	No	$-2	05-13 19:47
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	6	$282	302	7	+295	open	—	06-26 22:15
YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$250	259	0	+259	open	—	06-06 16:59
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$240	240	0	+240	open	—	05-18 19:58
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $308 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$227	229	0	+229	open	—	05-15 18:52
XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$226	231	0	+231	open	—	05-28 19:20
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$214	215	0	+215	open	—	05-21 19:15
XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$212	215	0	+215	open	—	05-28 19:25
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 12?	1	$205	205	0	+205	open	—	05-12 19:38
ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	1	$200	207	0	+207	open	—	07-26 07:45
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-21 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 06:16:04	over 5m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831374	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x63575f…
08-07 23:27:52	over 8m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831377	No	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0x87d9b2…
08-07 23:26:31	over 17pt5m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831382	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x355f7e…
08-07 16:36:12	over 25m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831384	No	BUY	247	99¢	$244	0x87240f…
08-07 16:36:09	over 30m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831385	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0696e4…
08-06 17:14:08	over 25m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831384	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x7f1df5…
07-31 21:36:17	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x06f071…
07-31 14:21:11	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x95461d…
07-31 06:14:00	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$176	0xd98f70…
07-26 07:46:21	ripcars fdv above 4m one day after launch 20260721182210409	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x17dc30…
07-26 07:45:52	ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x742966…
07-26 07:42:07	ripcars fdv above 5m one day after launch 20260721182210410	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9372f0…
07-26 04:06:10	ripcars fdv above 5m one day after launch 20260721182210410	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xa20e0b…
07-25 16:33:58	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xb96cdc…
07-25 14:26:34	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x5ab5f7…
07-25 06:44:49	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x329a33…
07-25 06:23:30	over 1pt5m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419656	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x02ab03…
07-22 07:07:12	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	193	99¢	$190	0xec76e6…
07-22 07:06:33	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4aea90…
07-22 07:06:03	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7e42bb…
07-21 17:01:24	over 3m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129599	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb61e23…
07-21 17:01:13	over 4m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129600	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x7da7a4…
07-21 17:01:04	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	Yes	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x5258ff…
07-18 07:58:48	credible fdv above 60m one day after launch 20260708144505955	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xbf65df…
07-18 06:52:55	credible fdv above 30m one day after launch 20260708144505952	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x6468f4…
07-17 04:54:55	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x639257…
07-14 02:37:35	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xe91b5c…
07-13 18:51:47	over 4m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325642	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xe013fc…
07-10 03:38:07	credible fdv above 60m one day after launch 20260708144505955	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x9358cb…
07-05 20:00:22	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x6c5d85…
07-05 18:14:20	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	444	99¢	$440	0x14bbc5…
07-04 16:18:38	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	142	98¢	$140	0x8b602a…
07-04 15:48:08	over 70m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xc200af…
07-04 15:21:55	over 80m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x61c03d…
07-04 09:48:37	over 80m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5b8899…
07-04 09:22:50	over 70m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd07bbf…
07-04 09:22:26	over 90m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x57f15d…
07-03 03:43:58	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2d868…
07-03 03:43:49	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9b92d5…
07-03 03:43:28	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x11c484…
07-03 03:43:19	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x1406b5…
07-03 03:40:52	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xeb0a89…
07-03 03:39:31	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x47d06e…
07-03 03:38:20	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcd410d…
07-03 03:37:40	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb787c3…
07-03 03:36:56	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x237aa7…
07-03 03:36:49	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x333911…
07-03 03:36:41	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xfd4547…
06-29 04:56:29	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf41389…
06-28 04:34:47	Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb73365…
06-27 16:44:55	will kast launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0x45ca67…
06-27 10:28:01	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	58	70¢	$41	0xbd7f96…
06-27 10:04:29	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xcb1f70…
06-27 10:03:23	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x41e7a6…
06-27 10:02:55	Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4d3fd7…
06-27 03:28:05	will kast launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	60	14¢	$9	0x0956f1…
06-26 22:15:25	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdfc0c…
06-26 12:34:25	will codex launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x2e88c3…
06-26 08:39:26	will codex launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x96a8ba…
06-10 03:37:09	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x231b6f…
06-08 06:10:06	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x2801d7…
06-07 10:27:52	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6523f0…
06-06 19:18:31	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xac74d2…
06-06 16:59:27	YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x5f4826…
06-06 13:15:51	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xe3e066…
06-06 05:33:36	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x31af7f…
06-06 04:01:19	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6c14f9…
06-04 14:53:09	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xcc8a8c…
06-03 19:48:33	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe9918c…
06-01 12:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xec2b1e…
06-01 12:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x4b700b…
06-01 12:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ca880…
05-30 10:44:55	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x8c45db…
05-30 06:43:07	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbb77dc…
05-30 06:42:34	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x80ee65…
05-30 06:41:52	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xd36ffe…
05-29 18:35:12	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbf815b…
05-29 18:07:11	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $4.50?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf2903…
05-29 18:06:44	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $4.50?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3d62a0…
05-29 16:40:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3af316…
05-29 16:38:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7902aa…
05-28 19:25:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0xa56be4…
05-28 19:20:34	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xab4d78…
05-28 19:20:27	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x95e747…
05-28 19:17:52	XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x967204…
05-28 19:11:35	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0xa05b10…
05-27 04:10:28	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x88fea9…
05-27 04:10:21	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x45db06…
05-27 04:09:25	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xddd862…
05-26 17:30:17	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7e03a…
05-26 16:17:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xd3dd1f…
05-26 16:15:38	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x68a1dc…
05-26 13:12:51	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdcd17…
05-25 12:20:53	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x301891…
05-25 10:23:49	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x16e01b…
05-24 10:05:59	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3959a6…
05-21 19:56:16	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x543c88…
05-21 19:54:34	Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x21070d…
05-21 19:15:26	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf17620…
05-21 18:05:03	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xfaa250…