Dishonest-Trowel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-13 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 73% +$94

Other

13% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$110	70	70	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$91	70	70	+0	Down	$-9	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$89	75	75	+0	Down	$-11	05-13 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	05-13 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$61	37	37	+0	Down	+$11	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$58	33	33	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$57	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$57	34	34	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$50	55	0	+55	Down	+$5	05-13 20:57
earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 privacy 1 times	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	02-04 22:36
will trump say nicki or nikki or rapper this week february 8	2	$27	20	8	+12	open	—	02-08 23:41
will keir starmer say mcsweeney during the next prime ministers questions	1	$26	31	0	+31	open	—	02-09 20:27
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$26	46	46	+0	open	—	05-13 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	05-13 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$25	68	0	+68	Up	+$43	05-13 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Down	$-25	05-13 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	+$15	05-13 20:38
will leavitt say go ahead 6 times during the next press briefing	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	02-05 20:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$14	27	27	+0	open	—	02-09 13:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	02-28 21:35
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	02-27 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$11	13	13	+0	Down	$-9	05-13 19:24
wta ferro bartunk 2026 02 04	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-04 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-13 19:28
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during the champion of coal event 388 938	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-11 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-13 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-13 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	$-10	05-13 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xee8b5d…
05-13 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x3e6137…
05-13 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8f1510…
05-13 20:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xae67c5…
05-13 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x2e2306…
05-13 20:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xf1f44c…
05-13 20:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xf9ba9c…
05-13 20:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x515156…
05-13 20:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x8f865c…
05-13 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x5cac8b…
05-13 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xebde26…
05-13 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcbc952…
05-13 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x761e74…
05-13 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xa2e151…
05-13 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0xed50d8…
05-13 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x9798a1…
05-13 20:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x41e18e…
05-13 20:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x981980…
05-13 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x128788…
05-13 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x7bb0af…
05-13 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x510206…
05-13 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3c6de9…
05-13 20:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xdc853b…
05-13 20:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3ec173…
05-13 20:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xd172b9…
05-13 20:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xb5ed9b…
05-13 20:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x2bd551…
05-13 20:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3103e7…
05-13 20:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xe7d04f…
05-13 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa95754…
05-13 20:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xfb077e…
05-13 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x122493…
05-13 19:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6ff6b4…
05-13 19:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5f3e15…
05-13 19:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7d5dec…
05-13 19:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3a4ba8…
05-13 19:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x98dfb2…
05-13 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7c7c3c…
05-13 19:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0fc6f9…
05-13 19:01:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	25¢	$11	0xb0419b…
05-13 12:47:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x047f0e…
05-12 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x788d2d…
05-12 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x054fbf…
02-28 21:35:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0xbca171…
02-27 02:34:56	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x281fac…
02-12 18:33:27	will trump say biden or obama 3 times during epa announcement	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xccbb08…
02-11 19:50:35	will trump say coal 25 times during the champion of coal event 351	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc93f94…
02-11 19:50:01	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during the champion of coal event 388 938	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7352c3…
02-09 20:27:17	will keir starmer say mcsweeney during the next prime ministers questions	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x8901cd…
02-09 13:54:23	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x960721…
02-09 10:17:31	will legendary be said at the super bowl	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x0dcdbe…
02-08 23:45:15	will trump be said at the super bowl 199	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xd5d51e…
02-08 23:41:59	will legendary be said at the super bowl	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa635e9…
02-08 23:41:09	will trump say nicki or nikki or rapper this week february 8	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xfbed89…
02-08 23:39:47	will trump say nicki or nikki or rapper this week february 8	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6c8f8e…
02-08 23:38:17	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xfa64af…
02-08 23:36:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc455e6…
02-05 20:49:11	will leavitt say go ahead 6 times during the next press briefing	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xbe13db…
02-04 22:36:21	earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 youtube shorts 1 times	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc7654e…
02-04 22:36:11	earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 privacy 1 times	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xdd9ad8…
02-04 19:17:55	atp humbert mannari 2026 02 04	Humbert	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa29ded…
02-04 19:15:23	wta ferro bartunk 2026 02 04	Bartunkova	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe2ebaf…
02-04 18:36:33	wta ferro bartunk 2026 02 04	Bartunkova	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8bf165…
02-04 18:28:15	earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 privacy 1 times	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x395a0a…
02-04 18:27:25	earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 youtube shorts 1 times	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1ebd80…
02-03 20:38:14	will trump say biden during 2pm signing	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfc5254…
02-03 20:01:24	will trumps 2pm signing event not air	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf213f2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	22	$21.2K	1,982	05-13 20:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	22	$9.61K	1,009	05-13 20:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	22	$7.35K	551	05-13 20:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	22	$5.23K	1,309	05-13 20:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	22	$4.94K	1,245	05-13 20:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	22	$4.92K	755	05-13 20:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	22	$4.64K	802	05-13 20:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	22	$4.42K	606	05-13 20:59