Thoughtful-Position — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-23 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 40% +$39

Crypto

20% 35% -$88

Sports

10% 38% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	2	$43	27	27	+0	Under	+$11	05-02 18:56
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5	2	$34	29	29	+0	Under	+$24	05-02 21:31
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5	2	$34	20	20	+0	Under	+$6	05-03 17:18
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	2	$34	24	24	+0	Under	+$14	05-22 22:18
Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5	2	$33	30	30	+0	Under	+$13	05-02 20:07
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	2	$32	18	18	+0	Under	+$2	05-03 16:16
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	2	$32	19	19	+0	Under	+$2	05-04 02:48
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	2	$30	28	28	+0	Over	$0	05-22 22:28
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5	2	$29	18	18	+0	Under	+$7	05-03 22:02
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5	1	$29	39	0	+39	Over	-$29	05-22 22:37
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	2	$29	16	16	+0	Under	+$3	05-23 11:57
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	2	$26	17	17	+0	Under	+$6	05-03 12:02
Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5	2	$26	16	16	+0	Under	+$6	05-03 13:00
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	2	$26	16	16	+0	Under	+$6	05-03 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	-$25	05-04 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	-$25	05-04 08:53
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?	2	$25	24	24	+0	Yes	+$15	05-03 01:02
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5	2	$24	21	21	+0	Over	-$6	05-03 16:44
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	2	$23	13	13	+0	FC Lorient	+$3	05-02 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$22	38	38	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 09:37
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	05-04 01:06
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	05-03 07:59
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?	2	$21	19	19	+0	Yes	+$16	05-03 06:54
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	1	$20	26	0	+26	Under	+$6	05-03 17:20
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5	2	$19	14	14	+0	Under	+$9	05-03 09:59
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	2	$18	15	15	+0	Under	-$2	05-04 01:33
San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5	2	$17	23	23	+0	Over	+$7	05-03 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$16	37	31	+6	Up	+$2	05-04 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	47	0	+47	Up	-$15	05-04 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 12:07:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ed80d…
05-23 12:06:50	SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4359ef…
05-23 12:06:09	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x98b5f6…
05-23 12:05:34	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x42b9db…
05-23 11:57:10	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xee880d…
05-23 11:57:03	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6848fb…
05-23 10:54:38	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeae01f…
05-23 10:54:14	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x7afcb4…
05-23 10:14:48	Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb7d857…
05-23 04:07:48	Vegalta Sendai vs. Yokohama FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8a5fd6…
05-23 04:07:07	Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87e124…
05-23 04:05:59	Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4eb6e4…
05-23 04:05:36	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5cd56e…
05-23 04:05:07	Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x122089…
05-22 22:37:22	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x728960…
05-22 22:33:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa46467…
05-22 22:31:09	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfcc475…
05-22 22:28:05	ITF Pelham: Savannah Broadus vs Amelia Honer	Savannah Broadus	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x70d0fa…
05-22 22:28:00	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Under	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x22a65b…
05-22 22:18:26	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb1ddf6…
05-22 15:18:17	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1f9768…
05-22 15:16:06	ITF Pelham: Savannah Broadus vs Amelia Honer	Savannah Broadus	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x565c94…
05-22 15:13:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Felix Gill vs Kyrian Jacquet	Felix Gill	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4a64b3…
05-22 14:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x986ae4…
05-22 14:47:56	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2eefc8…
05-22 14:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8b1be9…
05-22 14:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x242ad9…
05-22 14:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe3fe8b…
05-04 12:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x0edbe4…
05-04 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5eb662…
05-04 09:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0xa3cb59…
05-04 09:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x81f8fb…
05-04 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa6c2cd…
05-04 09:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcc228b…
05-04 09:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0x2e49c4…
05-04 09:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x23a988…
05-04 09:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2a0bed…
05-04 09:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x201332…
05-04 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x095b8c…
05-04 09:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x9031e2…
05-04 09:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf36c4d…
05-04 08:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x27648b…
05-04 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd89b72…
05-04 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xa25012…
05-04 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f00ba…
05-04 08:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x785b05…
05-04 07:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0xa860ff…
05-04 07:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7b41d8…
05-04 06:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd68d9…
05-04 06:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9aff8f…
05-04 06:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcab2e5…
05-04 06:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x93e950…
05-04 06:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9dbbd6…
05-04 02:48:58	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x26de47…
05-04 02:18:44	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x2fb683…
05-04 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6e72b2…
05-04 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb63321…
05-04 02:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xc9f3e5…
05-04 02:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd57b6b…
05-04 01:33:04	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x923c82…
05-04 01:06:30	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0d0162…
05-04 00:48:14	CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x65acd6…
05-04 00:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	310	2¢	$5	0xea0cfc…
05-03 23:41:52	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe00625…
05-03 23:40:42	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe80cd3…
05-03 23:36:18	Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf89a82…
05-03 23:35:44	CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xb5fd4b…
05-03 23:27:28	CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa3a7c3…
05-03 22:22:06	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x62bfe9…
05-03 22:21:20	Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xed1eb0…
05-03 22:02:28	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x79d51c…
05-03 22:02:10	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf1b3c2…
05-03 17:20:50	SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x55ce31…
05-03 17:18:32	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5f8f9b…
05-03 16:45:46	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xc74e68…
05-03 16:44:26	AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x9ad95e…
05-03 16:22:10	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x2273e0…
05-03 16:16:36	Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xd1b550…
05-03 15:48:22	Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x1e0808…
05-03 15:42:22	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe1fb2c…
05-03 15:39:58	AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x901374…
05-03 15:30:54	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdfd816…
05-03 14:37:42	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x539d08…
05-03 14:36:28	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x9a677b…
05-03 14:15:40	Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7da8a8…
05-03 14:08:32	Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bd24…
05-03 13:45:14	Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xf29413…
05-03 13:31:48	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x73b8e8…
05-03 13:20:54	Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xc901c6…
05-03 13:20:24	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9700f5…
05-03 13:00:10	Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe1e629…
05-03 12:52:56	Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x171fce…
05-03 12:52:32	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x9ca2d3…
05-03 12:52:14	Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdc5f22…
05-03 12:51:48	Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8eb39d…
05-03 12:51:20	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1b598c…
05-03 12:05:20	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6cfc2e…
05-03 12:02:44	Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1a6cfb…
05-03 10:10:36	Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x028654…
05-03 10:08:42	Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0e4919…