Realized P&L
+$75
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
764
Trades
1,657
lifetime
Volume
$101.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$680
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-27 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 48% +$947
Other
38% 51% -$632
Politics
10% 62% -$95
Sports
4% 24% -$259
Tech
1% 73% +$111
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +81 $74 99¢ $80 +$6 10-27 23:40
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +79 $70 95¢ $75 +$4 10-26 16:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -200 -$74 26¢ $-53 +$21 08-14 01:20
Kings vs. Spurs Spurs +56 $52 92¢ $52 $0 10-27 20:18
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? No +54 $49 94¢ $51 +$1 10-26 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +52 $46 96¢ $50 +$4 10-27 23:13
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $45 98¢ $49 +$4 10-27 23:34
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +48 $44 93¢ $44 +$0 10-26 01:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +43 $38 96¢ $41 +$2 10-27 19:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -476 -$57 8¢ $-40 +$17 08-14 01:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +39 $34 98¢ $38 +$4 10-26 18:02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +38 $35 92¢ $35 $0 10-28 00:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +33 $30 93¢ $31 +$1 10-27 10:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +31 $27 93¢ $29 +$2 10-27 10:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +13 $11 95¢ $12 +$1 10-28 00:06
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 $1 91¢ $0 $0 10-27 20:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +0 -$3 100¢ $0 +$3 10-27 15:06
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +0 $2 94¢ $0 -$2 10-24 15:30
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +0 $15 87¢ $0 -$15 10-03 22:20
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-24 15:34
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +0 $6 92¢ $0 -$6 10-26 03:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $12 72¢ $0 -$12 09-11 04:50
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +0 $3 82¢ $0 -$3 10-25 12:42
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $9 79¢ $0 -$9 09-11 04:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +0 $40 72¢ $0 -$40 10-26 14:41
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $37 72¢ $0 -$37 10-26 14:38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27? Yes +0 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 10-27 20:18