Hasty-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

258

Trades

5,786

lifetime

Volume

$6.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 47% $-21

Other

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	14	$27	72	72	+0	open	—	01-15 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	10	$26	24	24	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 12:43
btc updown 15m 1769179500	12	$25	31	29	+3	open	—	01-23 14:56
btc updown 15m 1768916700	20	$24	37	37	+0	open	—	01-20 13:59
btc updown 5m 1774926900	7	$24	22	15	+7	open	—	03-31 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	12	$21	27	17	+10	Up	$-7	05-10 14:14
eth updown 15m 1769481900	12	$21	19	18	+0	open	—	01-27 02:57
btc updown 5m 1774105800	9	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	03-21 15:14
btc updown 15m 1768832100	10	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	01-19 14:21
btc updown 15m 1768057200	4	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	01-10 15:05
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$17	32	32	+0	open	—	01-16 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	11	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 00:58
btc updown 15m 1768982400	5	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	01-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	11	$16	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 03:24
btc updown 15m 1767510900	10	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	01-04 07:27
btc updown 15m 1767785400	12	$15	23	23	+0	open	—	01-07 11:40
btc updown 15m 1770990300	14	$15	18	16	+2	open	—	02-13 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 14:26
btc updown 15m 1770448500	10	$15	22	16	+6	open	—	02-07 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	7	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 12:00
btc updown 15m 1767582900	12	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	01-05 03:22
btc updown 15m 1770389100	8	$14	62	11	+50	open	—	02-06 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	7	$14	110	10	+100	Up	+$2	05-10 09:50
btc updown 5m 1774927800	9	$14	11	10	+2	open	—	03-31 03:34
btc updown 15m 1768915800	9	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	01-20 13:39
btc updown 15m 1767876300	10	$14	17	14	+2	open	—	01-08 12:55
btc updown 15m 1770302700	8	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	02-05 14:52
btc updown 5m 1776843000	7	$14	13	8	+5	open	—	04-22 07:35
sol updown 15m 1769069700	9	$14	33	13	+20	open	—	01-22 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x653b70…
06-03 13:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa44927…
06-03 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3b435c…
06-03 07:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0705b0…
06-03 07:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5c0541…
06-03 07:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe0dfb6…
06-03 03:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5518f8…
06-03 03:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc93579…
06-03 02:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa0482c…
06-03 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa909bb…
06-03 02:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0057a6…
06-03 02:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf9ec44…
06-03 02:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xc241e8…
06-03 02:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xda9109…
06-03 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x16776e…
06-03 02:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfb6c82…
06-03 02:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaeebe7…
05-31 11:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf41cb4…
05-31 11:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1b0010…
05-30 13:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x413c46…
05-30 13:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7b2353…
05-30 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6fd0e0…
05-30 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x43fb30…
05-30 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4867c7…
05-30 12:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x132b8c…
05-30 12:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x18a355…
05-30 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x3f8c56…
05-30 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6927e9…
05-30 10:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xde5ee7…
05-30 10:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x257b71…
05-30 10:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xef40b1…
05-30 10:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x5550a2…
05-30 10:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x137ede…
05-30 10:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x251586…
05-30 10:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x5c8432…
05-30 10:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb519e…
05-30 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xffef94…
05-30 09:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x114064…
05-30 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4ed3de…
05-30 08:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xda578a…
05-30 08:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2bd6c9…
05-30 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7f86e5…
05-30 08:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xba715b…
05-30 08:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x93745e…
05-30 08:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x21f0ec…
05-30 08:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x7ad717…
05-30 08:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x40b4ac…
05-30 08:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x54b43f…
05-30 08:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xaadad8…
05-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x958534…
05-30 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7e551d…
05-30 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xba1deb…
05-30 08:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcebcbf…
05-30 08:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b3bf1…
05-30 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf3506e…
05-30 08:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5b4088…
05-30 08:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x96e25f…
05-30 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2a8a58…
05-30 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3eddfe…
05-30 03:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x91d5bf…
05-30 03:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3c13cd…
05-30 03:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4c0399…
05-30 03:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x7bfa18…
05-30 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd65175…
05-30 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe48819…
05-30 03:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf46714…
05-30 03:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x232ffa…
05-30 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x45a9e6…
05-30 03:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x5c7680…
05-30 03:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe465cb…
05-30 03:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x24a289…
05-30 03:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xccc67a…
05-30 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb896c8…
05-30 03:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x52e140…
05-30 03:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe36c88…
05-30 03:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x95cb7c…
05-30 03:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb331df…
05-30 01:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34e17d…
05-30 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf8409…
05-30 01:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x06cd2b…
05-30 00:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd14bf2…
05-30 00:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe1112c…
05-29 11:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x45e67d…
05-29 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x17e15a…
05-29 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x8b17c7…
05-29 11:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb1df91…
05-29 11:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xc2e4ed…
05-29 11:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x37dd1b…
05-29 11:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x824b7d…
05-29 11:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xdcea1b…
05-29 11:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x4ea6aa…
05-29 11:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2f0f84…
05-29 11:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x8abbfa…
05-29 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a90a1…
05-29 11:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa8473d…
05-29 11:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb0fe2f…
05-29 11:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f75df…
05-29 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x109dba…
05-29 09:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xe7a195…
05-29 09:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x85d2c7…