Curvy-Theft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

117

Trades

1,617

lifetime

Volume

$7.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-15 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 53% $-36

Other

37% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 581 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	61	$298	347	144	+203	open	—	04-26 10:55
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi	18	$202	308	158	+150	open	—	04-21 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	23	$195	192	186	+5	open	—	04-27 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	24	$194	229	120	+109	open	—	04-27 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	7	$162	139	134	+5	open	—	04-26 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	27	$159	320	87	+232	open	—	04-26 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	35	$156	262	106	+157	open	—	04-27 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	34	$154	443	157	+286	open	—	04-27 05:29
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs Tung-Lin Wu	15	$144	246	147	+99	open	—	04-21 07:17
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlov	13	$131	193	193	+0	open	—	04-21 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	30	$126	317	0	+317	open	—	04-27 05:08
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsen	6	$124	79	79	+1	open	—	04-26 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	15	$123	115	114	+2	open	—	04-26 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$115	170	123	+47	open	—	04-26 20:50
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez	35	$111	130	102	+28	open	—	04-26 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	16	$108	123	118	+4	open	—	04-27 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	19	$96	95	94	+2	open	—	04-27 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	23	$95	234	0	+234	open	—	04-27 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	18	$83	155	149	+6	open	—	04-26 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	28	$80	196	0	+196	open	—	04-27 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	9	$80	81	41	+40	open	—	04-27 11:00
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bu	4	$80	128	76	+52	open	—	04-21 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	20	$80	757	0	+757	open	—	04-27 04:57
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?	8	$76	42	37	+5	open	—	04-26 10:28
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?	13	$71	83	0	+83	open	—	04-26 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$68	269	25	+244	open	—	04-26 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	9	$67	124	60	+64	open	—	04-26 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	12	$66	417	29	+388	open	—	04-27 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	19	$64	137	0	+137	open	—	04-27 10:02
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?	2	$63	64	63	+0	open	—	04-26 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 06:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x28dc51…
05-15 06:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x04156a…
05-15 06:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x10322b…
05-15 06:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x227f09…
05-15 06:49:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc035e1…
05-15 06:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x2cbe05…
05-15 06:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4add6…
05-15 06:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4d3e82…
05-15 06:18:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x66246b…
05-15 05:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x239e08…
05-14 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xf793b7…
05-14 21:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x25416b…
05-14 20:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa1769f…
05-14 20:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa44a76…
05-14 20:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xe139a6…
05-14 20:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2c8315…
05-14 20:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd1f77d…
05-14 20:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb69f30…
05-14 03:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xa11fdd…
05-14 02:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x1f5c61…
05-14 02:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82358e…
05-14 02:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7f95b0…
05-14 02:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x51e2fb…
05-14 02:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x53ed9b…
05-14 02:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x553319…
05-14 02:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x366667…
05-14 01:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb98455…
05-14 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x42ee89…
05-14 01:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x393481…
05-14 01:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfb4567…
05-14 01:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf30d6b…
05-14 01:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x754a8c…
05-14 01:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd6b0ae…
05-14 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd5359d…
05-14 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x212dc1…
05-14 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x88887a…
05-14 00:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xca529e…
05-14 00:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x021267…
05-14 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8c8f02…
05-14 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x524682…
05-14 00:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c05af…
05-14 00:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x02a771…
05-13 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x0c54f6…
05-13 23:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb444f3…
05-13 23:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2b676d…
05-13 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd76a3f…
05-13 23:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbe4073…
05-13 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xebb2c5…
05-13 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x813d1f…
05-13 23:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x15e602…
05-13 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7d04e5…
05-13 23:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x864266…
05-13 22:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1922ef…
05-13 22:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc364ec…
05-13 22:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x71d30d…
05-13 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x75b870…
05-13 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xbb2b75…
05-13 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x036896…
05-13 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0a33f7…
05-13 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x63da16…
05-13 21:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x08cdfc…
05-13 21:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8ce6d8…
05-13 21:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x525163…
05-13 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4fa09a…
05-13 21:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd08555…
05-13 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x62fde0…
05-13 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x83a9fa…
05-13 20:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x057613…
05-13 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb237c6…
05-13 20:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xfb7b6d…
05-13 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc26ef1…
05-13 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xae46a1…
05-13 20:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3303c7…
05-13 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xef537e…
05-13 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0x7e5190…
05-13 19:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5e96f8…
05-13 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x996752…
05-13 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1fae49…
05-13 19:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xca33b9…
05-13 19:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0b5e48…
05-13 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xd09480…
05-13 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe57332…
05-13 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x90b6e2…
05-13 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd2c449…
05-13 18:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xaea697…
05-13 18:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xee9385…
05-13 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe1dcb9…
05-13 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x95dd92…
05-13 18:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x0a14c9…
05-13 18:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x82f25a…
05-13 17:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x03fa2a…
05-13 17:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3620d9…
05-13 17:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x56d981…
05-13 17:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xe8ddb9…
05-13 17:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8d7e96…
05-13 17:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xe0f718…
05-13 17:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x730c4c…
05-13 17:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x991447…
05-13 16:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0a744a…
05-13 16:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd0e2c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	250	$71.8K	10,659	05-15 06:58
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	241	$60.9K	9,246	05-15 06:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	233	$219.5K	7,233	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	228	$62.6K	18,244	05-15 06:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	228	$58.3K	16,977	05-15 06:59
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	225	$164.5K	24,160	05-22 13:48
Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf	224	$19.6K	7,949	05-15 06:19
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	223	$24.6K	2,353	05-15 06:59