Narrow-Extinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$257.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$926

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 11-05 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

88% 64% +$1,329

Politics

7% 40% +$1,546

Crypto

3% 63% -$602

Sports

3% 100% +$921

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$50.9K	32,564	32,564	+0	Yes	+$4,719	10-24 03:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	7	$34.5K	22,503	22,503	+0	open	—	11-05 14:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$33.9K	21,493	17,227	+4,266	Yes	+$981	07-26 15:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$20.6K	20,052	15,264	+4,787	Yes	+$1,233	09-12 05:54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	6	$18.3K	19,593	19,593	+0	MOUZ	-$431	10-09 16:10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	6	$11.2K	5,789	5,789	+0	Vitality	+$243	10-09 12:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$11.1K	5,930	5,930	+0	Yes	+$59	11-02 14:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$10.1K	9,338	9,338	+0	No	-$2,054	09-30 00:08
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6.4K	20,849	20,849	+0	No	+$840	07-11 23:40
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	2	$6.0K	10,417	10,417	+0	Aurora Gaming	-$3,966	10-10 14:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5.0K	6,494	0	+6,494	Yes	+$1,494	11-02 23:22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1	$4.8K	8,131	0	+8,131	Spirit	+$3,334	10-09 16:12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	8	$4.7K	5,036	5,036	+0	Aurora Gaming	-$1,305	10-11 12:29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	16	$4.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	FaZe	-$3,098	10-10 13:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,586	2,586	+0	open	—	06-18 00:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$3.8K	2,511	2,511	+0	No	-$171	09-11 13:23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	6	$3.2K	2,948	2,948	+0	Vitality	-$284	10-11 15:42
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19 game2	4	$2.3K	2,223	1,227	+996	Vitality	+$253	04-19 18:59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	Aurora Gaming	+$22	10-10 15:01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	FaZe	+$141	10-10 11:17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$1.6K	1,689	1,689	+0	Vitality	-$354	10-05 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	9	$1.2K	1,431	1,431	+0	Down	-$194	10-05 23:27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$1.1K	1,833	0	+1,833	Vitality	+$781	10-10 15:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	Yes	+$2	04-24 15:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1000	503	503	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 15:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$904	494	494	+0	No	+$44	07-07 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:00 UTC	6	$887	1,109	947	+162	Up	-$332	03-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$760	482	416	+66	Down	+$26	10-05 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	4	$695	757	746	+11	Up	+$64	03-12 14:54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$602	1,824	1,824	+0	open	—	05-19 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:51:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,778	76¢	$5,911	0x7913bf…
11-04 15:26:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,778	83¢	$6,456	0x13831d…
11-02 23:22:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6,494	77¢	$5,000	0x3ada46…
11-02 14:47:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5,930	94¢	$5,574	0x2704cc…
10-30 14:13:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,725	71¢	$5,485	0x0bdbbe…
10-29 06:02:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xb41971…
10-29 00:21:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,530	93¢	$5,143	0x7d156e…
10-29 00:20:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,000	79¢	$5,530	0x693090…
10-25 11:27:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,370	77¢	$1,825	0x9ecf92…
10-24 12:51:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa7ac7f…
10-24 03:48:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,340	75¢	$9,255	0x1505ca…
10-24 03:47:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,959	93¢	$9,262	0xc77d5b…
10-23 12:23:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf05142…
10-18 13:45:57	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x2fb2ac…
10-18 09:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc2a30…
10-18 09:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x75d7e6…
10-18 09:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb189ce…
10-18 09:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x457285…
10-17 15:09:27	cs2 furia aur1 2026 10 17	FURIA	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x16d44a…
10-17 15:01:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x726796…
10-17 14:58:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x94d920…
10-17 14:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe0e478…
10-17 10:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xaa7b54…
10-17 10:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x35451a…
10-17 10:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbdbbcb…
10-17 10:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x99cc19…
10-17 10:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x8b501f…
10-17 09:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x2969c3…
10-17 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x1d3c7d…
10-17 00:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xca0323…
10-17 00:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf3ba34…
10-16 23:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x5b5981…
10-16 16:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xa91597…
10-16 16:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe0296e…
10-16 16:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xd8754e…
10-16 16:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4c8237…
10-16 16:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb52d3b…
10-16 16:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x451ad3…
10-16 16:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x86894f…
10-16 16:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x93cd24…
10-16 15:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x102f7d…
10-16 15:31:48	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 game1	Aurora Gaming	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb4a434…
10-16 14:25:01	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 game1	Aurora Gaming	BUY	67	81¢	$54	0x06b4ed…
10-16 14:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xda17f2…
10-16 14:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x5f530d…
10-16 14:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x90e092…
10-15 13:49:08	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0xdd41cc…
10-14 15:10:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,126	62¢	$5,658	0x6ceda0…
10-12 10:38:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	84¢	$700	0x613c38…
10-11 15:43:07	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	690	77¢	$531	0x2f636a…
10-11 15:42:37	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	561	96¢	$538	0x79a795…
10-11 15:19:01	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	561	66¢	$369	0xf84b19…
10-11 15:17:48	cs2 vit mouz 2026 10 11 game1	MOUZ	SELL	966	40¢	$386	0x267398…
10-11 15:14:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	966	53¢	$512	0x7bb9e1…
10-11 15:13:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	1,422	38¢	$540	0xadface…
10-11 14:02:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,422	61¢	$867	0x28780f…
10-11 12:29:34	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	885	45¢	$398	0x3e95ca…
10-11 12:29:13	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game1	Aurora Gaming	SELL	415	99¢	$411	0x3f5422…
10-11 12:15:04	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game1	Aurora Gaming	BUY	415	79¢	$328	0xc429c8…
10-11 12:11:10	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	1,422	24¢	$341	0x2fd511…
10-11 12:03:01	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game1	Spirit	BUY	1,422	63¢	$896	0x30d32c…
10-11 12:02:28	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game1	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1,206	37¢	$443	0x8c7361…
10-11 12:00:15	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game1	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1,992	25¢	$504	0xdb43c4…
10-11 11:50:39	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	982	57¢	$563	0xa9721f…
10-11 11:49:16	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2,216	55¢	$1,217	0xe4e3c7…
10-11 11:48:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,210	83¢	$1,834	0xe34573…
10-11 00:24:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,210	84¢	$1,856	0x7b27e7…
10-10 15:07:01	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xad4f43…
10-10 15:01:55	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	986	56¢	$552	0xa84936…
10-10 15:01:36	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1,023	100¢	$1,022	0x2c53d6…
10-10 14:34:18	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x870ac5…
10-10 14:29:07	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	10,417	10¢	$1,034	0x80247a…
10-10 13:07:25	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	10,417	48¢	$5,000	0xb35fd2…
10-10 13:01:03	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	3,660	5¢	$190	0xefe08b…
10-10 12:59:39	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x4f5d6f…
10-10 12:59:37	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x31f554…
10-10 12:59:24	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	132	23¢	$30	0xef43d5…
10-10 12:59:19	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xd3ea7a…
10-10 12:59:19	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x6a08d6…
10-10 12:59:18	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xfd746c…
10-10 12:59:12	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x0ff372…
10-10 12:59:04	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	62	23¢	$14	0xddb23e…
10-10 12:59:03	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x99730f…
10-10 12:59:00	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0xf9ed74…
10-10 12:58:57	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0xe148f3…
10-10 12:58:39	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	78	23¢	$18	0xd93c60…
10-10 12:58:24	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	55	24¢	$13	0x4ea739…
10-10 12:58:24	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	244	23¢	$56	0x2c2de5…
10-10 12:33:07	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	5,000	72¢	$3,597	0xa3a368…
10-10 11:17:42	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,859	0x412be5…
10-10 10:40:52	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	551	32¢	$176	0xff376d…
10-10 10:36:24	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	551	18¢	$100	0x710a37…
10-09 16:12:20	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	8,131	59¢	$4,797	0x3d3eae…
10-09 16:10:53	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	4,900	100¢	$4,895	0x880bf7…
10-09 14:52:01	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	4,900	79¢	$3,863	0x59dbb5…
10-09 14:50:54	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	3,196	23¢	$747	0xa7574a…
10-09 14:50:34	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	8,030	23¢	$1,859	0x0208f5…
10-09 14:47:58	cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 09	FURIA	SELL	3,467	41¢	$1,433	0x7cf16d…
10-09 14:38:49	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	14,693	37¢	$5,503	0x061efd…
10-09 14:38:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,835	84¢	$5,741	0xa8e62b…