Vague-Inconvenience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

157

Trades

1,089

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-07 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 12% -$529

Sports

37% 12% -$439

Other

17% 22% -$87

Politics

1% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?	54	$435	2,111	2,111	+0	No	+$4	06-13 23:17
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	6	$290	13,620	13,620	+0	No	-$18	06-04 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 7?	22	$290	7,877	1,747	+6,129	No	-$10	05-07 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	18	$271	3,269	3,269	+0	No	-$3	06-13 08:04
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$188	519	519	+0	No	+$1	06-11 10:58
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	4	$147	126	126	+0	Yes	+$102	05-06 21:01
Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	10	$142	102	102	+0	Yes	+$59	10-07 22:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?	16	$141	6,277	500	+5,777	No	+$40	05-04 15:14
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by submission	19	$139	725	12	+713	No	-$115	06-15 04:51
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	3	$134	1,650	0	+1,650	Knicks	-$134	06-14 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	27	$132	1,239	389	+850	Yes	-$52	05-04 02:26
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$126	105	105	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$82	06-15 04:59
ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11 cortez win by ko tko	16	$118	1,809	552	+1,257	No	-$63	07-11 22:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	15	$106	6,345	1,772	+4,573	Yes	+$93	04-28 13:56
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	2	$105	104	104	+0	Ciryl Gane	-$1	06-11 07:16
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	4	$95	1,057	0	+1,057	No	-$95	07-19 20:53
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	3	$82	84	84	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:22
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	5	$80	55	55	+0	Yes	+$30	05-06 21:02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	24	$77	3,530	69	+3,462	No	-$50	05-03 02:18
ufc alv2 rharri 2026 07 18 harris win by ko tko	2	$64	52	52	+0	Yes	+$39	07-18 21:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?	21	$56	3,219	3,219	+0	No	+$2	05-04 10:10
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	20	$55	1,004	0	+1,004	No	-$55	07-04 23:29
ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01 luciano win by ko tko	4	$54	512	0	+512	No	-$54	08-01 12:39
Celtics vs. 76ers	7	$47	6,000	1,000	+5,000	76ers	+$35	05-01 02:22
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	34	$45	15,783	1,688	+14,094	No	-$39	04-30 16:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$41	12,200	5,000	+7,200	No	-$19	05-01 00:08
ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18 montes win by ko tko	8	$41	403	0	+403	No	-$41	07-18 19:44
ufc dander eellio 2026 07 18 elliott win by ko tko	7	$39	311	0	+311	No	-$39	07-18 19:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	23	$38	3,885	714	+3,170	No	-$28	05-06 01:44
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 11	10	$37	682	654	+28	No	-$2	06-11 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 22:50:23	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc351db…
10-07 22:50:17	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x963d18…
10-07 22:50:16	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xac7cd6…
10-07 22:50:16	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4ea075…
10-07 22:50:16	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0b061b…
10-07 21:18:58	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	28	41¢	$12	0x33a897…
10-07 21:18:29	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x151a50…
10-07 21:18:28	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x639f4b…
10-07 21:18:28	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1e22fb…
10-07 21:18:26	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xfa7d9d…
08-08 12:44:27	ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	Gigi Canuto	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x3edb0d…
08-06 23:57:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$0	0x4c8e35…
08-06 23:53:24	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x09c86c…
08-06 23:25:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x425c9d…
08-06 23:25:00	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x6eb941…
08-06 23:09:14	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xf02d5c…
08-06 20:49:59	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdaab56…
08-06 18:03:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x6fe444…
08-06 17:10:51	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb6840f…
08-06 17:06:38	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	668	2¢	$12	0x42f585…
08-06 17:06:17	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x50bf98…
08-06 15:47:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	BUY	247	0¢	$1	0x5d3ba2…
08-06 15:10:30	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xdc2897…
08-06 15:10:11	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc1522f…
08-06 15:09:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	Yes	BUY	272	1¢	$3	0x8756b7…
08-06 15:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	SELL	982	0¢	$1	0x40f807…
08-06 14:42:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x826edd…
08-06 14:42:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x172a74…
08-06 14:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xe8852d…
08-06 14:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xf89617…
08-06 14:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2dccae…
08-06 14:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x33d445…
08-06 14:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xddc91d…
08-06 14:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x79af54…
08-06 14:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x51fa24…
08-06 14:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3a574e…
08-06 14:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2b1622…
08-06 14:07:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	412	0¢	$1	0xd5c93d…
08-06 13:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xda2a18…
08-06 13:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xedc5f6…
08-06 12:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xa0aa5c…
08-06 11:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xcfd169…
08-06 11:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x363e25…
08-06 11:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	303	0¢	$1	0x84f73d…
08-06 10:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0x1ad44c…
08-06 08:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x28d7fd…
08-06 08:55:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x7e67af…
08-06 08:50:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb72ecf…
08-06 08:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xa04a30…
08-06 08:48:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xe05795…
08-06 01:11:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0x70f737…
08-06 01:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x4da3d7…
08-06 01:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x2ade3b…
08-06 01:09:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x9c6b80…
08-06 01:08:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x903935…
08-06 01:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x0903f5…
08-06 01:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe0dd65…
08-06 01:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x4e9bf2…
08-06 01:05:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x6ecb09…
08-06 01:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x6d8ff4…
08-06 01:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x3b5249…
08-06 01:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x376128…
08-06 01:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x208926…
08-06 01:01:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x40ed3f…
08-05 23:40:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xd13491…
08-05 23:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$4	0x35d6e9…
08-05 23:03:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$4	0xbc210d…
08-05 23:03:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$6	0x142783…
08-05 21:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb13de0…
08-05 21:56:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$6	0x561352…
08-05 21:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xf11917…
08-05 20:35:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 5	Yes	BUY	310	1¢	$3	0x709348…
08-05 18:37:51	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 5	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf4eef3…
08-05 18:35:03	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 5	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x405424…
08-04 23:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x5552e8…
08-04 22:59:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1,055	1¢	$14	0xeccfef…
08-04 20:25:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	2,937	0¢	$6	0x55525e…
08-04 20:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x194332…
08-04 20:07:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a9645…
08-01 13:45:59	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01 win by submission	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x49eb62…
08-01 13:19:21	ufc lud tof 2026 08 01 win by submission	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa17621…
08-01 12:39:50	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01 luciano win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7921f9…
08-01 12:01:50	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01 luciano win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	162	10¢	$16	0xff6f36…
08-01 11:49:44	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01 luciano win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x5bd907…
08-01 11:48:51	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01 luciano win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x27da2b…
07-25 02:34:22	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x9bbf7a…
07-25 02:28:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	5,300	0¢	$11	0xf6b5b6…
07-25 02:25:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	1,852	0¢	$4	0x907532…
07-25 02:22:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb290d5…
07-25 02:19:04	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xc36e9b…
07-25 02:14:34	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	2,692	0¢	$5	0x9b1838…
07-19 23:25:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65aee1…
07-19 22:05:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x0860ed…
07-19 22:01:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x23bcb0…
07-19 22:01:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	139	2¢	$3	0x90265a…
07-19 21:19:12	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x0085c3…
07-19 20:53:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	325	9¢	$29	0x676455…
07-19 20:53:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	700	9¢	$63	0x7cffbf…
07-19 20:53:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x121a04…
07-19 20:53:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8cb510…