Modest-Ring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-03 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$2

Sports

32% — —

Politics

28% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	2	$2.3K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	03-17 05:00
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$2.2K	2,337	2,337	+0	open	—	03-16 00:49
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2.0K	1,058	1,058	+0	Yes	$-4	03-16 00:33
spl kha nsr 2026 03 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$190	387	0	+387	open	—	03-14 03:41
cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	3	$179	338	0	+338	open	—	03-14 06:11
por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$155	218	0	+218	open	—	03-14 03:19
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	3	$101	1,174	1,170	+4	open	—	03-17 04:42
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$71	1,685	1,685	+0	No	+$3	03-16 01:08
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	3	$55	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	03-15 18:43
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	4	$50	1,351	547	+804	open	—	03-15 16:22
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 03:38
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)	1	$18	20	0	+20	Villarreal CF	+$2	05-13 03:57
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 06:40
spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	03-14 04:08
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-20 11:04
Spread: Spurs (-25.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-03 04:02
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 15:42
will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-14 09:40
elc swe ips 2026 03 14 swe	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-14 09:23
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	03-15 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:02:16	Spread: Spurs (-25.5)	Knicks	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x763712…
05-29 03:38:46	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Universidad de Concepción	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x05a1e9…
05-20 11:04:01	Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x546da7…
05-13 03:57:25	Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc0193b…
04-27 15:42:18	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x7cc26e…
03-17 05:00:05	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,210	96¢	$1,166	0xa369a0…
03-17 04:50:49	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	1,210	97¢	$1,169	0x17fe9f…
03-17 04:42:25	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	798	4¢	$32	0x4b9815…
03-17 04:42:25	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	372	4¢	$15	0x053e32…
03-17 04:35:37	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	1,174	5¢	$54	0x7d94c6…
03-16 01:08:27	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	969	2¢	$21	0xbee2f3…
03-16 01:08:25	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	716	2¢	$16	0x6f1efd…
03-16 00:58:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	969	2¢	$19	0xfb8635…
03-16 00:58:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	716	2¢	$14	0xce9860…
03-16 00:49:37	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,070	94¢	$1,003	0x6e7f1e…
03-16 00:43:55	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,070	94¢	$1,005	0xd7db17…
03-16 00:33:49	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	1,058	95¢	$1,003	0xfcace8…
03-16 00:28:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	1,058	95¢	$1,007	0xbc56ea…
03-16 00:18:17	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,267	6¢	$79	0xcc6030…
03-16 00:12:29	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,267	6¢	$76	0x47b065…
03-15 18:43:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	1,022	3¢	$29	0xa19c1a…
03-15 18:33:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	BUY	251	3¢	$7	0x5dfc4d…
03-15 18:33:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	BUY	771	3¢	$20	0x2b345d…
03-15 16:22:19	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$2	0xa2c385…
03-15 16:19:13	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	413	3¢	$12	0xfbeda7…
03-15 16:14:43	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	979	3¢	$26	0xce331b…
03-15 16:14:43	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	372	3¢	$10	0x28f729…
03-15 14:59:59	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x75a905…
03-15 14:52:57	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6389cf…
03-14 09:40:43	will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x8f51a7…
03-14 09:23:59	elc swe ips 2026 03 14 swe	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5db1f6…
03-14 06:40:17	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x89b752…
03-14 06:11:55	cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	211	53¢	$112	0xf88c7b…
03-14 06:11:55	cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0xaeaec0…
03-14 06:11:55	cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x37a33a…
03-14 04:08:07	spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xe93535…
03-14 03:41:39	spl kha nsr 2026 03 14 spread away 1pt5	Al Khaleej Saudi Club	BUY	387	49¢	$190	0x3f3bcd…
03-14 03:19:03	por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Alverca	BUY	88	71¢	$62	0x4c4fda…
03-14 03:19:03	por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Alverca	BUY	130	71¢	$92	0x1efc47…