Loose-Letter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

435

Trades

938

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-29 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Sports

89% 63% -$18

Other

11% 46% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	5	$43	25	25	+0	Houston Astros	+$3	05-24 21:01
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$41	22	22	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$1	05-25 20:04
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	5	$37	20	20	+0	Washington Nationals	+$1	05-27 00:36
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	4	$33	19	19	+0	San Diego Padres	+$2	05-30 02:04
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	5	$32	17	17	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$1	05-27 03:46
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	4	$30	18	18	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$1	05-24 20:07
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	5	$29	16	16	+0	Athletics	+$1	05-24 23:00
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$28	15	15	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	05-30 00:24
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$28	15	15	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$2	06-02 01:00
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	3	$28	16	16	+0	Kansas City Royals	$0	05-24 20:37
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$27	26	26	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$9	05-26 03:54
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$26	14	14	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$1	06-02 03:47
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	3	$26	14	14	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$2	05-23 22:38
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	3	$26	14	14	+0	Houston Astros	+$1	05-23 20:28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	4	$26	15	15	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$3	05-25 23:12
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	4	$25	14	13	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$1	05-28 00:40
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	3	$25	14	14	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$1	05-24 04:16
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$23	15	15	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$4	05-30 00:19
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	5	$22	12	12	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	05-24 20:58
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	5	$22	13	13	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$3	05-28 19:14
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	2	$21	14	14	+0	Miami Marlins	-$3	06-03 01:00
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$21	12	12	+0	Washington Nationals	+$3	05-23 23:16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$21	11	11	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1	05-21 19:14
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$20	14	14	+0	Baltimore Orioles	-$1	05-24 18:35
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$19	11	11	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$1	05-25 20:04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	2	$19	11	11	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$2	05-22 01:53
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	3	$19	14	14	+0	Miami Marlins	-$3	05-26 01:27
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	2	$19	11	11	+0	New York Mets	+$1	05-28 01:31
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	5	$19	10	10	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$1	06-03 02:12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	2	$19	12	12	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	-$1	05-27 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:00:25	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe83f42…
10-29 02:32:20	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xccf1c8…
10-29 02:32:17	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8ecd2f…
10-29 02:16:11	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x78b17d…
10-29 02:02:14	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa5fbfb…
10-29 01:29:59	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a737e…
10-28 17:43:26	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x024e79…
10-28 17:43:23	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x42e7e7…
10-28 17:26:35	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6ff8d3…
10-28 17:26:34	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x21e21d…
10-28 17:26:32	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x034da3…
10-28 17:20:11	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb2ea6d…
10-28 17:13:41	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe2fe10…
10-28 17:13:35	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x03a647…
10-28 17:13:25	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17da01…
10-28 17:13:19	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xec0536…
10-28 17:13:13	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8b99a…
10-28 17:13:07	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4cac8d…
10-28 16:08:59	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x024dda…
10-28 16:06:53	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb50512…
08-27 10:45:27	lol ns fox1 2026 08 27	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x1a28e6…
08-27 09:53:09	lol ns fox1 2026 08 27	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xf3188e…
08-14 07:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xf30879…
08-14 05:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaa8297…
08-14 00:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf3c3f5…
08-13 06:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xe8611a…
08-08 05:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x0e0a4b…
08-08 05:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x22cae1…
08-08 00:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xeb95b0…
08-07 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x32ad4f…
08-07 04:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xb9e1a7…
08-07 04:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x6ec867…
08-07 02:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x55520c…
08-05 04:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8b42c4…
08-04 07:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x1e6dd4…
08-04 07:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9ae914…
08-04 06:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xd0c072…
08-04 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xccd126…
08-04 02:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xb6a383…
08-04 01:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb8dab2…
08-03 04:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x9250e1…
08-03 04:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xea981e…
07-30 04:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x645979…
07-30 02:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8ae36c…
07-30 02:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x237f32…
07-27 23:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xeb2319…
07-27 00:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xb5bb10…
07-26 13:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc1c2bd…
07-26 13:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d33bc…
07-26 13:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x85d55e…
07-26 13:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xbe8305…
07-26 13:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe1eb89…
07-26 03:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x04d2dd…
07-25 07:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7ffc89…
07-25 07:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd3bbfb…
07-25 07:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6e0c63…
07-23 16:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x19b1bb…
07-23 16:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xcefeb0…
07-23 04:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x594d73…
07-23 04:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x000d0b…
07-21 04:58:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x75ff8c…
07-21 04:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x9417c7…
07-21 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfb0dfa…
07-21 00:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x2a98c5…
07-20 09:10:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x9a4845…
07-20 08:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x09b8c6…
07-20 06:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x21bdb3…
07-20 04:13:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x924231…
07-20 04:13:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4c1466…
07-19 16:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x636b61…
07-18 01:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x7ee359…
07-18 00:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x48f476…
07-18 00:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7a9191…
07-18 00:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x47e62d…
07-17 23:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x222d6e…
07-17 23:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xd58025…
07-17 23:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x7d4925…
07-17 16:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9ac6da…
07-17 16:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x400688…
07-17 09:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xa907a2…
07-17 09:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xc0e398…
07-17 06:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc20eab…
07-17 05:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x7c2cc3…
07-17 05:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbfd889…
07-17 04:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaab53e…
07-17 03:59:33	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x9e21e2…
07-17 03:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9da7b2…
07-16 15:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b5197…
07-16 12:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x361997…
07-16 09:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8d8ece…
07-16 09:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xbea52a…
07-16 00:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x48a74a…
07-15 15:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7cf940…
07-15 07:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x933917…
07-14 08:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb0e327…
07-14 08:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc957de…
07-14 08:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c5f4f…
07-14 03:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa6ba29…
07-14 02:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x807926…
07-13 23:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x4f506a…