Extraneous-Nexus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$0

Politics

21% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$154	2,478	2,478	+0	open	—	02-16 23:58
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	02-16 23:59
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-12 12:22
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-11 11:53
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-10 14:17
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-09 08:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-07 13:02
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-05 23:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-03 12:45
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-01 09:39
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-31 14:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-29 09:37
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-27 13:39
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-26 01:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-25 08:01
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-23 12:47
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-22 13:44
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-21 14:59
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-20 14:27
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-19 13:47
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 15:10
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-18 13:12
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-15 18:37
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-16 10:20
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-13 11:56
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-22 03:37
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	19	$27	4,458	4,458	+0	open	—	02-18 08:59
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-01 16:03
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-28 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:39:03	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f4c18…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf79ac9…
06-04 14:45:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd3e961…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07bd37…
05-30 07:27:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x563c0c…
05-28 01:12:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3feb79…
05-22 13:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d2a96…
05-21 10:41:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96d92f…
05-20 14:40:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6e87f…
05-15 13:08:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f6262…
05-14 09:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x601985…
05-11 13:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa9487b…
05-10 15:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x026de5…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb54bc0…
05-05 14:51:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfa8719…
05-04 13:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e4374…
04-27 13:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xacbfcd…
04-23 11:54:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7100de…
04-22 14:18:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10935e…
04-20 14:12:54	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3bb97e…
04-19 13:19:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xffc8be…
04-17 15:26:34	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x010683…
04-16 12:55:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4a2e99…
04-15 08:26:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcaf812…
04-14 13:36:47	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5677a9…
04-13 12:59:25	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x797aca…
04-12 12:22:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5dbeac…
04-11 11:53:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcad99f…
04-10 14:17:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcab433…
04-09 08:30:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x7f947d…
04-07 13:02:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x89e988…
04-05 23:19:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xee0ef0…
04-03 12:45:25	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb8b0ec…
04-01 09:39:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4f503a…
03-31 14:21:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa10d4e…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xff7116…
03-29 09:37:20	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb9255a…
03-27 13:39:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd885aa…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xde62ff…
03-25 08:01:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbce4d4…
03-23 12:47:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x877055…
03-22 13:44:31	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a1bd7…
03-21 14:59:25	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0657c7…
03-20 14:27:23	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb606d0…
03-19 13:47:01	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf456c2…
03-18 13:12:29	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc042da…
03-17 15:10:33	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6d0bd0…
03-16 10:20:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6c26df…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x19f5e4…
03-13 11:56:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb8542a…
03-11 09:55:47	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4e387d…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x41018b…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd7c4a2…
02-22 03:37:32	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe52605…
02-21 03:47:56	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x03cbf2…
02-18 08:59:36	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,091	0¢	$3	0x74b565…
02-18 08:57:12	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x96b215…
02-18 08:33:44	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,002	0¢	$3	0x9fa7c8…
02-18 08:32:36	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xb8c79c…
02-16 23:59:09	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x367bb8…
02-16 23:58:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,478	3¢	$82	0x733737…
02-16 15:42:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,478	3¢	$72	0xf6a56c…
02-14 19:40:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xabf361…
02-14 19:33:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xda8b58…
02-14 19:28:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xdbf3a6…
02-14 19:26:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x717b72…
02-14 19:24:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x552999…
02-14 19:21:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	520	0¢	$2	0x234202…
02-14 19:18:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x40dd1c…
02-14 19:13:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0xf3ab88…
02-14 19:12:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	706	0¢	$2	0x8de991…
02-13 20:59:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	458	0¢	$1	0xff6600…
02-13 20:59:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x58e4f3…
02-13 20:55:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	430	0¢	$1	0xb8028b…
02-13 20:54:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	501	0¢	$2	0x0b4d0d…
02-13 20:48:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	317	0¢	$1	0x5077e1…
02-12 14:28:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,206	0¢	$7	0x24e8b3…