Dearest-Pilaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$876

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

12,451

Trades

48,464

lifetime

Volume

$648.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$1.15K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-20 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% +$10,068

Other

0% 0% -$188

Politics

0% 100% +$249

Sports

0% 33% +$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 1615 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+3,821	$259	29¢	$1.1K	+$849	09-28 11:19
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No		+43	$14	96¢	$41	+$27	10-19 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	22	$2.9K	8,335	4,514	+3,821	open	—	09-28 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:15 UTC	17	$743	1,388	0	+1,388	Down	+$139	08-22 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 14:15 UTC	50	$658	1,395	0	+1,395	Up	-$88	06-29 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	32	$651	1,440	0	+1,440	Up	-$51	06-25 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:35 UTC	26	$642	1,157	0	+1,157	Up	+$101	06-26 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	31	$638	1,133	0	+1,133	Down	-$174	06-05 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	32	$628	1,325	0	+1,325	Down	+$62	08-19 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	34	$612	1,197	0	+1,197	Up	-$92	09-11 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:15 UTC	33	$605	1,170	0	+1,170	Up	+$175	06-05 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:30 UTC	34	$605	1,158	0	+1,158	Up	-$130	06-26 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	36	$601	1,181	0	+1,181	Down	-$96	06-29 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:05 UTC	25	$596	1,195	0	+1,195	Up	+$84	06-25 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:20 UTC	29	$594	1,794	0	+1,794	Up	-$169	06-25 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:50 UTC	35	$594	1,368	0	+1,368	Up	-$84	06-25 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:10 UTC	29	$576	1,241	0	+1,241	Down	+$131	06-25 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:40 UTC	20	$565	836	0	+836	Up	-$240	06-05 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:35 UTC	19	$555	920	0	+920	Down	-$187	08-22 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	50	$553	1,186	0	+1,186	Up	+$121	07-02 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:35 UTC	24	$537	1,090	0	+1,090	Up	-$50	08-19 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:00 UTC	18	$518	707	0	+707	Down	-$233	07-02 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:55 UTC	26	$516	909	0	+909	Down	+$109	06-25 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	25	$502	1,158	0	+1,158	Up	-$27	06-30 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	14	$502	751	0	+751	Down	+$39	08-20 08:33
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	1	$500	749	0	+749	Yes	+$249	09-03 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	27	$496	1,136	0	+1,136	Down	-$61	08-19 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:15 UTC	16	$495	710	0	+710	Down	-$155	06-25 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:45 UTC	34	$488	967	0	+967	Up	-$74	06-05 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:25 UTC	27	$488	807	0	+807	Down	+$146	07-01 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	27	$486	1,282	0	+1,282	Down	-$154	06-30 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	23	$486	866	0	+866	Up	-$60	06-04 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 22:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	85	78¢	$66	0x9799b4…
10-20 19:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb059e4…
10-20 19:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0x76e64f…
10-20 19:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x0f3ab2…
10-20 18:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0xea8084…
10-20 16:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x8025cc…
10-20 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b2c7c…
10-20 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x57f5ba…
10-20 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x51d687…
10-20 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x478e75…
10-20 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x30936c…
10-20 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa0336a…
10-20 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x8a1ace…
10-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0xeafcd0…
10-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbc524e…
10-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x938852…
10-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x40f09f…
10-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x049e2e…
10-20 16:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xb64b25…
10-20 16:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x83eea2…
10-20 16:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0x48b90f…
10-20 16:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xa24664…
10-20 16:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	75	74¢	$55	0xd239ab…
10-20 16:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x6a2d92…
10-20 15:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeefcae…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xff45d7…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf5a52d…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xe34105…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x57dccc…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4736cd…
10-20 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x27b47d…
10-20 15:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4b92d7…
10-20 15:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x18e640…
10-20 15:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2db10c…
10-20 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xfc92c6…
10-20 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe66cc0…
10-20 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe11f52…
10-20 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x85f527…
10-20 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x731386…
10-20 15:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90cff2…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xfc314c…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9c467c…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7e7fa7…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1d9eb9…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x139d2c…
10-20 15:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0xdb398f…
10-20 15:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0xb9d326…
10-20 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xa80616…
10-20 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x67a767…
10-20 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x329cb4…
10-20 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0cfa40…
10-20 15:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x368085…
10-20 15:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x0daf8c…
10-20 15:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x697b66…
10-20 15:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x3df944…
10-20 15:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0x6b6cac…
10-20 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xf84c02…
10-20 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0x5af121…
10-20 15:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xd48525…
10-20 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0xb80952…
10-20 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x91be3f…
10-20 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x910890…
10-20 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7c4842…
10-20 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x526ef7…
10-20 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x4a8f2b…
10-20 15:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0xc80913…
10-20 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xe3dc91…
10-20 14:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0x07c726…
10-20 14:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x434062…
10-20 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x46c17a…
10-20 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	85	81¢	$69	0xb7d69b…
10-20 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xe3c3f6…
10-20 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x3910b2…
10-20 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf94063…
10-20 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8fb65d…
10-20 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x84e863…
10-20 14:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	122	15¢	$18	0xb2bb90…
10-20 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0ed2f…
10-20 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x3a7de3…
10-20 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x057863…
10-20 14:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x069b69…
10-20 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xad9592…
10-20 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0xabb7f8…
10-20 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x2ea511…
10-20 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7cab24…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xf8c8ef…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xee8064…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdeb85f…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xbcad9e…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb57163…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb3a9f9…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9ed04a…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x490a50…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2cec8b…
10-20 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x12b155…
10-20 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x13b4d7…
10-20 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfd8938…
10-20 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0xab9c86…
10-20 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6be28e…
10-20 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x6007af…