Neat-Memo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 09-06 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Tech

59% 86% +$37

Other

22% 62% +$18

Crypto

18% 64% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$361	308	308	+0	Yes	+$34	09-02 11:50
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	3	$318	229	229	+0	No	+$25	08-31 00:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$128	74	74	+0	Yes	+$5	05-26 02:06
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$110	197	0	+197	open	—	09-02 21:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	08-27 22:38
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$95	59	59	+0	Yes	+$15	06-22 04:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$78	45	45	+0	Yes	+$6	05-13 03:35
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	3	$77	98	98	+0	open	—	08-27 22:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	2	$55	46	46	+0	Yes	+$5	08-27 22:39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$55	65	65	+0	No	-$15	07-10 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	4	$53	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	08-10 04:02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$48	85	85	+0	open	—	09-06 19:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	4	$47	104	104	+0	Up	-$13	08-01 02:43
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$45	63	0	+63	Yes	+$18	05-26 05:07
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$40	98	0	+98	Yes	-$40	09-02 21:27
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$39	26	26	+0	Yes	+$9	08-25 13:05
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$36	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	08-10 03:53
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$36	48	16	+32	Yes	+$8	07-10 23:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	08-15 21:03
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 05:33
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$33	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	08-27 04:09
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$33	27	27	+0	No	+$3	08-27 22:39
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	2	$30	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-26 21:56
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$28	97	0	+97	No	-$28	09-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$26	23	13	+10	Up	-$4	05-26 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$25	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	06-02 05:57
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$23	23	23	+0	Yes	-$9	09-06 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	6	$22	23	21	+2	Up	+$1	05-26 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-25 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$22	22	12	+9	Up	-$2	06-02 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 19:24:09	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0xd8f89e…
09-06 19:22:42	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xa4f9ee…
09-06 19:22:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	85	27¢	$23	0x08a1d6…
09-02 21:54:04	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0xf9ac50…
09-02 21:52:04	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x8c8eb7…
09-02 21:27:57	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x98dc7d…
09-02 21:15:03	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	197	56¢	$110	0x0f9547…
09-02 11:50:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	308	64¢	$198	0xec88dc…
08-31 00:40:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	308	53¢	$164	0x6ca3ea…
08-31 00:39:12	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	75¢	$167	0xbe4b7e…
08-31 00:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8e00f6…
08-31 00:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x086135…
08-31 00:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x454047…
08-31 00:31:46	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x9b1aa9…
08-27 22:47:42	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	64¢	$146	0xaea87a…
08-27 22:40:52	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	SELL	98	48¢	$47	0xbfd82b…
08-27 22:39:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	64¢	$30	0x0e0a3a…
08-27 22:39:40	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0xbac92d…
08-27 22:38:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0x957290…
08-27 04:24:19	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x7be1da…
08-27 04:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xea8ed7…
08-27 04:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd7bfdb…
08-27 04:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x215d6b…
08-27 04:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x497d51…
08-27 04:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc990c3…
08-27 04:09:42	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x693372…
08-27 04:09:07	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x855839…
08-27 04:08:57	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xc9da14…
08-25 13:06:42	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x057fd1…
08-25 13:05:24	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xe50e4f…
08-15 21:05:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb010f3…
08-15 21:04:31	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x8f298f…
08-15 21:03:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xab9a8f…
08-10 04:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x108dee…
08-10 04:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb02322…
08-10 04:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xef550e…
08-10 04:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x6285b5…
08-10 04:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x75570f…
08-10 04:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x91c539…
08-10 03:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x01d3e9…
08-10 03:53:21	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0xb8e61a…
08-03 02:32:02	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x3bd647…
08-03 02:29:54	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x5fe6bc…
08-03 02:28:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc324f3…
08-01 02:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xe832e9…
08-01 02:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	67	22¢	$15	0x540f7e…
08-01 02:35:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	28¢	$25	0x99ef3b…
08-01 02:33:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x617ed7…
07-29 03:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xab2430…
07-29 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2eff42…
07-29 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xde7935…
07-29 03:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8d8f20…
07-29 03:15:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x416338…
07-10 23:06:20	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xdce415…
07-10 23:05:01	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xa761e5…
07-10 23:04:47	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	65	30¢	$20	0xc940a2…
07-05 03:26:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x2b5670…
07-05 03:24:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x37d388…
07-05 03:24:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x33a0e8…
06-30 04:08:46	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa3501e…
06-30 04:07:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x5b8eed…
06-22 04:20:53	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x1f84ed…
06-02 06:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x8c2827…
06-02 06:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb26d0c…
06-02 06:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d3a49…
06-02 06:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x39bbb7…
06-02 06:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0c924b…
06-02 06:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe8da0e…
06-02 06:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd213a4…
06-02 06:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x956558…
06-02 06:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x2c0691…
06-02 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3406a7…
06-02 06:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x49ff88…
06-02 06:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0bf384…
06-02 06:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x57e1fd…
06-02 06:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xf0a63c…
06-02 06:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdb30f2…
06-02 06:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ef1d5…
06-02 06:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x43c364…
06-02 05:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0xc31b39…
06-02 05:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x847583…
06-02 05:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x64cd0b…
06-02 05:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xb2d3ef…
06-02 05:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x367141…
06-02 05:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x89cb66…
06-02 05:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0d2964…
06-02 05:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcd17c5…
06-02 05:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x779834…
05-26 22:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xab1f6c…
05-26 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5bd775…
05-26 22:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x9d490e…
05-26 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1e5623…
05-26 22:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc00e40…
05-26 22:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x362d43…
05-26 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x4ae10a…
05-26 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xffaa9a…
05-26 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeac3c8…
05-26 21:56:58	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x887174…
05-26 05:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0e3730…
05-26 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x0362a5…