Remorseful-Mainland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$690

Unrealized P&L

-$67

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$136

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-07 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

61% 41% -$533

Politics

21% 64% +$273

Crypto

15% 59% -$97

Sports

3% 50% -$333

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-150	-$69	90¢	$-136	-$67	05-18 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	7	$2.2K	1,589	1,189	+400	Argentina	-$36	07-12 03:33
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	6	$1.8K	956	956	+0	No	+$147	06-22 08:43
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	4	$1.7K	1,101	1,101	+0	Argentina	+$158	07-04 00:33
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	12	$929	945	945	+0	Yes	-$134	06-22 09:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$605	1,019	213	+806	No	-$323	06-30 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:05 UTC	36	$556	416	400	+16	Down	+$172	04-09 03:08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$551	300	300	+0	Yes	-$11	04-08 14:44
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	2	$546	276	276	+0	Under	+$6	07-12 03:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$544	629	629	+0	Yes	-$179	04-14 01:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	1	$496	500	0	+500	Yes	+$4	04-07 23:40
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	5	$459	1,002	278	+724	No	+$724	04-03 07:13
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$385	600	0	+600	No	-$385	07-16 06:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$306	200	199	+1	Yes	-$45	04-12 13:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$299	524	0	+524	No	-$299	09-07 06:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	6	$298	188	186	+1	Yes	-$11	04-08 14:44
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$276	350	0	+350	France	+$74	07-08 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:00 UTC	1	$259	690	0	+690	Up	-$259	04-09 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:30 UTC	1	$251	286	0	+286	Up	+$35	04-09 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	1	$250	425	0	+425	Down	-$250	04-09 06:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$237	392	383	+9	Yes	-$74	04-17 14:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	3	$237	372	372	+0	No	-$207	07-12 03:38
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	11	$229	288	288	+0	No	-$108	04-08 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:40 UTC	1	$222	250	0	+250	Down	+$28	04-09 05:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$216	1,000	965	+35	No	-$58	04-17 14:47
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	1	$200	278	0	+278	Yes	+$78	07-12 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$199	280	275	+5	Yes	-$112	04-17 14:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	03-12 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:50 UTC	1	$193	268	0	+268	Up	-$193	04-09 05:54
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	4	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$1	04-12 13:37
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$168	171	0	+171	No	+$3	03-12 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 06:59:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	52¢	$149	0xc22784…
08-08 15:12:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0x5d7fcd…
07-16 06:55:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	64¢	$385	0x81f843…
07-12 03:38:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	372	4¢	$15	0xefb268…
07-12 03:33:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0xfe1d28…
07-12 03:33:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	256	98¢	$250	0x2e96d5…
07-12 03:30:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	191	64¢	$122	0x0018c2…
07-12 03:26:58	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	594	68¢	$404	0x7ae5ba…
07-12 03:16:29	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x03581d…
07-12 03:16:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	276	100¢	$276	0x407e55…
07-12 02:54:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	276	98¢	$270	0x527a5a…
07-12 02:54:35	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x7edd9a…
07-12 02:49:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	594	81¢	$480	0x96fe4d…
07-12 02:31:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	423	66¢	$280	0xfdd136…
07-12 01:16:20	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xd1f924…
07-12 00:52:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	198	76¢	$150	0xe00aef…
07-08 02:33:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	350	79¢	$276	0x616e66…
07-04 00:33:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	551	96¢	$529	0x0ef748…
07-04 00:31:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	551	71¢	$391	0x888106…
07-04 00:26:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	250	69¢	$173	0x851984…
07-04 00:25:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	851	69¢	$589	0xdb5589…
06-30 01:27:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	574	37¢	$211	0x08df65…
06-30 01:26:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	232	35¢	$80	0x7ef01a…
06-30 01:23:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	213	66¢	$141	0x869efc…
06-29 14:06:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	213	82¢	$174	0x12e7e4…
06-22 09:18:44	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	442	32¢	$141	0x8e77d0…
06-22 09:16:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x992650…
06-22 08:43:44	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	956	100¢	$954	0x8746fe…
05-18 02:28:13	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0x2510ec…
05-18 02:27:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0xe122e1…
05-18 02:04:31	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	335	88¢	$295	0x010b8a…
05-17 09:11:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	53¢	$29	0x5cd783…
05-17 08:46:46	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	53¢	$62	0xb6f2ac…
05-17 08:46:33	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	53¢	$49	0xa90e70…
05-17 08:46:14	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	140	49¢	$68	0xc3459d…
05-17 08:46:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	88	48¢	$42	0x83c62b…
05-17 07:45:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x470060…
05-12 02:42:18	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	290	84¢	$244	0xe5d3f5…
05-12 02:38:13	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	147	83¢	$122	0xa91255…
05-12 02:37:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	212	61¢	$129	0xc25ed8…
05-12 02:35:11	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	123	60¢	$74	0x8af9a6…
05-12 02:34:59	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	475	60¢	$285	0x9a4d3e…
05-11 10:07:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	134	33¢	$44	0x99d255…
05-11 10:06:28	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x598d9e…
05-04 14:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	138	65¢	$89	0xc7759e…
05-04 10:07:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	57¢	$78	0x42980d…
05-02 07:39:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x7c486f…
04-22 00:57:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	124	68¢	$84	0xac7012…
04-17 14:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	482	3¢	$12	0x618d27…
04-17 14:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	281	5¢	$14	0xbcf780…
04-17 14:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	242	8¢	$19	0x985558…
04-17 14:46:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xb3c249…
04-17 14:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	275	15¢	$41	0x2cd5a7…
04-15 09:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	290	19¢	$55	0x1418d9…
04-15 09:17:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xb8cae9…
04-15 09:16:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xcbbb48…
04-15 09:16:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x2c8e78…
04-15 09:09:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xa28b94…
04-15 09:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xec6662…
04-15 09:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x6cc78c…
04-15 09:06:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	25¢	$62	0x6e39f2…
04-14 07:11:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	289	5¢	$15	0xb856ce…
04-14 07:11:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	194	12¢	$23	0x270fe7…
04-14 07:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	140	41¢	$57	0x471703…
04-14 01:35:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	629	29¢	$182	0xb7fa56…
04-12 14:27:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x47a41f…
04-12 14:27:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xc19da7…
04-12 14:01:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	142	69¢	$98	0x509025…
04-12 13:37:15	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x1af06b…
04-12 13:32:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	199	65¢	$130	0xa7a779…
04-12 01:45:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	456	58¢	$266	0x56a090…
04-12 01:45:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	112	57¢	$64	0x444939…
04-12 01:38:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xb9fc5a…
04-10 05:48:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x55e639…
04-10 05:47:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	290	15¢	$44	0xcac563…
04-10 05:47:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	289	9¢	$26	0xf131dc…
04-09 13:47:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x8156ed…
04-09 13:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2cce54…
04-09 10:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xfb1da8…
04-09 10:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x40ed89…
04-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x91481c…
04-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x71649f…
04-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6804ff…
04-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	69	47¢	$33	0x5801bb…
04-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x19ae87…
04-09 10:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x714feb…
04-09 10:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xcb1e7d…
04-09 10:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x622bc2…
04-09 10:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x5ac13d…
04-09 06:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	425	59¢	$250	0x261d0c…
04-09 05:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	268	72¢	$193	0x923656…
04-09 05:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xa5d58b…
04-09 03:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x86f280…
04-09 03:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x71f811…
04-09 03:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x3e9c6e…
04-09 03:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	57	58¢	$33	0x22497a…
04-09 03:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x530276…
04-09 03:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf3b413…
04-09 03:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xfd58d6…
04-09 03:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xe80e18…