Superficial-Bet 0xe4cf63…17f9bc Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$156
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
97
Trades
486
lifetime
Volume
$3.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$152
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-03 11:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
68% 49% +$117
Politics
27% 60% -$85
Sports
6% 0% -$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +60 $31 56¢ $33 +$3 11-03 11:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +34 $23 76¢ $26 +$4 10-30 19:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $15 74¢ $17 +$2 10-24 06:32
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +27 $15 64¢ $17 +$2 10-31 18:52
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +19 $10 70¢ $13 +$3 11-03 00:01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $8 64¢ $11 +$3 10-30 19:41
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +8 $4 94¢ $8 +$4 08-04 03:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $7 54¢ $7 +$0 11-03 11:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $8 32¢ $7 -$1 11-01 16:25
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +12 $5 45¢ $5 +$0 10-30 19:26
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-30 07:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +17 $5 14¢ $2 -$2 11-01 16:25
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $0 10-25 15:46