Monumental-Anxiety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

182

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 09-12 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 79% -$1,289

Other

18% 91% -$144

Politics

10% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	26	$3.7K	3,354	3,354	+0	Yes	-$5	03-08 15:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.3K	895	895	+0	No	+$0	03-02 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:30 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	Up	+$21	03-10 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:25 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$10	03-10 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	03-10 07:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$937	653	653	+0	Yes	+$7	03-06 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:35 UTC	1	$931	1,165	0	+1,165	Up	-$931	03-10 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:10 UTC	1	$916	931	0	+931	Down	+$15	03-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	1	$760	921	0	+921	Down	+$161	03-10 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	1	$752	760	0	+760	Up	+$8	03-10 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:50 UTC	1	$744	752	0	+752	Down	+$8	03-10 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:30 UTC	1	$737	745	0	+745	Up	+$7	03-10 04:34
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	3	$657	659	0	+659	No	+$2	06-11 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:25 UTC	1	$640	740	0	+740	Up	+$100	03-10 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:20 UTC	1	$633	640	0	+640	Up	+$6	03-10 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:15 UTC	1	$627	633	0	+633	Down	+$6	03-10 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:10 UTC	1	$621	627	0	+627	Up	+$6	03-10 04:14
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	1	$614	615	0	+615	No	+$1	05-24 11:05
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	07-18 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:55 UTC	1	$596	621	0	+621	Down	+$25	03-10 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:25 UTC	1	$568	597	0	+597	Down	+$29	03-10 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	1	$546	568	0	+568	Up	+$22	03-10 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:20 UTC	1	$535	546	0	+546	Up	+$11	03-10 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 00:00 UTC	1	$530	535	0	+535	Down	+$5	03-10 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:05 UTC	1	$519	530	0	+530	Up	+$11	03-10 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 23:55 UTC	1	$468	519	0	+519	Down	+$51	03-09 23:59
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	2	$465	467	0	+467	No	+$2	06-03 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:10 UTC	1	$455	478	0	+478	Down	+$23	03-10 11:13
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	2	$444	447	0	+447	No	+$3	05-26 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$427	302	302	+0	Up	+$27	09-12 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	196	13¢	$25	0x03a584…
09-12 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x587277…
09-12 14:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xb5d24d…
09-12 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	156	76¢	$119	0x77cc6b…
09-12 13:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x698dda…
09-12 13:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	146	42¢	$61	0x175b62…
09-12 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x24e3d8…
09-12 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	302	75¢	$227	0x74fcbf…
09-12 07:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	302	66¢	$200	0xd1a26b…
09-12 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	260	17¢	$44	0x0e094b…
09-12 06:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xbaf330…
09-12 06:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xb1f8ad…
09-12 06:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	485	21¢	$100	0x659320…
09-12 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	489	20¢	$100	0x692b1e…
09-11 14:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0x57cdda…
09-11 14:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x190764…
09-11 13:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	130	90¢	$117	0x2b6877…
09-11 13:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xcb66f8…
09-11 13:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	204	1¢	$2	0x201b83…
09-11 13:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xecb28e…
09-04 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0x92bad4…
09-04 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1f87cf…
09-04 12:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x275c5d…
09-04 12:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0df13c…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xfaa911…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xb73fa1…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	104	45¢	$47	0xab8298…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x7cd26c…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x169521…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x0f2337…
08-28 16:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x014040…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd3bfe2…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x70ce28…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x620a0d…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x415a11…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x1bd3f5…
08-28 16:20:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x11ee3c…
08-28 16:17:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x6efee0…
08-28 13:36:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x57fd64…
08-28 13:35:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x71a958…
08-28 13:35:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x25ce29…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0xaff24a…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x985692…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	160	26¢	$41	0x97e136…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x86e58a…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	34	25¢	$8	0x57f95c…
08-28 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	46	25¢	$12	0x056d26…
08-28 13:35:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x9a9007…
08-28 13:35:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	51	25¢	$13	0x974262…
08-28 13:35:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	445	22¢	$100	0x854328…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xcb97a3…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xc77ea4…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xb5e455…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xa5f4b1…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x9dee7b…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0x99eeef…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x8dac40…
08-24 13:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0x7850d6…
08-24 13:52:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xd2bd80…
08-24 13:50:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8cdddd…
08-24 13:50:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	87	35¢	$30	0x0abc7c…
08-24 13:50:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x00bc93…
08-24 13:50:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x2f9f37…
08-24 13:50:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x769961…
08-24 13:50:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x4c0c11…
08-24 13:50:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xec73aa…
08-24 13:50:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8eacb3…
08-24 13:49:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	95	34¢	$32	0x61da27…
08-24 13:36:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xff4f74…
08-23 06:06:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	190	63¢	$120	0xa91be8…
08-23 06:03:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x1f43bd…
08-23 05:56:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	166	66¢	$110	0x5bee09…
08-23 05:53:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x6064c9…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xec59bb…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xd79d60…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xb69b35…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xa75094…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x9d9814…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x8d9945…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x872e40…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x865306…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x7c2725…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x6e3e98…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x591590…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x459d0b…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1d903e…
08-23 05:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x1ca311…
08-23 05:47:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x353e04…
08-23 05:41:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x98d77c…
08-23 05:37:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0xb30614…
08-23 05:33:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xac1937…
08-19 13:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	363	57¢	$206	0x727df6…
08-19 13:52:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x0f71e9…
08-19 13:48:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x8e757c…
08-19 13:34:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xdb1ee9…
08-18 13:50:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	155	25¢	$38	0x8f6de1…
08-18 13:49:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x24998a…
08-18 13:49:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x6ab755…
08-18 13:49:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xe4735b…
08-18 13:49:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x8568ce…