Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$105.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.11K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-26

last 10-09 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

78% 62% +$12,714

Politics

20% 88% +$12,478

Tech

2% 0% -$2,180

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$19.6K	20,048	20,048	+0	open	—	09-12 10:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$13.8K	8,712	8,712	+0	No	+$3,473	07-19 10:31
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	6	$12.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	10-09 12:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$9.3K	7,320	7,320	+0	Yes	+$3,094	08-09 18:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$8.8K	5,022	5,022	+0	No	+$753	07-04 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$7.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$2,513	09-20 11:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$6.1K	7,630	7,630	+0	open	—	10-07 09:58
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$5.3K	13,412	0	+13,412	No	+$8,120	07-04 20:28
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$4.9K	8,236	2,059	+6,177	No	+$5,374	08-01 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	4	$3.3K	2,046	2,046	+0	No	+$751	09-08 13:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	1	$3.1K	4,322	0	+4,322	No	+$1,214	06-28 04:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2.8K	4,566	0	+4,566	No	+$1,736	09-12 10:37
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2.2K	7,640	0	+7,640	Yes	-$2,180	07-22 10:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.5K	3,332	0	+3,332	No	-$1,497	08-09 18:08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,428	0	+1,428	No	+$357	08-09 18:12
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	1	$864	1,409	0	+1,409	No	-$864	07-03 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$752	2,571	0	+2,571	No	-$752	08-06 12:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	1	$655	1,056	0	+1,056	No	+$401	06-27 22:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$502	320	320	+0	Yes	+$134	08-09 18:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$417	809	0	+809	Yes	+$392	08-01 15:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	1	$143	0	1,428	-1,428	No	+$143	08-09 18:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$87	620	0	+620	No	-$87	06-27 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$62	8,105	0	+8,105	No	-$62	08-06 12:19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	06-26 14:14
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	06-26 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 12:32:37	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	4,608	69¢	$3,179	0x4281cb…
10-09 10:59:40	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9d2dec…
10-09 10:59:39	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x407a7d…
10-09 10:59:37	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	5,383	68¢	$3,686	0x3bf67b…
10-09 10:59:36	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x09a7f8…
10-07 09:58:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,630	48¢	$3,674	0x391e7b…
09-20 11:30:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,943	0x1987e7…
09-12 10:50:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,630	32¢	$2,431	0xa3b030…
09-12 10:37:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	4,566	62¢	$2,830	0xfe7afa…
09-12 10:37:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	11,226	79¢	$8,869	0xfa0620…
09-08 13:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2,222	76¢	$1,689	0xdd7e3e…
09-08 13:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6,600	76¢	$5,016	0x60bb7e…
09-08 13:56:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	2,046	100¢	$2,044	0x9052fb…
08-09 18:15:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,428	10¢	$143	0xb04852…
08-09 18:12:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,428	75¢	$1,071	0x41fa39…
08-09 18:08:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,332	45¢	$1,497	0x37b8cf…
08-09 18:07:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	320	99¢	$318	0x66e97a…
08-09 18:07:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	7,320	85¢	$6,222	0x3d4908…
08-06 12:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,105	1¢	$62	0xffe6f7…
08-06 12:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,330	30¢	$399	0xe81d85…
08-06 12:15:47	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x0f93d5…
08-06 12:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xf44d40…
08-06 12:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,211	28¢	$344	0x804270…
08-06 12:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xe7ff7c…
08-01 15:39:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x45b855…
08-01 15:37:51	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	2,059	100¢	$2,057	0xd36abd…
08-01 15:32:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	320	58¢	$184	0x5cb310…
08-01 15:32:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	609	52¢	$315	0x3e0c3a…
08-01 15:26:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7,320	43¢	$3,128	0xeb2d11…
07-22 10:21:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,640	29¢	$2,180	0x050c6c…
07-19 10:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8,712	99¢	$8,613	0x9cbd5f…
07-04 20:28:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3,412	36¢	$1,228	0x1f4250…
07-04 20:27:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5,022	95¢	$4,771	0x0772ef…
07-04 20:19:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	426	64¢	$273	0xdc971e…
07-04 20:18:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	5,000	49¢	$2,429	0x87399a…
07-04 20:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc4f578…
07-04 20:17:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,604	63¢	$1,011	0x345250…
07-04 19:30:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20,048	20¢	$4,010	0x0ac38a…
07-03 12:13:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10,000	41¢	$4,064	0x51f176…
07-03 11:46:16	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	1,409	61¢	$864	0xcecb9d…
07-03 11:22:16	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10,000	58¢	$5,757	0x67253d…
06-29 11:02:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082	No	BUY	8,236	35¢	$2,860	0x62fcaa…
06-28 04:22:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	4,322	72¢	$3,108	0x865dee…
06-27 23:37:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	14¢	$87	0x8080c4…
06-27 23:31:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,287	80¢	$2,630	0x8176f1…
06-27 23:28:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,735	80¢	$1,388	0x2e67f4…
06-27 23:11:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8,712	59¢	$5,140	0x231b8c…
06-27 22:31:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	62¢	$655	0x2a77b2…
06-26 14:14:15	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6b4593…
06-26 13:48:07	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x335002…