Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

5,120

Trades

19,206

lifetime

Volume

$50.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% -$916

Tech

1% 50% -$290

Other

0% 29% -$43

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 1491 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	2	$313	355	355	+0	No	-$306	09-21 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:55 UTC	6	$278	289	0	+289	Down	+$11	09-28 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:35 UTC	4	$251	257	0	+257	Up	+$6	09-28 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:30 UTC	5	$243	248	0	+248	Down	+$5	09-28 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:40 UTC	4	$238	244	0	+244	Up	+$6	09-28 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:05 UTC	4	$231	242	0	+242	Down	+$12	09-28 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:40 UTC	4	$230	235	0	+235	Up	+$5	09-28 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	5	$216	231	0	+231	Up	-$173	09-29 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$215	220	0	+220	Up	+$5	09-28 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:35 UTC	3	$206	210	0	+210	Up	+$4	09-28 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:55 UTC	3	$200	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	09-28 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:30 UTC	3	$193	198	0	+198	Up	+$5	09-28 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$191	195	0	+195	Up	+$4	09-28 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:20 UTC	3	$185	190	0	+190	Up	+$4	09-28 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	3	$185	189	0	+189	Down	+$4	09-28 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:35 UTC	5	$172	178	0	+178	Down	+$6	09-28 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:35 UTC	2	$160	162	0	+162	Up	+$2	09-28 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:50 UTC	2	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	09-28 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	2	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	09-28 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:55 UTC	2	$158	162	0	+162	Down	+$3	09-28 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:45 UTC	2	$156	160	0	+160	Up	+$4	09-28 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:50 UTC	2	$155	158	0	+158	Up	+$3	09-28 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	2	$151	162	0	+162	Down	+$11	09-28 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	2	$142	145	0	+145	Up	+$3	09-27 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:00 UTC	3	$138	143	0	+143	Up	+$5	09-28 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:35 UTC	2	$137	140	0	+140	Up	+$3	09-28 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	5	$136	148	0	+148	Up	+$12	09-28 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:20 UTC	2	$135	138	0	+138	Up	+$3	09-28 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:45 UTC	2	$133	135	0	+135	Down	+$3	09-28 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	2	$128	131	0	+131	Up	+$3	09-28 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7441a6…
10-19 20:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8f977c…
10-19 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfd28c9…
10-19 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5ee97f…
10-19 20:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2934ba…
10-19 20:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9bd95c…
10-19 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00517d…
10-19 20:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x589f5c…
10-19 19:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xbac74a…
10-19 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x45e76f…
10-19 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x65fbe5…
10-19 19:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x863016…
10-19 19:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x04f289…
10-19 19:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x56d8f7…
10-19 19:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x2e042d…
10-19 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x030572…
10-19 19:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf8e18b…
10-19 19:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xb55d81…
10-19 19:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2bbbc3…
10-19 19:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x96b1b9…
10-19 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x96f014…
10-19 19:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1863c5…
10-19 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x228daa…
10-19 19:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd17518…
10-19 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb9d7fb…
10-19 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x321a08…
10-19 19:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x56175e…
10-19 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x39ccc7…
10-19 19:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x11ddc6…
10-19 19:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x887886…
10-19 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xc6bd0e…
10-19 19:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe4bc25…
10-19 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa476f8…
10-19 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x788c6e…
10-19 19:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb76ca8…
10-19 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x412c93…
10-19 18:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34ed02…
10-19 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4fe5d8…
10-19 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4a2d59…
10-19 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x83c229…
10-19 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7b2ab7…
10-19 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb6933b…
10-19 18:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9059be…
10-19 18:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1ab986…
10-19 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x1279d7…
10-19 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x51caee…
10-19 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x36f85a…
10-19 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8b9096…
10-19 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf0adba…
10-19 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x40ad67…
10-19 18:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x15056a…
10-19 18:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb5ad2d…
10-19 18:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xd19728…
10-19 18:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x28595d…
10-19 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf66c26…
10-19 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb9c73e…
10-19 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x22058e…
10-19 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe96de7…
10-19 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd81992…
10-19 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x545e29…
10-19 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2fa884…
10-19 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xfacebe…
10-19 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8da3cf…
10-19 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x421124…
10-19 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1c2998…
10-19 18:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xff0633…
10-19 18:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7f8e8a…
10-19 18:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf544b5…
10-19 18:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x26fb41…
10-19 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf5a4ad…
10-19 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd9e92d…
10-19 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x759417…
10-19 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x753095…
10-19 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x38cbbf…
10-19 18:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x369538…
10-19 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xf0541d…
10-19 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b5a6e…
10-19 18:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xd079ec…
10-19 18:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x9a338c…
10-19 18:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf38b6f…
10-19 18:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7a0535…
10-19 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xdcceb5…
10-19 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xdacded…
10-19 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8f140…
10-19 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x885938…
10-19 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x98f2c7…
10-19 18:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe04467…
10-19 18:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x878583…
10-19 18:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x610ac6…
10-19 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb3a7fe…
10-19 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x91056a…
10-19 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x6f8bce…
10-19 18:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfdf411…
10-19 18:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfea722…
10-19 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xdb7008…
10-19 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x5040b4…
10-19 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x8cd60f…
10-19 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf2f39f…
10-19 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc278a2…
10-19 18:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb8312e…