Fat-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$6.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-20 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$9

Other

7% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on june 24 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-24 15:14
ethereum up or down on july 20 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	07-20 15:21
wti closes above 93 on april 23 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-23 20:29
googl up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:41
nya up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 19:19
xagusd up or down on july 6 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-06 20:11
solana up or down on july 12 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-12 15:11
wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-09 20:30
pltr up or down on april 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:37
wti closes above 74 on june 22 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-22 20:12
aapl up or down on april 1 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-01 19:25
tsla up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 19:10
ng up or down on july 6 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-06 20:11
wti up or down on july 10 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-10 20:26
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-02 20:30
xauusd up or down on july 6 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-06 20:11
solana up or down on july 11 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-11 15:12
wti closes above 68 on july 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-02 20:10
Solana Up or Down on June 2?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-02 15:10
xauusd up or down on march 30 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-30 20:56
xrp up or down on july 20 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-20 15:17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-27 20:50
nvda up or down on march 18 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	03-18 19:40
wti closes above 69 on june 26 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-26 20:18
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-02 15:10
xrp up or down on march 27 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-27 15:24
bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-11 15:12
solana up or down on june 28 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-28 15:18
rut up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 19:10
solana up or down on june 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-24 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:21:57	ethereum up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8cc227…
07-20 15:17:31	xrp up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6deacf…
07-20 15:17:28	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc9715f…
07-20 13:13:19	btc updown 15m 1784552400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2c877…
07-20 10:50:55	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3a7a40…
07-20 10:27:34	btc updown 15m 1784542500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x191a82…
07-20 09:50:58	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd2db9…
07-20 08:50:39	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x140aae…
07-20 08:28:27	btc updown 15m 1784535300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5c086…
07-20 04:45:31	eth updown 15m 1784521800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88d062…
07-20 03:51:09	btc updown 4h 1784505600	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe8798f…
07-19 19:57:49	eth updown 15m 1784490300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd565a4…
07-19 19:57:46	solana up or down july 19 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfc5eb0…
07-19 17:55:21	xrp up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xde72f1…
07-19 15:52:58	xrp updown 4h 1784462400	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x507092…
07-19 14:58:25	btc updown 15m 1784472300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0adc9d…
07-19 13:58:18	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb883e…
07-19 13:58:15	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0fcfc4…
07-19 12:29:21	btc updown 15m 1784463300	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe09347…
07-19 11:51:36	eth updown 4h 1784448000	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa512f8…
07-19 07:27:06	eth updown 15m 1784445300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f73f6…
07-19 02:42:30	xrp updown 15m 1784428200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9516bf…
07-19 02:28:28	eth updown 15m 1784427300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5ddc3…
07-18 23:42:57	eth updown 15m 1784417400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ed805…
07-18 22:56:07	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf9a40a…
07-18 22:44:22	eth updown 15m 1784413800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e2307…
07-18 22:44:19	btc updown 15m 1784413800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdadfb3…
07-18 19:59:33	xrp updown 15m 1784403900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ed79c…
07-18 17:55:06	solana up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x363877…
07-18 17:50:48	xrp up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x067af2…
07-18 17:50:43	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf9b88c…
07-18 17:13:48	xrp updown 15m 1784394000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3cd4e…
07-18 14:56:28	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaba782…
07-18 10:13:48	xrp updown 15m 1784368800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9787b0…
07-18 06:52:00	solana up or down july 18 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe162c1…
07-18 00:58:19	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7e7b17…
07-17 09:42:49	xrp updown 15m 1784280600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb829f…
07-17 01:13:16	btc updown 15m 1784250000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabc13e…
07-16 23:51:22	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5bed63…
07-16 22:51:26	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9093cb…
07-16 21:28:16	eth updown 15m 1784236500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf99eae…
07-16 20:50:59	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb576cb…
07-16 20:50:58	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x595524…
07-16 16:50:13	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb28466…
07-16 14:51:08	xrp up or down july 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xafb257…
07-16 14:51:05	solana up or down july 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbfece2…
07-16 00:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf944eb…
07-15 22:52:13	solana up or down july 15 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x645019…
07-15 19:28:13	eth updown 15m 1784142900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb884a3…
07-15 18:57:58	btc updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae3b8c…
07-15 11:58:29	btc updown 15m 1784115900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a5151…
07-14 19:52:02	btc updown 4h 1784044800	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ac91f…
07-14 11:58:25	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb96972…
07-14 09:57:41	btc updown 15m 1784022300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb1669…
07-14 05:51:05	solana up or down july 14 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d7177…
07-14 04:42:58	xrp updown 15m 1784003400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ce591…
07-14 04:42:56	btc updown 15m 1784003400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x138acf…
07-14 01:50:11	xrp up or down july 13 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda306b…
07-13 08:50:26	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd03fae…
07-13 04:27:13	xrp updown 15m 1783916100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b1503…
07-13 04:27:10	eth updown 15m 1783916100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda9ef1…
07-13 02:57:07	ethereum up or down july 12 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbfa82c…
07-12 23:51:25	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xeb3c6a…
07-12 19:58:08	btc updown 4h 1783872000	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x6892f3…
07-12 19:43:38	sol updown 15m 1783884600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a1dc5…
07-12 18:54:31	ethereum up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1fb54…
07-12 18:54:28	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb913e1…
07-12 18:42:08	eth updown 15m 1783881000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd608c…
07-12 15:11:22	solana up or down on july 12 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ab3c8…
07-12 10:50:25	ethereum up or down july 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7fdae4…
07-12 10:50:23	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07960c…
07-12 10:44:28	btc updown 15m 1783852200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97861b…
07-12 10:28:59	btc updown 15m 1783851300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x945f0e…
07-12 10:12:14	btc updown 15m 1783850400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x23598f…
07-12 10:12:13	eth updown 15m 1783850400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d8aa9…
07-12 09:50:26	xrp up or down july 12 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x45009e…
07-12 09:27:23	sol updown 15m 1783847700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73de34…
07-12 09:27:20	eth updown 15m 1783847700	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x795e90…
07-12 08:51:32	xrp up or down july 12 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x209b93…
07-12 01:27:46	xrp updown 15m 1783818900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd64fe3…
07-11 23:43:53	xrp updown 15m 1783812600	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x299795…
07-11 20:51:26	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x422a9b…
07-11 19:56:19	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf0cef6…
07-11 18:29:28	btc updown 15m 1783793700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x002a86…
07-11 15:12:41	solana up or down on july 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x502a40…
07-11 15:12:38	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb3c390…
07-11 15:12:37	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd91cd2…
07-11 14:50:20	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6bf39…
07-11 08:57:38	eth updown 15m 1783759500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa4906…
07-11 07:55:37	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x116db0…
07-11 05:28:14	sol updown 15m 1783746900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf2de80…
07-11 05:28:13	eth updown 15m 1783746900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x697e99…
07-11 02:59:37	eth updown 15m 1783737900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0d1ec…
07-11 00:27:11	xrp updown 15m 1783728900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b0fd6…
07-10 23:55:10	xrp up or down july 10 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c8cc2…
07-10 21:50:53	solana up or down july 10 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12ed55…
07-10 21:50:50	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d01e8…
07-10 21:50:49	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x34e535…
07-10 20:42:58	xrp updown 15m 1783715400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf5e058…
07-10 20:27:59	xrp updown 15m 1783714500	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf236eb…