Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$374

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

537

Trades

1,622

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$74

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 10-21 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

70% 27% -$267

Crypto

18% 46% -$73

Sports

9% 0% -$41

Politics

3% 83% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		-74	-$59	96¢	$-71	-$12	09-15 13:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-74	-$14	4¢	$-3	+$11	09-15 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	31	$1.1K	645	645	+0	open	—	10-06 03:40
cs2 grmioe quin 2026 09 30	4	$444	330	330	+0	Grêmio Esports	+$44	09-30 22:18
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	9	$383	216	216	+0	Yes	+$19	10-20 07:21
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	20	$344	190	190	+0	MOUZ	+$32	10-05 20:57
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?	2	$305	163	163	+0	Yes	+$5	10-05 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	18	$300	166	166	+0	Yes	+$9	09-09 15:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	6	$277	600	748	-148	open	—	09-15 13:09
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	18	$251	170	120	+50	Nemiga Gaming	+$18	10-05 19:53
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	13	$217	211	166	+45	MOUZ	-$22	09-08 22:44
dota2 rostik strayc 2026 09 14	2	$202	102	102	+0	Stray Club	+$2	09-14 21:53
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Under	+$1	09-14 21:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	2	$198	120	120	+0	Yes	+$13	10-14 11:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	09-14 17:54
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage	8	$193	134	134	+0	Rebels Gaming	+$11	09-14 21:27
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	6	$190	540	540	+0	open	—	10-17 05:26
moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	4	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	09-15 04:04
cs2 mw meiano 2026 09 30	11	$184	192	80	+112	MEIA NOITE	-$13	10-01 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 15 2026	2	$176	191	191	+0	Yes	-$8	09-15 09:08
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	5	$169	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	10-13 16:11
dota2 bb4 og 2026 09 30	8	$164	144	84	+60	BetBoom Team	+$9	09-30 14:02
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	10-13 23:28
cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14	4	$155	90	90	+0	ZOTIX	+$21	09-14 21:09
spacexai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	4	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	09-15 04:47
dota2 rostik1 cooman 2026 09 14	26	$152	220	70	+150	Rostik999 Club	-$12	09-14 19:13
dota2 1win navi 2026 09 29 game2	4	$142	100	100	+0	1win	+$38	09-29 14:29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	2	$141	79	79	+0	Vitality	+$1	10-05 18:00
dota2 nem navi 2026 09 30	7	$119	130	70	+60	Team Nemesis	+$4	09-30 16:52
dota2 1win navi 2026 09 29 game1	8	$119	170	130	+40	Natus Vincere	+$0	09-29 13:07
dota2 pari lgd 2026 09 30 game2	3	$113	125	0	+125	PARIVISION	+$11	09-30 16:35
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	13	$110	120	70	+50	MOUZ	+$11	10-05 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:26:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	5¢	$11	0xbcd797…
10-21 22:03:05	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	99	33¢	$33	0x8e92c1…
10-21 22:03:02	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xa257f2…
10-21 20:31:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	6¢	$15	0x6c59f5…
10-21 10:21:48	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2600 and $4.2699 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xb91417…
10-21 07:43:12	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2600 and $4.2699 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x5e7536…
10-21 06:54:32	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x623e17…
10-21 01:52:27	will trump say hell during his midterm rally in south carolina october 21	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xff4645…
10-20 21:58:12	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3775a8…
10-20 21:58:00	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1b73e9…
10-20 21:57:36	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3b103…
10-20 21:48:08	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd7ffd8…
10-20 19:00:00	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf2f174…
10-20 18:59:47	Will Democrats win 7 or 8 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x5deea5…
10-20 18:56:47	Will Democrats win 7 or 8 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xf5394f…
10-20 18:56:35	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x72d2ab…
10-20 18:55:02	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x6823a0…
10-20 18:54:26	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xb5b9c3…
10-20 16:45:21	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x9e138b…
10-20 16:32:20	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x726944…
10-20 16:32:20	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x726944…
10-20 16:29:17	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfcdc3c…
10-20 15:45:08	will democrats win fewer than 7 us house seats bordering mexico 2026	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0xac0b38…
10-20 15:45:03	will democrats win 9 or 10 us house seats bordering mexico 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x63c1b4…
10-20 15:44:59	will democrats win 7 or 8 us house seats bordering mexico 2026	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xcfaca3…
10-20 15:11:57	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x89019d…
10-20 15:02:44	will us gas price be between 4pt28 and 4pt29 on october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x654057…
10-20 15:02:39	will us gas price be between 4pt27 and 4pt28 on october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2ab623…
10-20 13:47:05	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc4c7f3…
10-20 13:47:00	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaf4a0b…
10-20 13:46:56	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x260c10…
10-20 13:29:02	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x3c74c6…
10-20 13:28:21	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe1a310…
10-20 13:27:41	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8f6b4f…
10-20 13:27:39	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x0f3120…
10-20 13:23:56	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xe7b01d…
10-20 13:23:09	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x735195…
10-20 13:09:56	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Team Lynx	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xfc3709…
10-20 12:51:06	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Team Lynx	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x6d0b93…
10-20 09:59:33	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x52b756…
10-20 09:29:47	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x37fe0e…
10-20 09:27:24	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x6a8c6b…
10-20 07:21:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x706565…
10-20 05:46:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x456075…
10-20 05:44:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x9d342e…
10-20 04:43:32	Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x0d5c57…
10-20 04:43:27	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x8055f7…
10-20 04:40:56	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x74424d…
10-20 04:40:51	Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x3a7d1d…
10-20 04:40:44	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x1ca571…
10-20 04:40:41	Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x2bdfe2…
10-20 04:39:29	Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x3b3c7b…
10-20 04:19:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x5b6efa…
10-20 04:02:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xe88821…
10-20 04:00:03	Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6ce029…
10-20 03:40:08	Escorpiones de Belén vs. Puntarenas FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0d8832…
10-20 03:25:44	Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x580752…
10-20 03:15:48	Will Escorpiones de Belén win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x89cea2…
10-20 03:08:36	Will Escorpiones de Belén win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc1a817…
10-20 01:39:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	87¢	$80	0x895345…
10-20 01:19:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x109038…
10-20 00:53:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x4118f4…
10-20 00:08:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x752cb4…
10-19 23:54:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x034cd1…
10-19 23:41:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x533987…
10-19 23:40:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xe1f30f…
10-19 23:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x5b0d87…
10-19 23:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x6e1b23…
10-19 23:10:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2c1682…
10-19 23:08:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1db0a4…
10-19 22:21:08	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0x7ceca0…
10-19 22:21:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 22 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xf07fb9…
10-19 21:49:01	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x8eea06…
10-19 20:55:50	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9dd4bf…
10-19 20:43:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 22 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6067a0…
10-19 20:22:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 118 and 121 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x957d30…
10-19 19:30:12	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x9c437f…
10-19 19:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0xaf2fbd…
10-19 19:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x77912f…
10-19 19:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x6e3d2a…
10-19 18:45:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 121 and 124 million views on day 3 20261017	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x18f89c…
10-19 18:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x0c4886…
10-19 18:39:29	will mrbeasts next video get between 118 and 121 million views on day 3 20261017	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6c0e25…
10-19 18:08:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x21a624…
10-19 17:33:17	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x11c9ed…
10-19 16:42:53	will liquid win the pgl masters bucharest 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd45ada…
10-19 16:40:12	will tyloo win the pgl masters bucharest 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9eea1b…
10-19 16:35:59	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4a1c50…
10-19 16:35:57	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xad02f7…
10-19 16:35:57	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x992443…
10-19 16:35:57	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x925778…
10-19 16:35:57	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x82f37a…
10-19 16:35:57	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x763ef2…
10-19 16:18:45	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe83a02…
10-19 16:18:45	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x62cec7…
10-19 16:18:45	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x30714a…
10-19 16:18:45	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x127889…
10-19 16:15:53	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x96e1e3…
10-19 16:15:53	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x478774…
10-19 16:09:27	will harry kane finish 3rd in the 2026 ballon d or 20261019143424322	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff003d…