Forked-Glory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$45

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-22 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

50% 40% -$490

Politics

45% 54% +$75

Crypto

3% 100% +$14

Sports

2% 100% +$37

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+59	$40	76¢	$45	+$5	05-24 05:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.2K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$289	05-05 16:36
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	7	$790	1,976	0	+1,976	No	-$790	06-22 12:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$582	727	0	+727	No	+$145	01-20 11:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$260	164	164	+0	No	+$60	05-31 21:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$169	260	0	+260	Yes	+$91	03-05 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$105	112	0	+112	Up	+$7	05-05 16:47
will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	1	$100	173	0	+173	Yes	-$100	02-16 23:34
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	270	0	+270	Yes	-$100	02-01 08:43
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$100	137	0	+137	Yes	+$37	02-08 10:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	+$35	05-05 21:13
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	02-01 11:22
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	159	0	+159	Yes	-$100	02-06 05:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	159	0	+159	Yes	+$59	05-06 05:39
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	141	0	+141	No	+$41	05-16 07:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$50	134	0	+134	No	-$50	05-07 20:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	05-24 05:26
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	1	$26	0	441	-441	No	+$26	05-05 12:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	05-13 07:51
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	-$10	05-13 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$8	05-05 16:56
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$5	294	0	+294	No	-$5	05-13 07:50
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-24 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 12:42:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	501	20¢	$100	0x53f243…
06-01 10:58:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	257	35¢	$90	0x59e3c4…
06-01 10:53:45	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x231b91…
05-31 21:40:58	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0x5e2b05…
05-31 21:39:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	164	97¢	$160	0x0d7a4c…
05-24 05:30:09	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x12a2b3…
05-24 05:26:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xab5920…
05-19 20:50:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xcb995e…
05-19 15:10:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x1666b0…
05-16 07:50:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x19d7ab…
05-13 07:51:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfa08b3…
05-13 07:50:28	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x54d92d…
05-13 07:50:10	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbf45a4…
05-11 10:19:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x69c4e2…
05-07 20:24:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x14b621…
05-06 05:39:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xcf1479…
05-05 21:13:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x696d7b…
05-05 21:13:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x3324b2…
05-05 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xeffd08…
05-05 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	112	94¢	$105	0x408362…
05-05 16:36:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	751	100¢	$749	0x5b920e…
05-05 12:36:26	Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	441	6¢	$26	0xed8eef…
03-17 06:59:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	407	64¢	$260	0xf64018…
03-05 08:04:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	260	65¢	$169	0x696c9c…
02-18 09:07:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x7015a1…
02-16 23:34:13	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x53e446…
02-08 10:22:57	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x6b697d…
02-06 05:25:41	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xdbba36…
02-01 11:22:14	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xabf662…
02-01 08:43:48	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xd9ae69…
01-20 11:23:04	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	727	80¢	$582	0xc2bb7a…