Scary-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

206

Trades

18,715

lifetime

Volume

$97.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-07 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 70% +$51

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 1130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	76	$4.0K	5,293	+5,293	open	—	05-30 16:00
atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29	72	$3.6K	5,602	+5,602	open	—	06-29 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	120	$2.5K	3,732	+3,732	open	—	05-28 14:59
cs2 wal2 kol 2026 06 22	39	$1.3K	1,925	+1,925	open	—	06-22 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	125	$1.1K	2,042	+2,042	open	—	05-27 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	77	$979	1,458	+1,458	open	—	05-30 06:58
btc updown 5m 1780554300	93	$927	2,034	+2,034	open	—	06-04 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	146	$883	1,554	+1,554	open	—	05-28 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	76	$760	1,343	+1,343	open	—	05-27 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	79	$723	885	+885	open	—	05-15 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	99	$706	1,312	+1,312	open	—	05-27 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	72	$672	1,038	+1,038	open	—	05-28 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET	103	$643	1,236	+1,236	open	—	05-27 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	116	$564	945	+945	open	—	05-15 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	94	$536	1,017	+1,017	open	—	05-28 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10PM ET	90	$530	980	+980	open	—	05-28 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2AM ET	23	$493	900	+900	open	—	05-28 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	79	$488	865	+865	open	—	05-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	38	$480	905	+905	open	—	05-25 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	86	$460	715	+715	Up	$-22	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	21	$441	704	+704	open	—	05-24 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET	108	$431	788	+788	open	—	05-28 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	86	$404	740	+740	open	—	05-29 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	73	$404	697	+697	Down	$-121	05-14 03:19
cs2 tdk wal2 2026 06 18	30	$397	577	+577	open	—	06-18 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	70	$390	753	+753	open	—	05-15 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	27	$381	597	+597	open	—	05-24 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	60	$379	665	+665	open	—	05-28 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	43	$345	510	+510	open	—	05-20 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	57	$336	604	+604	open	—	05-28 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 08:00:00	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x999f78…
08-07 08:00:00	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6467ae…
08-07 07:59:21	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x48a5c6…
08-07 07:52:09	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0b7aaa…
08-07 07:51:39	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9cfd61…
08-07 06:01:31	btc updown 5m 1786082400	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xe45d44…
08-07 06:01:30	btc updown 5m 1786082400	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x9f803b…
08-07 05:58:00	btc updown 5m 1786082100	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb122aa…
08-06 08:12:29	btc updown 5m 1786003800	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xb4c341…
08-06 08:11:59	btc updown 5m 1786003800	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x876350…
08-06 08:09:08	btc updown 5m 1786003500	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7f544c…
08-06 08:08:38	btc updown 5m 1786003500	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5dc59a…
08-06 07:59:26	btc updown 5m 1786002900	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xd8c044…
08-06 07:58:42	btc updown 5m 1786002900	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x77a166…
08-06 07:38:05	btc updown 5m 1786001700	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1d2b1b…
08-06 07:06:42	btc updown 5m 1785999900	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x78671f…
08-06 07:06:42	btc updown 5m 1785999900	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x6d64a2…
08-06 07:05:21	btc updown 5m 1785999900	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xe7f51b…
08-06 06:59:12	btc updown 5m 1785999300	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8d8c9d…
08-06 06:59:12	btc updown 5m 1785999300	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x86e830…
08-06 06:59:12	btc updown 5m 1785999300	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x51d071…
08-06 06:58:35	btc updown 5m 1785999300	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x7663cf…
08-06 06:49:36	btc updown 5m 1785998700	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd67a73…
08-06 06:49:29	btc updown 5m 1785998700	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x530431…
08-06 06:38:00	btc updown 5m 1785998100	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x53ec3f…
08-06 06:38:00	btc updown 5m 1785998100	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3b4dda…
08-06 06:37:08	btc updown 5m 1785998100	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x64dd85…
08-06 06:27:54	btc updown 5m 1785997500	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x71880c…
08-06 06:26:39	btc updown 5m 1785997500	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xa1128f…
08-06 05:51:17	btc updown 5m 1785995400	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xcb43f1…
08-06 05:32:24	btc updown 5m 1785994200	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x98448b…
08-06 05:19:35	btc updown 5m 1785993300	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x475dc7…
08-06 05:19:12	btc updown 5m 1785993300	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x74f7ab…
08-06 04:55:57	btc updown 5m 1785992100	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x310a31…
08-06 04:55:57	btc updown 5m 1785992100	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x1b2470…
08-06 04:55:30	btc updown 5m 1785992100	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x50d4b0…
08-06 04:39:42	btc updown 5m 1785990900	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xd899f9…
08-06 04:31:50	btc updown 5m 1785990600	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x02fbb4…
08-06 04:31:14	btc updown 5m 1785990600	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xddf816…
08-06 04:28:24	btc updown 5m 1785990300	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8aea98…
08-06 04:28:24	btc updown 5m 1785990300	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x6f7fa7…
08-06 04:25:21	btc updown 5m 1785990300	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xdb19b0…
08-06 04:16:15	btc updown 5m 1785989700	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x7b9b2d…
08-06 04:16:14	btc updown 5m 1785989700	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc9f4cb…
08-06 04:16:14	btc updown 5m 1785989700	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x8c5fce…
08-06 04:16:14	btc updown 5m 1785989700	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x33539e…
08-06 04:16:05	btc updown 5m 1785989700	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xb858f0…
08-06 04:08:06	btc updown 5m 1785989100	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa343bd…
08-06 04:07:33	btc updown 5m 1785989100	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xeb7174…
08-06 04:03:35	btc updown 5m 1785988800	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x919cae…
08-06 04:01:17	btc updown 5m 1785988800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x155f9d…
08-06 03:55:38	btc updown 5m 1785988500	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x08e7b4…
08-06 03:49:56	btc updown 5m 1785987900	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x552fb9…
08-06 03:49:54	btc updown 5m 1785987900	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6851cd…
08-06 03:49:38	btc updown 5m 1785987900	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xfa0447…
08-06 03:40:03	btc updown 5m 1785987300	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x57dda5…
08-06 03:40:00	btc updown 5m 1785987300	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x7a8b26…
08-06 03:34:05	btc updown 5m 1785987000	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x379e81…
08-06 03:33:24	btc updown 5m 1785987000	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x92f99c…
08-06 03:24:32	btc updown 5m 1785986400	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xacb8a2…
08-06 03:24:30	btc updown 5m 1785986400	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfb91e6…
08-06 03:23:03	btc updown 5m 1785986400	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x476036…
08-06 03:14:33	btc updown 5m 1785985800	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x7d2cfd…
08-06 03:12:26	btc updown 5m 1785985800	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x0333da…
08-06 03:09:11	btc updown 5m 1785985500	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3e3552…
08-06 02:59:00	btc updown 5m 1785984900	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x945ed6…
08-06 02:58:59	btc updown 5m 1785984900	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xc766cb…
08-06 02:58:59	btc updown 5m 1785984900	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x81e64a…
08-06 02:58:38	btc updown 5m 1785984900	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xee2707…
08-06 02:54:21	btc updown 5m 1785984600	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xc62ed9…
08-06 02:54:21	btc updown 5m 1785984600	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xbdbf64…
08-06 02:54:21	btc updown 5m 1785984600	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x0fef82…
08-06 02:52:53	btc updown 5m 1785984600	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x130009…
08-06 02:48:21	btc updown 5m 1785984300	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$3	0x186901…
08-06 02:48:08	btc updown 5m 1785984300	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xb84a9b…
08-06 02:32:21	btc updown 5m 1785983400	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x2d2d78…
08-06 02:20:23	btc updown 5m 1785982800	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x105c28…
08-06 02:19:42	btc updown 5m 1785982500	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfe189d…
08-06 02:17:24	btc updown 5m 1785982500	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x760884…
08-06 02:14:50	btc updown 5m 1785982200	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd2b885…
08-06 02:14:50	btc updown 5m 1785982200	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x82db72…
08-06 02:14:50	btc updown 5m 1785982200	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x60793c…
08-06 02:14:41	btc updown 5m 1785982200	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xfa39c4…
08-06 02:08:44	btc updown 5m 1785981900	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x8e3413…
08-06 02:08:41	btc updown 5m 1785981900	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0fe63f…
08-06 01:42:54	btc updown 5m 1785980400	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x531f5a…
08-06 01:42:09	btc updown 5m 1785980400	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x6d4841…
08-06 01:39:57	btc updown 5m 1785980100	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xc55d88…
08-06 01:32:32	btc updown 5m 1785979800	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x97538f…
08-06 01:31:45	btc updown 5m 1785979800	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x143a54…
08-06 01:19:18	btc updown 5m 1785978900	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xf89f44…
08-06 01:19:18	btc updown 5m 1785978900	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe55c4f…
08-06 01:19:18	btc updown 5m 1785978900	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x8f2bb6…
08-06 01:15:41	btc updown 5m 1785978900	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x7dd098…
08-06 01:14:23	btc updown 5m 1785978600	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$3	0x4ca422…
08-06 01:14:14	btc updown 5m 1785978600	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xdb78b1…
08-06 01:06:03	btc updown 5m 1785978300	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xe98e00…
08-06 01:06:03	btc updown 5m 1785978300	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x00ff91…
08-06 01:05:05	btc updown 5m 1785978300	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf3ad6e…
08-06 01:00:39	btc updown 5m 1785978000	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xb05656…