Quizzical-Parable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$542

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

14,187

Trades

37,332

lifetime

Volume

$82.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 09-03 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$507

Other

0% 41% -$34

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 764 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:05 UTC	99	$193	390	0	+390	Down	-$3	07-29 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	79	$192	368	0	+368	Down	+$1	07-27 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:05 UTC	74	$171	345	0	+345	Up	+$14	07-31 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:00 UTC	56	$129	260	0	+260	Up	+$1	07-21 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	62	$124	250	0	+250	Up	+$6	07-28 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:35 UTC	55	$121	245	0	+245	Up	-$1	07-28 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	55	$116	235	0	+235	Down	-$6	07-31 03:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:55 UTC	53	$104	210	0	+210	Up	-$4	07-22 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:35 UTC	45	$104	210	0	+210	Up	+$6	07-31 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC	53	$104	210	0	+210	Up	-$4	07-31 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:45 UTC	40	$99	200	0	+200	Up	+$1	07-26 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:50 UTC	19	$94	95	0	+95	Down	+$1	07-27 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:00 UTC	64	$92	185	0	+185	Down	+$3	07-20 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	33	$90	130	0	+130	Up	+$0	07-26 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:20 UTC	18	$89	90	0	+90	Up	+$1	07-27 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:25 UTC	38	$87	175	0	+175	Up	+$3	07-28 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:10 UTC	17	$84	85	0	+85	Down	+$1	07-27 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:15 UTC	18	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$1	07-27 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:00 UTC	19	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	07-27 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	39	$79	160	0	+160	Down	-$4	08-05 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 16:50 UTC	38	$77	155	0	+155	Down	-$7	08-05 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:10 UTC	36	$74	150	0	+150	Up	-$9	07-28 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:10 UTC	38	$72	145	0	+145	Up	+$3	08-04 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:25 UTC	16	$69	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	07-26 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:00 UTC	33	$69	140	0	+140	Up	-$4	07-30 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:00 UTC	16	$67	75	72	+3	Up	+$3	04-07 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:45 UTC	33	$67	135	0	+135	Up	-$2	08-01 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:40 UTC	37	$67	135	0	+135	Up	+$8	08-02 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	32	$62	125	0	+125	Down	-$7	08-07 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:10 UTC	29	$62	125	0	+125	Down	-$2	08-27 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 16:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd7ea23…
09-03 16:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59c9c1…
09-03 16:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x2a0bde…
09-03 16:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd21dbe…
09-03 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x61dafb…
09-03 16:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xabc09f…
09-03 16:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0a0a47…
09-03 16:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadaa9d…
09-03 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x155dd2…
09-03 16:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x811de0…
09-03 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdb6e7e…
09-03 16:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0d2c50…
09-03 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bffae…
09-03 15:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa4744…
09-03 15:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x87d83c…
09-03 15:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x269325…
09-03 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x843507…
09-03 15:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5829c2…
09-03 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdf3482…
09-03 15:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ece04…
09-03 15:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x878059…
09-03 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x415627…
09-03 15:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa8532e…
09-03 15:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x971673…
09-03 15:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x78fbc7…
09-03 15:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd57ae4…
09-03 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe8530f…
09-03 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb131de…
09-03 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7123a3…
09-03 15:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x663c83…
09-03 15:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x819dd3…
09-03 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x17ce61…
09-03 14:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e5588…
09-03 14:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b4d09…
09-03 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x969ad2…
09-03 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6b6dc3…
09-03 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd70025…
09-03 14:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9719e8…
09-03 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x55eecd…
09-03 14:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x31a36d…
09-03 14:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9c474f…
09-03 14:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa78bfb…
09-03 14:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdb74ad…
09-03 14:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcdc84e…
09-03 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4aa2e6…
09-03 14:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd35d08…
09-03 14:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb67a1a…
09-03 14:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fed2a…
09-03 14:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbdbca8…
09-03 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa36ce0…
09-03 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29a985…
09-03 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88bfd2…
09-03 14:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd314a0…
09-03 14:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa8af84…
09-03 14:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaec5e3…
09-03 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14f549…
09-03 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x206c6b…
09-03 13:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x237c92…
09-03 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfd5b41…
09-03 13:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x644969…
09-03 13:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xf55ff7…
09-03 13:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x971577…
09-03 13:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9aa5e7…
09-03 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x093a3e…
09-03 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc554d9…
09-03 13:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaac426…
09-03 13:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe22862…
09-03 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2c7d87…
09-03 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5f819f…
09-03 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x21f6c9…
09-03 12:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x18c2f6…
09-03 12:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x27e57f…
09-03 12:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x270d11…
09-03 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xa1a61e…
09-03 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9378bf…
09-03 12:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x79e24a…
09-03 12:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ad7eb…
09-03 12:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe0e516…
09-03 12:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x80a80f…
09-03 12:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x539ef5…
09-03 12:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x643731…
09-03 12:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb022d1…
09-03 12:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfecbcd…
09-03 12:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x840d36…
09-03 12:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d4e84…
09-03 12:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dd108…
09-03 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6adc71…
09-03 12:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x288b93…
09-03 12:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x05b708…
09-03 12:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb1243e…
09-03 12:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6cacba…
09-03 12:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0639d…
09-03 12:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e95c9…
09-03 11:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bed8e…
09-03 11:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f4166…
09-03 11:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x94185d…
09-03 11:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x45af22…
09-03 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x54fa8c…
09-03 11:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e1e24…
09-03 11:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc1f04f…