Alarmed-Rocker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

2,315

Trades

10,424

lifetime

Volume

$428.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-18 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% -$6,864

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 504 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	36	$3.4K	3,504	0	+3,504	Down	+$89	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$3.4K	1,906	1,906	+0	Up	+$164	05-06 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	20	$2.9K	3,011	0	+3,011	Up	+$81	05-08 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	30	$2.9K	3,029	0	+3,029	Up	+$133	05-08 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	83	$2.5K	1,887	1,887	+0	Up	+$1,203	05-06 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$2.5K	2,560	0	+2,560	Down	+$40	05-08 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	78	$2.4K	1,455	1,455	+0	Up	+$293	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	13	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$55	05-04 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$2.2K	1,330	1,328	+2	Down	+$6	04-27 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	Up	+$22	05-07 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	8	$2.0K	1,099	1,099	+0	Up	+$158	05-05 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$1.9K	1,077	1,077	+0	Up	+$266	05-06 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	54	$1.8K	1,887	0	+1,887	Down	+$57	04-28 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$1.8K	1,026	1,026	+0	Down	+$255	05-09 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$1.7K	1,831	19	+1,813	Up	+$90	05-04 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	11	$1.7K	900	900	+0	Up	+$45	05-07 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$1.7K	966	966	+0	Up	+$137	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$1.7K	1,043	1,043	+0	Up	+$332	05-08 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$1.6K	861	861	+0	Up	+$35	05-06 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	8	$1.6K	1,697	0	+1,697	Up	+$71	04-28 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$1.6K	877	877	+0	Down	+$25	04-28 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	12	$1.6K	869	869	+0	Up	+$110	05-07 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	27	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Down	+$50	04-28 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$1.6K	827	827	+0	Up	+$65	05-07 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$1.6K	1,017	1,017	+0	Up	+$363	05-06 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$1.6K	822	800	+22	Down	+$25	04-29 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$1.5K	814	814	+0	Down	+$48	05-07 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,037	1,037	+0	Down	-$112	05-07 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	9	$1.5K	994	994	+0	Up	+$368	05-01 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$1.4K	866	866	+0	Up	+$143	05-07 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x08b1cd…
10-18 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x539c05…
10-18 15:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc5395d…
10-18 15:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb513ba…
10-18 15:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1257f1…
10-18 15:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe595f7…
10-18 14:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x24db75…
10-18 14:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc65f0d…
10-18 14:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$3	0x5242ed…
10-18 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37bba4…
10-18 14:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5823d4…
10-18 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe87724…
10-18 12:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc50c46…
10-18 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xfbd74b…
10-18 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x3820a3…
10-18 11:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb156b4…
10-18 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4bdf1e…
10-18 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x024ad5…
10-18 04:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x41cc1a…
10-18 04:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc26732…
10-18 04:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x98a9f4…
10-17 12:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf3cbcd…
10-17 12:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe37a61…
10-17 12:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	63	91¢	$58	0x880008…
10-17 12:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0e3adb…
10-17 12:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x460815…
10-17 12:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x75e0a4…
10-17 12:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6eb747…
10-17 12:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xce8e16…
10-17 12:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x785dd4…
10-17 12:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc25689…
10-17 12:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2fbb5f…
10-17 08:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x5d758f…
10-17 08:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9d4472…
10-17 08:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5c0e60…
10-17 08:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9c4d01…
10-17 06:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd399a4…
10-17 06:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x870cfd…
10-17 06:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeb6326…
10-17 06:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x23a4b1…
10-17 06:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x374cd2…
10-17 06:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb81617…
10-17 06:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0bfcbe…
10-17 06:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbbb8f8…
10-17 06:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdbf276…
10-17 06:32:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd694d5…
10-17 06:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c30b6…
10-17 06:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xae7bca…
10-17 06:22:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x980c10…
10-02 05:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c70d6…
10-02 05:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x93e510…
10-02 05:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xafc5ea…
10-02 05:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x384330…
10-01 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfbc743…
10-01 21:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x016d51…
10-01 21:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xacb91d…
10-01 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xca6717…
10-01 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x004639…
10-01 21:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xebf99a…
10-01 21:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x381c34…
10-01 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x962188…
10-01 21:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x44e5b3…
10-01 21:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe87d19…
10-01 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x959891…
10-01 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xb204f9…
10-01 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc93056…
10-01 21:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5a280c…
10-01 21:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x10435d…
10-01 21:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x61955d…
10-01 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x173980…
10-01 18:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	53	49¢	$26	0x804082…
10-01 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda70e0…
10-01 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x44393e…
10-01 18:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7339bd…
10-01 18:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x550a33…
10-01 18:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9ca099…
10-01 18:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb05e58…
10-01 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x70ccdc…
10-01 18:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xed50d7…
10-01 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3e9654…
10-01 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5d16fa…
10-01 18:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe41d6f…
10-01 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x587c90…
09-24 16:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51f3e0…
09-24 16:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x582951…
09-24 16:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xab4893…
09-24 16:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcb6fb0…
09-24 16:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd66dc9…
09-24 16:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xbf15be…
09-24 16:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x896b11…
09-24 16:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4b4b43…
09-24 16:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x89f908…
09-24 16:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x311cf3…
09-24 13:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x6f27a5…
09-24 13:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x68e202…
09-24 05:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x27e84a…
09-24 05:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd2b9bb…
09-24 05:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b3876…
09-24 05:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x59e375…
09-24 05:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2dd162…