Scrawny-Dollar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$200

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-07 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

48% 33% +$103

Other

29% — —

Sports

23% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	19	$25	57	+57	Yes	$-25	05-07 05:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$21	315	+315	open	—	05-02 00:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$15	30	+30	open	—	03-02 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$12	140	+140	open	—	05-02 00:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$11	150	+150	Yes	+$139	05-02 00:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$10	141	+141	No	$-10	05-02 00:01
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	1	$10	70	+70	open	—	05-01 20:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	44	+44	open	—	05-01 20:16
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova	1	$8	39	+39	open	—	04-30 21:19
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	1	$8	113	+113	open	—	04-30 21:19
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)	1	$7	57	+57	open	—	05-01 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5	25	+25	open	—	05-02 00:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$5	30	+30	open	—	05-02 00:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$5	60	+60	open	—	05-02 00:01
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	1	$5	25	+25	open	—	05-02 00:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$5	122	+122	open	—	05-01 20:16
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$4	62	+62	open	—	05-02 00:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$4	50	+50	open	—	05-02 00:01
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$4	48	+48	open	—	05-02 00:01
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$4	27	+27	open	—	05-02 00:03
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	1	$3	31	+31	open	—	05-02 00:01
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	1	$3	15	+15	open	—	05-02 00:01
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	2	$3	17	+17	open	—	05-02 00:01
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	05-02 00:01
Sabres vs. Bruins	1	$2	8	+8	open	—	05-02 00:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2	36	+36	open	—	05-01 00:55
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	1	$1	26	+26	open	—	05-02 00:19
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-02 00:20
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	04-10 06:51
btc updown 5m 1775803200	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	04-10 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 05:51:57	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6286eb…
05-06 10:38:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9c52a2…
05-06 00:36:14	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8e754b…
05-06 00:14:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x5a9ddc…
05-05 19:22:52	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x115d8c…
05-05 19:11:36	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x64c4c7…
05-05 19:11:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x7ac53b…
05-04 03:14:10	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0e8972…
05-04 03:14:08	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5bafc1…
05-04 02:08:00	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd78ea6…
05-02 01:52:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x54cc4e…
05-02 01:37:16	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xdc0568…
05-02 01:06:06	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xce8482…
05-02 00:29:06	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdd82cd…
05-02 00:20:18	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	San Francisco Giants	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8ed40d…
05-02 00:19:22	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x3c0511…
05-02 00:03:08	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x41ef38…
05-02 00:01:48	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xd5e275…
05-02 00:01:42	Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x8b8a3d…
05-02 00:01:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0xc48f69…
05-02 00:01:34	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0xf8fceb…
05-02 00:01:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x9c9ec8…
05-02 00:01:30	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x1a4639…
05-02 00:01:28	Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xff81b3…
05-02 00:01:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x2b538c…
05-02 00:01:24	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xb035be…
05-02 00:01:22	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6b44cb…
05-02 00:01:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x24f3cd…
05-02 00:01:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x621aa6…
05-02 00:01:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xb3015b…
05-02 00:01:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x94c15f…
05-02 00:01:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x874117…
05-02 00:01:12	Sabres vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x36aef6…
05-02 00:01:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x157d9e…
05-01 20:28:32	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)	G2	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xfcbb12…
05-01 20:18:34	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x3d33d0…
05-01 20:16:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xf19646…
05-01 20:16:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0x2140e6…
05-01 20:16:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x1eb9a0…
05-01 20:16:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x8c1116…
05-01 20:16:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xde54a7…
05-01 20:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xc1b7da…
05-01 20:16:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0x394c6b…
05-01 20:16:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x553d99…
05-01 20:16:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xd38b28…
05-01 20:16:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x8e9b9e…
05-01 20:14:50	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x339567…
05-01 00:55:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x37ff4e…
05-01 00:55:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x9da38c…
05-01 00:10:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf8aa24…
05-01 00:05:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x6baa9b…
05-01 00:05:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0x0c01f5…
05-01 00:05:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x5ea388…
05-01 00:05:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x783a11…
05-01 00:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0xe13df7…
05-01 00:04:30	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc9f037…
05-01 00:04:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe302ee…
04-30 22:07:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x799368…
04-30 21:19:44	Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x96c991…
04-30 21:19:38	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	113	7¢	$8	0x487195…
04-30 21:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0x0d3b8f…
04-30 21:18:44	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb76260…
04-30 21:18:40	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x04bbf0…
04-10 06:51:07	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x79afc8…
04-10 06:42:47	btc updown 5m 1775803200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x414e72…
03-02 08:05:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xb3b7fe…
03-02 08:03:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xbdf272…