Dazzling-Dough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

1,320

Trades

3,957

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-26 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 66% -$237

Politics

20% 69% +$32

Other

15% 63% -$57

Sports

8% 55% +$26

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	67	$1.5K	780	780	+0	open	—	10-26 03:15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	42	$487	308	308	+0	Yes	+$24	06-22 19:59
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$258	134	134	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 04:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	16	$204	121	96	+25	No	+$7	06-01 01:40
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	10	$187	117	97	+20	Yes	+$13	06-23 04:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$183	266	266	+0	No	+$3	07-14 20:38
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	9	$151	146	146	+0	cancelled	-$1	05-21 04:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	9	$137	75	75	+0	No	-$5	06-13 20:10
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	5	$126	76	76	+0	New York Mets	+$16	05-31 19:08
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$117	59	59	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 13:52
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	9	$112	100	60	+40	Yes	-$8	06-18 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:35 UTC	13	$109	72	70	+2	Up	+$32	04-12 20:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$108	56	56	+0	No	$0	06-03 01:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	15	$106	65	44	+21	Yes	+$2	06-14 18:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	7	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$2	06-03 01:03
mlb tex lad 2026 04 11	6	$98	60	59	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$8	04-12 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC	22	$96	104	0	+104	Down	+$8	04-24 15:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:00 UTC	11	$95	49	49	+0	Down	+$1	04-18 03:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	5	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$1	09-16 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:00 UTC	13	$94	58	57	+1	Down	-$2	04-19 02:04
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	14	$92	82	82	+0	Knicks	-$12	06-04 03:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	6	$88	89	0	+89	No	+$1	06-10 03:20
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	10	$88	44	49	-5	Down	+$6	04-24 18:40
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	7	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$1	09-16 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:15 UTC	24	$83	102	0	+102	Down	-$83	04-18 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:45 UTC	28	$82	135	0	+135	Down	-$82	04-24 15:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$80	44	44	+0	open	—	10-26 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:35 UTC	19	$80	98	0	+98	Down	+$19	04-24 15:38
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	5	$80	46	46	+0	open	—	09-17 17:03
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	6	$79	64	64	+0	Yes	-$3	06-24 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:16:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf25e1a…
10-26 03:15:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x28a450…
10-26 03:15:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x95a141…
10-26 03:15:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0xb0a624…
10-24 21:48:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x9cbe15…
10-19 04:57:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x206156…
10-14 22:11:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd8965…
10-14 22:09:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xfe53e3…
10-14 22:08:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe0d538…
10-14 22:08:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbf5bbf…
10-13 20:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7888a…
10-13 20:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc66fe7…
10-13 20:02:03	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x175606…
10-09 01:47:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a7cc2…
10-09 01:45:48	Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)	Buccaneers	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xac143b…
10-09 01:44:59	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x022d06…
10-09 01:44:17	Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa43d7f…
10-09 01:43:08	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcd40b9…
10-08 19:28:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x19ac8d…
10-06 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1be6d4…
10-06 20:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1e4ae4…
10-06 20:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89fa97…
10-06 20:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x90e001…
10-06 20:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee22ba…
10-02 20:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8411d9…
10-02 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9a3f81…
10-02 20:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17ca02…
10-02 20:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9a58a3…
10-02 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7600cf…
10-02 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7aa89b…
10-02 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe582fb…
10-02 20:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8ef56…
10-02 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x60a5f9…
10-02 20:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f214f…
10-02 20:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87b1b0…
10-02 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe029d7…
10-02 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x096a56…
10-02 20:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x36eac3…
10-02 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x387f04…
10-02 20:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb5876b…
10-02 03:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x89ca68…
10-02 03:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4a6e2f…
10-02 03:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x420c84…
10-02 03:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24545d…
10-02 03:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x910d57…
10-02 03:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7bb114…
10-02 03:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcaaa2e…
10-02 03:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x408f0c…
10-02 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6ee454…
10-02 03:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb9871…
10-02 03:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xce0214…
10-02 03:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd842b2…
10-02 03:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb4171…
10-02 03:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x74ffe9…
10-02 03:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f93cc…
10-02 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x04a9f7…
10-02 03:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33d563…
10-02 03:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xee48b5…
10-02 03:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7f41b3…
10-02 03:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe41d3d…
10-02 03:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a118d…
10-02 03:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x846f11…
10-02 03:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e06be…
10-02 03:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x651e67…
10-02 03:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2ec3d…
10-02 03:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x088e62…
10-02 03:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc42e8b…
10-02 03:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xec6259…
10-02 03:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6b2aa2…
10-02 03:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x828189…
10-02 03:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73a7a5…
10-02 03:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x844f05…
10-02 03:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9f632a…
10-02 03:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x74723d…
10-02 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe095a1…
10-02 03:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9623ff…
10-02 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xffc480…
10-02 03:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0ed813…
10-02 03:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x944a0c…
10-02 03:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe3ddd5…
10-02 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc9aec3…
10-02 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9aac0a…
10-02 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c3252…
10-02 03:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x0e70b6…
10-02 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3e5d3…
10-02 03:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a2e79…
10-02 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7beca9…
10-02 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x49e201…
10-02 03:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf2367b…
10-02 03:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd57eae…
10-02 03:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa904f5…
10-02 03:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9a25c5…
10-02 03:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x21e9bf…
10-02 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x64f1ab…
10-02 03:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd2ca49…
10-02 03:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x79f26c…
10-02 03:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x62be5a…
10-02 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc63a77…
10-02 03:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf3d140…
10-02 03:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x16b7b3…