Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

112

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$888

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-08 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 37% $-28

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-19	$-16	84¢	$-16	$-0	06-07 22:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-19	$-3	18¢	$-3	+$0	06-08 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$20	33	33	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	0	19	-19	open	—	06-07 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$15	22	22	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$15	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 21:02
btc updown 15m 1780878600	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-08 00:30
btc updown 15m 1780917300	7	$13	28	0	+28	open	—	06-08 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$10	18	18	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$10	13	13	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$10	25	25	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-09 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$9	13	13	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$9	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$9	24	24	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	17	0	+17	Up	$-0	05-11 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 08:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:16:12	btc updown 15m 1780932600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf33625…
06-08 15:04:22	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaa14f6…
06-08 13:53:51	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x24ca5b…
06-08 13:23:18	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x24889b…
06-08 13:04:24	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x6ca029…
06-08 12:51:24	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x651062…
06-08 12:37:30	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x64479a…
06-08 12:37:28	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c93dd…
06-08 12:36:51	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x0aba76…
06-08 12:17:01	btc updown 15m 1780921800	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x198fd4…
06-08 11:40:13	btc updown 15m 1780919100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5196b2…
06-08 11:40:07	btc updown 15m 1780919100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x82b48b…
06-08 11:23:09	btc updown 15m 1780918200	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x86d9f1…
06-08 11:11:10	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd3ceb4…
06-08 11:11:10	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x599331…
06-08 11:11:06	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5fddc4…
06-08 11:10:33	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6c65ba…
06-08 11:10:30	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xacf7ce…
06-08 11:10:03	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xad3879…
06-08 11:06:49	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x274fff…
06-08 10:34:22	btc updown 15m 1780915500	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xacc3fc…
06-08 10:25:09	btc updown 15m 1780914600	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x915a5b…
06-08 10:19:21	btc updown 15m 1780914600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x49a70f…
06-08 10:10:30	btc updown 15m 1780913700	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2e7bdd…
06-08 10:02:51	btc updown 15m 1780913700	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xfbc06c…
06-08 09:50:09	btc updown 15m 1780912800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbab3a0…
06-08 09:50:07	btc updown 15m 1780912800	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x8d338e…
06-08 09:40:15	btc updown 15m 1780911900	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x231c46…
06-08 02:38:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x26982a…
06-08 00:30:28	btc updown 15m 1780878600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd11a4e…
06-08 00:30:28	btc updown 15m 1780878600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0e1680…
06-08 00:20:09	btc updown 15m 1780878600	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xe6c599…
06-08 00:10:15	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbdb878…
06-08 00:10:09	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8daa1d…
06-08 00:08:12	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xa912a0…
06-07 23:52:10	btc updown 15m 1780876800	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x290b2f…
06-07 22:59:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x572fbd…
06-07 22:15:07	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x74d2e9…
06-07 22:00:04	btc updown 15m 1780870500	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x23e9ba…
06-07 21:45:09	btc updown 15m 1780869600	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf6e8ba…
06-07 21:30:06	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3abdf3…
06-07 21:15:06	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x94cbe6…
06-07 21:10:27	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x33556b…
06-07 21:00:06	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x8a12bb…
06-07 20:49:36	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xfdc5c8…
06-07 20:45:04	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x105361…
06-07 20:30:06	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6b5976…
06-07 20:16:54	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2571b5…
06-07 20:15:06	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x45bc39…
06-07 19:45:06	btc updown 15m 1780862400	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xc5bf82…
05-12 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xde99a9…
05-12 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x871eb5…
05-12 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8f2dc9…
05-12 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x619d78…
05-12 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x56e352…
05-12 02:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xdf944e…
05-12 02:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x084d25…
05-12 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x441a0b…
05-12 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7ce697…
05-12 00:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x37efc9…
05-12 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1d7030…
05-12 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbcecd8…
05-11 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd2cb58…
05-11 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x69af46…
05-11 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2e98c3…
05-11 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0a1750…
05-11 22:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x53ac48…
05-11 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x06bbe6…
05-11 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x07cf1c…
05-11 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a43a6…
05-11 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9691e3…
05-11 21:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x78f503…
05-11 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x68e211…
05-11 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xcb0375…
05-11 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3f54c5…
05-11 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5425e3…
05-11 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x62eb20…
05-11 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x47aee6…
05-11 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x785dd5…
05-11 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf3085d…
05-11 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe6096c…
05-11 19:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3eb8b3…
05-11 19:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x37b9db…
05-11 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x211c6b…
05-11 18:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9246a9…
05-11 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd8c4f5…
05-11 18:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbd2bd5…
05-11 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x678767…
05-11 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xf2dd8f…
05-11 17:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x00373c…
05-11 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b4196…
05-11 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x872719…
05-11 16:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x4d7e08…
05-11 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x32bb61…
05-11 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x63d907…
05-11 16:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xde306a…
05-11 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x07a94d…
05-11 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd6f1b3…
05-11 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x85d63a…
05-11 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x669425…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	157	$55.3K	15,570	06-08 15:42
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	157	$54.1K	15,180	06-08 15:42
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	157	$45.8K	7,182	06-08 15:41
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	157	$39.3K	5,996	06-08 15:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	156	$327.1K	25,690	06-08 15:43
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	156	$96.5K	11,662	06-08 15:41
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	150	$13.7K	2,241	06-08 15:41
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	149	$17.0K	5,490	06-08 15:41