Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

1,578

Trades

3,778

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

10 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-30 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

46% 69% -$86

Crypto

24% 80% -$71

Politics

15% 11% -$13

Sports

11% 42% -$88

Tech

4% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	+20	$18	98¢	$20	+$1	10-15 12:06
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-19 20:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+2	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	10-07 16:49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+2	$1	60¢	$1	+$0	10-07 17:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	10-07 17:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2	$1	40¢	$1	$0	10-07 17:34
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	+20	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	10-15 12:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	20¢	$0	$0	10-07 17:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1	$0	20¢	$0	$0	10-07 17:34
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+10	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-19 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	2	$237	157	157	+0	Yes	-$52	10-27 14:53
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	8	$185	117	97	+20	open	—	10-29 07:58
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	18	$147	418	178	+240	open	—	10-11 10:09
Will Vance peak at Category 2?	2	$137	72	72	+0	open	—	10-27 17:50
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	10	$132	102	62	+40	open	—	10-29 19:42
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$130	100	60	+40	No	-$1	10-25 19:56
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	6	$125	143	143	+0	open	—	10-29 03:23
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	11	$113	109	69	+40	open	—	10-26 08:48
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$112	122	122	+0	No	-$1	10-26 22:53
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	13	$109	197	8	+189	open	—	10-08 19:29
Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	2	$109	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 22:39
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 23, 2026?	2	$108	60	60	+0	No	$0	10-25 23:35
Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$107	59	59	+0	No	-$1	10-26 21:12
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	7	$104	86	75	+11	open	—	10-27 07:06
Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	20	$101	200	58	+142	No	-$2	10-08 10:04
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$91	51	51	+0	open	—	10-28 01:58
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	13	$89	126	110	+16	open	—	10-25 04:26
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	10	$84	108	68	+40	open	—	10-26 14:25
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$80	46	46	+0	open	—	10-29 17:35
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	7	$79	61	41	+20	open	—	10-23 11:57
Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	5	$77	155	0	+155	No	+$0	10-26 02:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	4	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	10-24 00:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 45%-50%?	2	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 12:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 08:08
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$72	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 14:01
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 11:02
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	5	$69	80	20	+60	open	—	10-29 13:29
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?	2	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	10-28 00:25
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$67	81	21	+60	open	—	10-29 14:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 25%-30%?	6	$67	37	37	+0	open	—	10-18 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:33:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x17f1bd…
10-30 08:39:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf0209d…
10-30 08:39:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0x760318…
10-30 07:52:36	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xf55e75…
10-30 06:54:25	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0xafa12d…
10-30 04:52:42	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	63	7¢	$4	0xc15443…
10-30 04:41:30	Will Trabzonspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xa1f6ad…
10-30 04:38:33	Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe920b8…
10-30 03:55:31	Will Nightfaces win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x767560…
10-30 03:38:06	Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x14269e…
10-30 03:25:33	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x7a05d8…
10-30 03:23:40	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb8d991…
10-30 01:42:18	Will Podemos win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9bd8c4…
10-30 01:25:10	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x119563…
10-30 01:24:58	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x11149b…
10-30 01:05:42	Will Podemos win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x019f62…
10-30 01:04:52	Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x0d0f65…
10-30 01:04:46	Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x3052e5…
10-30 00:53:34	Will Arch Manning be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9ae7e2…
10-30 00:53:27	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa45a64…
10-30 00:53:27	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x40aeda…
10-29 23:34:36	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x6d0ab0…
10-29 23:11:18	Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xae009c…
10-29 23:10:39	Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x643abb…
10-29 23:10:33	Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4de3dc…
10-29 23:08:10	Will Vox win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xef85e4…
10-29 23:07:39	Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x04af3d…
10-29 22:58:33	Will William Eklund record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1547e7…
10-29 22:49:16	Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x6bd1d8…
10-29 22:49:16	Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4c5d17…
10-29 22:46:55	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x7fdefc…
10-29 22:46:06	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x734612…
10-29 22:46:04	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x90d1c1…
10-29 22:41:19	Will William Eklund record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf580c4…
10-29 22:41:18	Will Magan's Fare win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd17720…
10-29 22:41:12	Will Trabzonspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2c01a4…
10-29 22:41:07	Will Magan's Fare win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x642a7d…
10-29 22:38:15	Will Arch Manning be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xff1b67…
10-29 22:38:13	Will Arch Manning be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x315944…
10-29 22:29:13	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3db782…
10-29 22:17:27	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc899b3…
10-29 22:13:43	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x808f81…
10-29 22:12:34	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xd5bf62…
10-29 22:11:28	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x3e6d7d…
10-29 22:11:22	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xcf53d5…
10-29 22:03:30	Will New Mexico State Aggies Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x89a3e9…
10-29 22:02:57	Will New Mexico State Aggies Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf98569…
10-29 21:58:03	Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xee21d1…
10-29 21:55:31	Will Nightfaces win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x23c648…
10-29 21:55:24	Will Nightfaces win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x124262…
10-29 21:48:25	Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x52ce0d…
10-29 20:57:06	Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x6da175…
10-29 20:56:37	Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xaa9f35…
10-29 20:37:42	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0d8adc…
10-29 20:17:48	Will Vox win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xad86f3…
10-29 20:00:39	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb9b460…
10-29 19:51:34	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x47c3c8…
10-29 19:51:24	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf89834…
10-29 19:42:24	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xa19556…
10-29 19:40:28	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x8b560c…
10-29 19:40:19	Will Gunner Stockton win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1a825d…
10-29 19:39:48	Will Gunner Stockton win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xda0aae…
10-29 19:32:19	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0602c2…
10-29 19:26:45	Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc08663…
10-29 19:06:33	Will PSOE win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xede7dd…
10-29 19:06:15	Will PSOE win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x975531…
10-29 19:06:06	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe7c658…
10-29 19:05:58	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcfa440…
10-29 17:51:20	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x5a7b1f…
10-29 17:49:26	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x959c75…
10-29 17:37:52	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4d0772…
10-29 17:37:23	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xa8caa1…
10-29 17:35:46	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xee5f1c…
10-29 17:32:05	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0xffe6db…
10-29 17:25:29	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x221e5e…
10-29 17:25:23	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4f148f…
10-29 17:22:17	Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa282bc…
10-29 17:21:58	Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc0caaa…
10-29 17:05:08	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x47c23a…
10-29 17:01:14	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1e05c4…
10-29 16:38:44	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Los Angeles Rams in 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x3d305a…
10-29 15:24:29	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Los Angeles Rams in 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x91fc4f…
10-29 15:15:17	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xdfed87…
10-29 15:14:53	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x2500c5…
10-29 14:48:29	Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x627b17…
10-29 14:47:52	Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xfe18b0…
10-29 14:33:59	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbb8a8b…
10-29 14:33:02	Will Cam Skattebo finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x96138f…
10-29 14:26:11	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xd9f32d…
10-29 14:24:23	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xc6e618…
10-29 14:23:44	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xede4f3…
10-29 14:23:43	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x357971…
10-29 14:23:22	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcc5cdf…
10-29 14:23:14	Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x6ea528…
10-29 14:23:14	Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x6d5dbc…
10-29 13:39:55	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0x36311a…
10-29 13:29:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9f96bd…
10-29 13:27:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x77a798…
10-29 13:27:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x2f774a…
10-29 13:22:52	Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xeaaa07…