Realized P&L
+$78.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$689
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
20
Trades
650
lifetime
Volume
$556.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$856
Open exposure
$73.7K
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 11-01 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
43% 70% +$3,348
Politics
42% 75% +$74,328
Crypto
15% 100% +$327
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20,000 $18,750 94¢ $18.9K +$150 10-30 15:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15,000 $10,585 72¢ $10.7K +$140 11-01 01:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $9,400 94¢ $9.4K +$50 10-31 01:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,000 $4,110 72¢ $4.3K +$180 10-31 17:22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,600 82¢ $4.1K +$475 10-29 15:59
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,256 $3,148 97¢ $3.2K +$19 11-01 08:59
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? No +3,086 $2,900 96¢ $2.9K +$49 10-31 22:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $2,840 72¢ $2.9K +$60 10-31 12:34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $2,461 80¢ $2.4K -$46 10-31 01:20
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes +2,436 $2,292 94¢ $2.3K +$6 10-31 22:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,130 70¢ $2.1K -$15 10-31 22:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $1,800 82¢ $2.0K +$238 10-29 16:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,977 $1,260 99¢ $2.0K +$697 10-30 00:28
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +2,364 $784 34¢ $816 +$32 11-01 01:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $810 80¢ $805 -$5 10-30 18:31
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,654 $772 48¢ $802 +$30 10-31 12:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $710 70¢ $705 -$5 10-31 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,000 $690 34¢ $690 $0 11-01 00:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,111 $793 32¢ $686 -$107 10-31 22:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $690 68¢ $675 -$15 10-31 15:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $537 26¢ $510 -$27 10-31 22:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $355 74¢ $368 +$12 10-31 01:21
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $250 24¢ $245 -$5 10-30 15:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +272 $100 32¢ $86 -$14 10-31 22:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,977 $1,230 1¢ $20 -$1,210 10-30 00:39