Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$119

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

135

Trades

1,976

lifetime

Volume

$121.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$2.11K

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-26 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

65% 44% -$1,888

Politics

21% 40% +$62

Tech

11% 47% +$41

Crypto

1% 0% -$18

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 25% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	+800	$774	95¢	$758	-$15	10-17 06:42
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	+494	$424	93¢	$457	+$33	10-24 17:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+706	$420	64¢	$452	+$32	10-05 06:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+800	$375	55¢	$444	+$69	10-02 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	66	$6.5K	5,464	5,464	+0	open	—	10-13 13:49
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	10	$6.3K	21,119	21,119	+0	open	—	10-23 18:25
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	11	$4.6K	6,100	6,100	+0	Yes	-$111	09-10 16:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	35	$4.3K	2,846	2,846	+0	No	+$24	09-29 06:29
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	20	$4.0K	8,589	8,589	+0	open	—	10-26 19:12
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	23	$3.7K	3,183	3,183	+0	open	—	10-05 18:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	32	$3.5K	2,194	2,194	+0	Yes	+$47	09-30 04:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	3	$3.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-13 06:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	20	$3.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	10-23 12:48
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?	12	$2.4K	1,465	1,465	+0	Yes	+$9	09-30 03:37
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	153	$2.4K	6,371	6,371	+0	open	—	10-08 15:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	26	$2.2K	2,251	2,251	+0	open	—	09-21 17:20
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	09-11 05:53
trump renames ai by september 30	18	$2.0K	1,466	1,466	+0	Yes	+$36	09-28 13:22
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$7	10-19 11:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	9	$1.9K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	09-24 03:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	19	$1.9K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	-$4	09-18 05:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	09-19 10:22
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	09-11 15:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	12	$1.8K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	10-23 15:21
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	26	$1.8K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$239	09-22 10:52
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	54	$1.6K	1,306	1,274	+32	Yes	+$22	10-12 15:41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	11	$1.6K	1,134	640	+494	open	—	10-24 17:55
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	9	$1.6K	920	920	+0	No	-$2	09-14 03:57
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	38	$1.5K	1,069	1,069	+0	Yes	+$10	09-14 08:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	4	$1.3K	694	694	+0	Yes	+$0	09-11 08:18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	19	$1.2K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	10-11 06:37
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	16	$1.1K	614	614	+0	Yes	-$18	10-04 15:11
moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	19	$1.1K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	09-16 01:33
trump invokes war powers in yemen by september 30	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$0	09-12 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:12:56	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6,015	25¢	$1,504	0x459d1e…
10-26 10:18:59	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0x46acf6…
10-26 05:00:38	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x968451…
10-26 05:00:06	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	505	21¢	$106	0x901c3c…
10-25 15:23:30	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,469	20¢	$294	0x9cfb43…
10-24 17:55:08	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x84fa20…
10-24 17:55:08	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x09658b…
10-24 17:55:03	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x5ba852…
10-24 17:55:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xf52547…
10-24 17:55:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xdaf4d1…
10-24 17:55:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xb092a3…
10-24 17:55:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x8973ca…
10-24 05:43:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x5bfd09…
10-24 05:21:30	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x29780c…
10-24 05:21:24	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x362df7…
10-24 05:20:54	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	19¢	$27	0x0757ec…
10-24 05:20:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	112	19¢	$21	0x960e94…
10-24 04:08:36	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa15513…
10-24 04:01:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	171	17¢	$29	0x9c4eda…
10-24 03:08:27	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	350	20¢	$70	0x55fdab…
10-24 02:36:38	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc3f38d…
10-24 02:36:32	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xd747a0…
10-24 02:36:27	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0xcac475…
10-24 02:36:11	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	523	19¢	$99	0x0c43f9…
10-24 02:35:56	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	752	18¢	$135	0x3e5e90…
10-24 02:30:42	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	141	95¢	$133	0x44aa98…
10-23 18:25:15	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18,892	15¢	$2,834	0xd977de…
10-23 18:15:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,000	25¢	$1,500	0xf86516…
10-23 18:06:27	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	259	95¢	$247	0x30c872…
10-23 17:48:26	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xc8ce3e…
10-23 16:49:18	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$11	0x929dc8…
10-23 15:21:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0xd5c017…
10-23 14:40:39	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa8677d…
10-23 14:17:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x0af7fc…
10-23 14:09:56	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,142	15¢	$321	0x95a05d…
10-23 12:48:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	400	78¢	$312	0x746f3a…
10-23 12:48:32	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x473a81…
10-23 12:48:26	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x3b1f55…
10-23 12:40:44	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	11¢	$34	0x3cb141…
10-23 12:04:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xcb717c…
10-23 11:56:44	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	10¢	$32	0xb5afdd…
10-23 11:56:30	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	10¢	$26	0x7a1096…
10-23 11:49:30	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	732	37¢	$271	0x37ac50…
10-23 11:41:42	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	15¢	$3,000	0x560798…
10-23 09:26:17	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	732	37¢	$271	0x4a9cd2…
10-23 08:36:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x034c4d…
10-23 05:50:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x18e1f4…
10-22 21:46:08	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	36¢	$26	0xb3beef…
10-22 16:05:17	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	93	69¢	$64	0x3df0f7…
10-22 15:58:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	408	88¢	$359	0xa5db5c…
10-22 15:46:02	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x9ac29e…
10-22 15:45:32	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xd36906…
10-22 15:44:26	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x9c94f8…
10-22 14:52:27	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x4d0523…
10-22 14:24:00	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x8bcc6e…
10-22 14:23:59	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x06f465…
10-22 13:48:42	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	275	69¢	$189	0x8a14d6…
10-22 13:33:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	600	73¢	$438	0x75d68a…
10-22 13:32:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0xa92652…
10-22 13:32:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	97	72¢	$70	0x7304fa…
10-22 13:06:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xa01a16…
10-22 13:06:12	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x6076e1…
10-22 12:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	400	73¢	$292	0x31a30b…
10-22 12:01:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe05e97…
10-22 11:15:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x470b63…
10-22 11:14:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x49a92e…
10-22 11:14:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	268	74¢	$198	0x2b12ba…
10-22 11:09:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5dc302…
10-22 10:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	400	74¢	$296	0x99064c…
10-22 10:14:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x57072f…
10-22 10:02:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	120	89¢	$107	0x61c68f…
10-22 09:44:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0a4840…
10-22 09:16:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x6c3993…
10-22 09:15:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x1ce6a8…
10-22 09:00:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	59	89¢	$53	0xa51a10…
10-22 08:25:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x027129…
10-22 08:13:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	88	37¢	$33	0x981fa2…
10-22 07:47:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	201	88¢	$177	0x652b72…
10-22 05:46:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x348889…
10-22 04:05:29	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x5a4467…
10-22 04:00:24	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	111	67¢	$74	0x98ef09…
10-22 04:00:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0xd61cc9…
10-22 03:34:59	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd7850b…
10-22 01:24:48	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0x2a9040…
10-19 11:39:39	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	800	97¢	$772	0xd33f5c…
10-19 11:38:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	800	97¢	$779	0x06cdff…
10-19 11:37:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xdb45d7…
10-19 11:36:53	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	119	82¢	$97	0x787d48…
10-19 11:24:47	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x60b05e…
10-19 11:03:08	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	95¢	$296	0xb005be…
10-19 06:29:56	Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xaf8635…
10-19 06:29:44	Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0xfe00b5…
10-19 06:26:59	Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x59b352…
10-19 03:30:45	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0x0b6072…
10-18 21:50:48	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	36¢	$25	0x772fc7…
10-18 14:30:20	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	36¢	$21	0x205612…
10-18 14:30:14	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0x64c984…
10-18 12:31:17	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	36¢	$61	0x974f77…
10-18 10:23:18	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x4232b6…
10-18 01:19:14	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xfc2c3f…