Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

204

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$71

10 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-27 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 33% +$55

Sports

17% 24% -$21

Crypto

5% 12% -$81

Tech

5% — —

Politics

1% 50% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+47	$16	38¢	$18	+$1	10-24 17:21
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+303	$10	3¢	$10	+$1	10-26 23:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+288	$27	4¢	$10	-$17	10-25 10:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+183	$11	4¢	$7	-$4	10-26 00:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	+13	$5	48¢	$6	+$1	10-24 12:40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+25	$5	20¢	$5	$0	10-24 02:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+12	$5	41¢	$5	-$1	10-24 13:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+110	$6	4¢	$4	-$1	10-25 01:29
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	+23	$5	12¢	$3	-$3	10-24 07:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+69	$6	2¢	$1	-$4	10-25 22:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	4	$38	119	0	+119	Over	-$38	10-26 23:11
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	4	$38	76	0	+76	No	+$38	10-26 17:08
Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	3	$29	83	0	+83	Yes	+$55	10-26 15:17
Ningbo: Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida	3	$29	79	0	+79	Kaichi Uchida	+$51	10-26 08:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	7	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	10-24 04:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$27	288	0	+288	open	—	10-25 10:54
Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-10-27?	9	$27	50	0	+50	No	+$23	10-24 14:12
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	8	$26	364	49	+315	No	-$23	10-27 02:37
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-10-23?	5	$26	64	0	+64	Yes	+$19	10-24 02:36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	5	$26	65	0	+65	No	+$39	10-25 20:22
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-24?	5	$26	401	0	+401	No	-$26	10-24 12:46
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$26	247	0	+247	No	-$26	10-24 13:59
UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	5	$26	63	0	+63	Kody Steele	-$14	10-24 14:33
RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	5	$26	60	0	+60	Over	+$34	10-24 14:49
UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	5	$26	50	0	+50	Lone'er Kavanagh	+$24	10-24 13:12
Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	5	$26	58	0	+58	Yes	-$16	10-24 12:35
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5	5	$26	51	0	+51	cancelled	-$1	10-24 13:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	7	$26	63	0	+63	No	+$37	10-24 15:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 24?	6	$26	10,325	0	+10,325	Yes	-$26	10-24 15:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	7	$26	605	0	+605	Yes	-$26	10-24 15:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 24?	5	$26	2,568	0	+2,568	Yes	-$26	10-24 14:15
Will Solana dip to $100 on October 24?	5	$26	2,567	0	+2,567	Yes	-$26	10-24 14:16
1Q Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	4	$22	146	0	+146	Rockets	+$124	10-24 02:42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	4	$21	42	0	+42	Yes	+$22	10-25 21:21
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$19	78	0	+78	Yes	-$19	10-26 19:28
Ningbo: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu	2	$19	45	0	+45	Yuta Shimizu	-$19	10-26 09:49
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	2	$19	136	0	+136	Alexandra Eala	-$19	10-26 06:45
Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5	2	$19	35	0	+35	Over	+$16	10-26 17:33
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	3	$16	47	0	+47	open	—	10-24 17:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$16	45	0	+45	Yes	-$16	10-25 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:37:30	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xe7d920…
10-27 02:19:26	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x7f26a4…
10-27 02:17:27	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$6	0x849a97…
10-27 02:15:47	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0xbf75bd…
10-27 02:12:26	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x1038c5…
10-27 02:07:00	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x0048c2…
10-27 02:06:06	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c9acd…
10-27 02:05:23	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x076ee2…
10-27 01:01:48	Maple Leafs vs. Flames	Maple Leafs	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x3e64e0…
10-27 01:01:27	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x02a93e…
10-27 00:15:57	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x2b9ee7…
10-27 00:07:54	Will Drake London have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x02dac2…
10-26 23:49:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x37ef6d…
10-26 23:48:05	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xf75559…
10-26 23:48:03	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x20acfa…
10-26 23:47:53	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xa1067f…
10-26 23:33:17	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	25¢	$10	0x9e67f9…
10-26 23:31:00	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x340c05…
10-26 23:18:15	Will Kirill Marchenko record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x2dd4c4…
10-26 23:11:02	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x5ab065…
10-26 23:11:00	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xe1b418…
10-26 23:11:00	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x67ddce…
10-26 23:11:00	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x20dac1…
10-26 23:07:35	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x6b3b1a…
10-26 23:07:29	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xb820e5…
10-26 22:53:12	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xd9e7d5…
10-26 20:09:36	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xc26103…
10-26 19:29:42	Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x779875…
10-26 19:28:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb01fd0…
10-26 18:31:23	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0xa1e405…
10-26 18:27:20	Fullana vs. Ayala: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x42e6a7…
10-26 18:17:54	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xd47b0e…
10-26 17:57:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0xbc66c4…
10-26 17:51:56	Will Anna Leigh Waters be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Women's End of Year Rankings?	No	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x1f14b1…
10-26 17:46:51	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	15¢	$10	0x2cf28a…
10-26 17:45:26	Will Jared Goff have 4,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x17f6b5…
10-26 17:36:33	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6f2e77…
10-26 17:33:24	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x8e2148…
10-26 17:33:24	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x25a6f4…
10-26 17:10:38	Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj	Karl Poling	BUY	24	39¢	$10	0x377369…
10-26 17:08:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xe1d097…
10-26 17:08:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xbb05d3…
10-26 17:08:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x35b105…
10-26 17:08:06	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc33fa8…
10-26 16:49:56	Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xde0f3b…
10-26 16:49:56	Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x5fddf2…
10-26 16:37:30	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdef189…
10-26 16:24:08	Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5dc017…
10-26 15:17:05	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x75d8a1…
10-26 14:36:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x05a964…
10-26 14:33:27	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xc767f9…
10-26 14:15:42	Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0x3930f5…
10-26 14:06:48	Will the Anaheim Ducks record 90+ points?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc1d402…
10-26 13:56:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x5ddd9c…
10-26 13:55:21	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x5ab4ae…
10-26 13:54:36	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xc7e54d…
10-26 13:16:35	Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x117584…
10-26 11:49:51	Will Jared Goff have 4,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf71839…
10-26 11:44:56	Will Jared Goff have 4,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x955977…
10-26 10:40:51	Ningbo: Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya	Rigele Te	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd5e7e6…
10-26 09:49:09	Ningbo: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu	Mili Poljicak	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x457db8…
10-26 09:42:11	Ningbo: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu	Mili Poljicak	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xa33cb5…
10-26 09:34:05	Will Michael McGreevy win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x1d2551…
10-26 08:26:12	Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0xa842e6…
10-26 08:22:20	Ningbo: Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x18422c…
10-26 08:13:27	Ningbo: Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x7bb2a1…
10-26 07:49:59	Ningbo: Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xe3da25…
10-26 07:36:44	Harris vs. Shang: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0x3b8ece…
10-26 07:10:23	Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x14cf01…
10-26 07:10:20	Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x25a95c…
10-26 06:45:54	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Mika Stojsavljevic	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0xb8ea55…
10-26 06:45:26	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Mika Stojsavljevic	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x058119…
10-26 06:37:47	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	167	4¢	$7	0x5d04b7…
10-26 06:00:17	Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Timofei Derepasko	Timofei Derepasko	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x720beb…
10-26 05:39:23	wta parks chwalin 2026 10 27	Alycia Parks	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc31ffc…
10-26 05:10:24	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0x6abcb5…
10-26 05:04:42	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x979624…
10-26 04:50:39	Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	518	2¢	$10	0x1d4b9e…
10-26 04:46:54	Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xcbf32f…
10-26 04:46:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x5a52d0…
10-26 03:47:27	Alibek Kachmazov vs. Woobin Shin: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x3d1e87…
10-26 03:40:20	Udvardy vs. Kraus: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x0eaf8e…
10-26 03:39:54	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x948bac…
10-26 03:38:11	Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0x5a0a39…
10-26 03:36:57	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xf3563c…
10-26 03:28:21	Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	146	6¢	$9	0xcdeb1b…
10-26 03:28:02	Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xda68a8…
10-26 03:20:35	Will the Samsung Lions win the 2026 Korean Series?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x05e76e…
10-26 03:20:21	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x8d01c6…
10-26 03:20:12	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x51b76c…
10-26 03:20:12	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x3181eb…
10-26 03:18:29	nba mem sac 2026 10 25 3q total 59pt5	Over	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x6027fa…
10-26 03:08:18	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xb6f383…
10-26 03:01:59	Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xabed2f…
10-26 02:52:14	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	242	4¢	$10	0x210ea0…
10-26 02:50:05	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8b91e9…
10-26 02:30:57	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0x966a2f…
10-26 02:30:38	Will Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0x9ee229…
10-26 02:30:36	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x13e2e1…
10-26 02:30:24	Wang vs. Parks: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xfb72a3…