Instructive-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$555

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

357

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$6.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-16 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 46% -$241

Other

14% 28% -$315

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$139	1,143	85	+1,059	Up	+$35	05-14 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$83	56	55	+1	Up	+$27	05-16 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$66	39	38	+0	Up	+$10	05-16 07:20
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$63	119	0	+119	Down	-$23	05-18 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 14?	2	$59	44	44	+0	Yes	+$29	05-14 20:58
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$57	111	0	+111	Up	-$25	05-18 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$54	58	32	+26	Up	+$8	05-24 21:14
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$48	125	0	+125	Up	+$30	05-18 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$47	105	0	+105	Up	+$32	05-24 21:48
Will CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?	2	$44	35	35	+0	Yes	+$26	05-21 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$43	144	0	+144	Down	+$26	05-19 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$43	237	0	+237	Down	+$44	05-19 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$40	138	0	+138	Down	-$40	05-20 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	1	$40	69	0	+69	Down	-$40	06-03 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$40	75	0	+75	Up	-$40	05-18 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$40	114	0	+114	Up	+$16	05-14 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$39	81	0	+81	Up	-$39	05-26 14:20
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$37	111	0	+111	Up	+$21	05-14 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$35	201	0	+201	Up	+$166	05-18 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$35	76	0	+76	Up	-$35	05-19 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$35	85	0	+85	Down	+$19	05-24 17:12
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$34	88	0	+88	Down	+$14	05-24 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$34	100	0	+100	Down	+$23	05-14 23:47
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$34	111	0	+111	Down	+$23	05-14 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$33	77	0	+77	Down	+$24	05-28 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$32	102	0	+102	Down	+$19	05-14 03:08
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$32	99	0	+99	Up	+$11	05-13 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$31	73	0	+73	Up	+$18	05-13 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$31	76	0	+76	Up	+$17	05-15 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$30	120	0	+120	Up	-$30	05-18 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x2fa5b0…
08-16 13:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 16?	No	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x13960b…
08-15 21:56:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7b8eb4…
08-15 13:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 15?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xf02f93…
08-15 13:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xeefb2c…
08-15 13:01:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x81e9a1…
08-15 13:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa8d511…
08-14 17:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbc90a6…
08-14 13:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x78d4e0…
08-14 13:05:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x417f56…
08-14 13:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcc0285…
08-11 13:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 11?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xecb4ca…
08-11 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 11?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x24664c…
08-11 13:03:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x3fd95a…
08-11 13:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x83b60a…
08-10 17:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x43f484…
08-07 19:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8799a0…
08-07 19:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3cdca4…
08-07 19:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8ad58a…
08-07 18:57:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0b7e5d…
08-07 13:03:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x27b9d4…
08-07 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xce4368…
08-07 13:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xfceb72…
08-07 13:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xf14edf…
08-06 21:56:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2ac5c9…
08-06 18:57:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5b4393…
08-06 13:03:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7a6066…
08-06 13:03:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x72a84c…
08-06 13:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdd9b11…
08-05 13:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc5571d…
08-05 13:03:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x74db08…
08-05 13:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x68b4d7…
08-05 13:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x93404e…
08-05 13:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x07e8cf…
08-04 14:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06b6b0…
08-04 14:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1bd309…
08-04 14:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xab00a7…
08-04 14:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x52a94e…
08-04 14:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6ecae9…
08-04 14:08:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6d2c1f…
08-04 14:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc4e3f9…
06-06 22:37:36	Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x0dc658…
06-06 22:36:12	Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7caa3b…
06-06 22:35:54	Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x25fb99…
06-04 18:46:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xdc1ca3…
06-04 18:45:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x19e9bb…
06-04 18:41:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x313068…
06-03 23:55:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x36e417…
06-03 19:11:24	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1a81a3…
06-03 19:09:27	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd26f63…
05-28 19:49:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x27114c…
05-28 19:45:59	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x1c9be4…
05-28 19:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x142990…
05-28 19:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x62f541…
05-28 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x116658…
05-28 19:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x9c8004…
05-28 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x4b46ea…
05-28 19:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa4f63c…
05-28 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x5b328f…
05-28 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0x99fcf5…
05-28 19:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa62ccb…
05-28 19:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xf3b51e…
05-28 19:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xce3aa0…
05-26 14:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0xcca8d6…
05-26 14:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x49c4e2…
05-26 14:15:49	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1dc380…
05-26 14:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1fd949…
05-24 23:42:07	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0x5ee767…
05-24 22:56:37	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x8de2e0…
05-24 22:46:40	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x64ab18…
05-24 22:44:06	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xbfff7f…
05-24 22:41:25	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xacc494…
05-24 22:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x80772f…
05-24 22:39:58	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc5573c…
05-24 22:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xf20ce6…
05-24 22:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x0eee3c…
05-24 22:21:35	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xb1762e…
05-24 22:17:16	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x66767c…
05-24 22:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4a7146…
05-24 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x185e94…
05-24 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xfdeb37…
05-24 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x3def6e…
05-24 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0xf3058a…
05-24 21:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0x4e18a3…
05-24 21:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x45a921…
05-24 21:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x4aad7b…
05-24 21:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdbd3bc…
05-24 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe12a20…
05-24 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x37e190…
05-24 21:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xbcfc8f…
05-24 21:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfb862f…
05-24 21:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x6aa533…
05-24 21:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe69e9f…
05-24 21:06:24	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xacc51b…
05-24 21:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xf41011…
05-24 21:02:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x996bed…
05-24 20:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0xe8f3e2…
05-24 20:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x89d5e2…
05-24 20:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x419c3e…
05-24 20:50:49	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x9844d6…