Gifted-Parade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

313

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-18 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

70% 34% +$272

Politics

20% 11% -$95

Pop-Culture

6% 8% -$243

Crypto

2% 50% +$36

Tech

1% 33% -$44

Sports

0% 0% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$700	363	363	+0	No	-$2	04-23 00:43
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	7	$656	150	650	-500	No	-$33	04-22 22:02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	14	$634	350	600	-250	No	-$13	04-24 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	13	$587	450	600	-150	No	-$6	04-22 11:46
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	21	$531	394	694	-300	No	-$52	04-23 19:00
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	2	$431	233	232	+1	Yes	+$32	04-22 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	10	$422	201	251	-50	No	-$3	04-29 05:13
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 us netflix movie this week 527	16	$418	440	242	+198	No	-$1	04-21 20:26
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	8	$403	600	600	+0	No	+$0	04-25 02:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	6	$398	400	400	+0	No	+$1	04-20 14:17
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	4	$395	366	366	+0	No	+$1	04-19 05:58
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	12	$394	400	400	+0	Yes	-$2	04-20 23:21
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	3	$393	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:57
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	5	$393	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 01:57
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	7	$383	241	200	+41	No	-$2	05-01 04:25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	5	$381	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 14:59
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$381	198	198	+0	No	+$0	04-22 14:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$379	194	194	+0	No	+$0	04-18 16:27
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	5	$375	212	212	+0	Yes	-$4	04-29 03:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$362	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 07:58
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	17	$333	227	251	-24	No	-$6	05-17 09:23
Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	13	$332	326	392	-67	Yes	-$1	04-26 16:06
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	13	$332	182	282	-100	Yes	+$85	04-23 18:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$316	163	163	+0	No	$0	04-18 13:18
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	15	$289	344	344	+0	Yes	-$1	04-20 10:59
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	7	$281	193	293	-100	No	-$4	05-06 08:09
will i just might bruno mars be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	5	$267	235	135	+100	No	-$1	04-20 16:58
ucl psv1 bay 2026 01 28 bay	2	$256	156	156	+0	Yes	+$56	01-28 23:49
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 85 and 90	13	$247	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 02:04
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	5	$244	150	200	-50	No	-$1	04-29 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:31:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc04326…
07-15 17:06:56	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbcb793…
07-11 15:29:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x465a6e…
07-11 15:29:29	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa2f4bb…
07-10 05:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x0970c2…
07-10 03:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x8e3ba2…
07-10 03:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x5f790b…
07-10 03:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x42bedf…
07-10 00:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x53980f…
07-10 00:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcded90…
07-09 23:16:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x46e948…
07-09 02:35:14	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x7a690b…
07-09 02:34:40	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x7899c5…
07-01 15:51:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb46322…
07-01 15:48:53	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x85e5dc…
06-29 16:58:38	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfcc571…
06-28 11:08:17	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x79fc60…
06-28 11:07:52	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8f7db0…
06-28 11:00:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x169bb3…
06-27 16:30:56	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3430e4…
06-27 08:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa541f9…
06-27 08:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x92788a…
06-27 05:53:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x0339bf…
06-27 05:53:04	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2ef7c8…
06-27 05:53:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x32503c…
06-27 04:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe3b3c5…
06-27 04:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0xe86fe0…
06-27 04:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x13512e…
06-27 04:40:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x17e58d…
06-27 04:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xc161cd…
06-27 04:12:11	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x8ae770…
06-27 02:06:44	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcccf71…
06-25 23:47:32	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x492e78…
06-23 15:45:08	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8b8d8d…
06-21 03:26:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7e8a79…
06-19 16:53:41	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6e267e…
06-19 16:53:28	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1f8ae8…
06-17 14:25:23	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc570f3…
06-17 05:39:53	Will Trent Holbrook be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xc1166d…
06-17 05:35:55	Will Trent Holbrook be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7958f9…
06-15 18:43:28	Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x65a910…
06-03 03:43:01	Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x0db597…
06-03 03:11:19	Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x04b6b6…
06-03 03:10:58	Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0x783323…
06-03 03:10:56	Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaf6020…
06-02 18:57:18	Will "Ladies First" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x69b6cb…
06-02 18:54:49	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x2d9107…
06-02 18:54:00	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa6911d…
06-02 12:32:23	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x98999d…
06-02 12:32:23	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8b0b01…
06-02 12:32:23	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x7f53f8…
06-02 12:32:23	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x266d69…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd82a65…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd6f3b0…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa21e71…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x8c882e…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x63f4b7…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x160405…
06-02 10:11:48	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x085656…
06-02 08:05:39	Will "Dead Man's Wire" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	288	0¢	$0	0xb526f5…
06-02 07:18:29	Will "Dead Man's Wire" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8dcb2f…
06-02 00:46:49	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf2b453…
06-01 19:52:12	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xda2f50…
06-01 19:45:22	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x6b2991…
06-01 19:11:27	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xf1a1f0…
06-01 19:06:45	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xbf6893…
06-01 18:36:43	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x812057…
06-01 18:07:29	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x1b324a…
06-01 17:47:22	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb833df…
06-01 17:36:43	Will "Dead Man's Wire" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfe20fc…
06-01 17:28:54	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2a140c…
06-01 16:57:07	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa08882…
06-01 16:04:49	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x774a59…
06-01 05:46:13	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x73e808…
06-01 03:54:06	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xe601ce…
06-01 03:01:41	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf73836…
06-01 02:17:30	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xccf198…
06-01 01:06:06	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf5ded6…
05-29 07:51:33	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x914097…
05-29 07:50:41	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x97583d…
05-27 16:53:51	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x7f01ce…
05-27 16:50:21	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe2deb6…
05-27 03:01:05	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf57e68…
05-27 02:59:30	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x632ea5…
05-27 02:34:29	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x9071d6…
05-27 02:33:05	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x84455a…
05-27 02:29:02	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf58350…
05-27 02:28:16	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc4f0d3…
05-27 02:28:09	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x89e636…
05-27 02:25:47	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x91532a…
05-27 02:21:44	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xec41a3…
05-27 02:20:46	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaac0f6…
05-27 02:20:41	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xb7bbc2…
05-27 02:20:10	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x35dea5…
05-27 02:19:28	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x200900…
05-27 02:17:37	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0x9dc362…
05-27 02:11:54	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0xe796e5…
05-26 05:50:43	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x36dc74…
05-26 05:48:47	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7ef9b1…
05-25 03:41:50	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	276	0¢	$0	0xe993c6…