Bouncy-Rib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$44

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-02 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

78% 100% +$20

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes		+40	$34	84¢	$34	$-0	07-02 21:03
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+30	$10	34¢	$10	$-0	07-02 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	9	$468	372	372	+0	open	—	04-18 14:41
spx up or down on april 2 2026	11	$451	274	274	+0	open	—	04-02 20:24
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	9	$194	149	149	+0	open	—	04-08 16:19
crude oil all time high by march 31	3	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 00:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$192	110	110	+0	open	—	03-29 20:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$190	99	99	+0	open	—	04-02 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$184	95	95	+0	open	—	05-25 17:11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	3	$172	92	92	+0	open	—	05-25 16:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	3	$136	78	78	+0	open	—	05-31 19:36
will nvda dip to 152 in march	3	$124	143	0	+143	open	—	03-22 20:46
Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	1	$112	120	0	+120	open	—	04-18 16:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$107	0	110	-110	open	—	05-31 07:39
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 15:50
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	3	$93	75	75	+0	open	—	06-02 17:37
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	3	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 14:22
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	1	$69	75	0	+75	open	—	05-30 16:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 21:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$65	75	0	+75	open	—	05-25 17:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$64	68	0	+68	open	—	05-27 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	1	$62	70	0	+70	Up	+$8	05-08 09:39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	05-25 17:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	04-18 16:26
xrp updown 15m 1768227300	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	01-12 14:29
will mu reach 1320 by june 29 2026	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	06-28 14:22
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	+$3	05-03 03:11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	5	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	05-06 14:04
btc updown 5m 1776527100	3	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	04-18 15:49
btc updown 15m 1767356100	3	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	01-02 12:29
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	07-02 21:06
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	07-02 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 21:07:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5 by july 31 20260629184429514	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdb5116…
07-02 21:06:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xe97c86…
07-02 21:03:31	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x927a37…
07-02 20:59:23	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x48116d…
06-28 14:22:40	will mu reach 1320 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x328c83…
06-28 14:22:26	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6d25d7…
06-18 17:48:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x454bdb…
06-02 17:37:23	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	75	34¢	$25	0x0dc5b9…
06-02 13:52:16	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe4be24…
06-02 13:47:48	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x9cb992…
06-01 19:10:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d13cc…
06-01 18:26:50	nvda close above 210 on june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a2489…
06-01 18:26:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x943fac…
05-31 19:47:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x52ddfb…
05-31 19:45:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x952a62…
05-31 19:45:07	tsla close above 450 on june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5e3a31…
05-31 19:44:55	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1c2e69…
05-31 19:42:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x28ec60…
05-31 19:38:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6f20a9…
05-31 19:38:39	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x64120e…
05-31 19:36:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	78	87¢	$68	0x8d8881…
05-31 07:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x0e8360…
05-31 07:41:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x501efe…
05-31 07:40:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x9622ed…
05-31 07:39:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6cc53b…
05-31 07:39:33	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x0cc5b3…
05-30 16:43:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$69	0xee0aab…
05-27 13:28:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x35ca6b…
05-25 17:15:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	65	88¢	$57	0x699bc0…
05-25 17:14:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x86337c…
05-25 17:12:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa4679e…
05-25 17:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x81192d…
05-25 17:10:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xeea40e…
05-25 16:57:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xc90788…
05-25 16:57:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xe93a8c…
05-14 21:18:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x15537d…
05-14 21:15:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xa774ec…
05-09 19:49:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xcc06db…
05-08 09:39:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0xfa4092…
05-07 16:32:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x77e911…
05-06 14:14:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xd1fc51…
05-06 14:04:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x8261d9…
05-06 14:04:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x397f49…
05-06 14:04:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6c330c…
05-06 14:04:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf0f7f6…
05-06 14:04:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4a0a05…
05-03 03:11:14	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x3c732e…
05-02 23:33:36	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfb307d…
05-02 11:05:58	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa642ed…
05-02 11:03:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4e6971…
05-01 15:50:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x5a871b…
05-01 15:50:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x5de1a8…
05-01 15:49:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	35	97¢	$33	0x6fb23c…
04-18 21:41:32	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt60	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x02b72f…
04-18 16:26:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x9c548b…
04-18 16:15:20	Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$112	0xf75930…
04-18 15:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776527100	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x66c4b0…
04-18 15:49:46	btc updown 5m 1776527100	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe383fa…
04-18 15:49:44	btc updown 5m 1776527100	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xfbfdd3…
04-18 14:41:42	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	229	76¢	$174	0x4f63b4…
04-18 14:34:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x7bbced…
04-18 14:25:28	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xfd7115…
04-18 14:25:22	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xb713cd…
04-18 12:56:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xb7affa…
04-18 10:55:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xa72d73…
04-18 10:52:46	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	76¢	$78	0x3e2244…
04-08 16:20:45	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	279	50¢	$140	0xf7f192…
04-08 16:20:07	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	93	49¢	$45	0x43aa28…
04-08 16:19:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0xfa3b61…
04-02 20:39:35	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x2bad51…
04-02 20:25:35	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0xe3db5f…
04-02 20:24:39	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x0eac4c…
04-02 19:57:15	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd67f9…
04-02 19:57:07	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5d851b…
04-02 19:57:01	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2bba00…
04-02 19:56:35	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xbf9d8a…
04-02 19:55:59	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x70a09f…
04-02 19:55:53	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x153438…
04-02 19:54:41	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8163cf…
04-02 19:54:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0xf85033…
04-02 19:54:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x0b7b36…
04-02 13:24:17	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x86f948…
04-02 13:23:15	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcd6384…
04-02 13:22:49	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x25966e…
04-02 13:21:33	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0xecf637…
04-02 13:20:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x90c4b5…
04-02 13:20:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x56582e…
04-02 13:20:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x012e84…
04-02 13:20:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd5b8f4…
03-29 20:23:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0xcde839…
03-29 20:20:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	110	85¢	$93	0x64e79c…
03-29 00:24:42	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x525628…
03-29 00:23:38	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf6a255…
03-27 13:56:31	will spx dip to 5600 in march	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9836c…
03-22 20:50:29	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x79df82…
03-22 20:48:23	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0xe48e71…
03-22 20:46:27	will nvda dip to 152 in march	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x3f2ac0…
03-22 20:44:37	will nvda dip to 152 in march	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x735a0c…
03-22 20:44:17	will nvda dip to 152 in march	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xfe2fc9…
03-22 20:42:35	will spx dip to 5700 in march	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x1059bf…