Favorable-Bun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$230

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$61.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 98% +$27

Sports

32% 100% +$203

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+11	$11	98¢	$11	$0	09-21 00:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5	2	$19.7K	20,347	20,347	+0	Under	+$203	09-20 14:16
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	9	$9.0K	4,551	4,551	+0	No	+$5	04-01 03:51
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	9	$4.5K	2,274	2,273	+1	Yes	+$4	04-02 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 58k march 23 29	7	$4.2K	2,089	2,089	+0	No	+$2	03-29 06:24
ethereum above 2400 on march 27	5	$1.5K	776	776	+0	No	+$1	03-26 12:06
xrp above 1pt9 on march 27	11	$1.3K	720	629	+91	No	+$1	03-26 08:33
xrp above 1pt7 on march 27	6	$1.1K	546	546	+0	No	+$1	03-26 20:58
solana above 50 on march 28	4	$865	453	412	+41	Yes	+$0	03-27 02:34
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 27	4	$859	430	430	+0	No	+$1	03-26 08:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 28	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$0	03-27 01:20
xrp above 1pt8 on march 27	8	$774	477	298	+179	No	+$1	03-26 14:04
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on march 27	4	$699	350	350	+0	No	+$0	03-26 11:38
solana above 60 on march 28	11	$647	325	325	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 08:02
solana above 120 on march 28	4	$647	479	170	+309	No	+$1	03-26 23:18
solana above 110 on march 28	3	$574	288	288	+0	No	+$1	03-27 06:27
ethereum above 1700 on march 27	4	$541	271	271	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 02:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	2	$509	255	255	+0	No	+$0	03-26 20:26
xrp above 1 on march 27	2	$499	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 08:33
xrp above 1pt1 on march 27	5	$496	248	248	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 22:12
xrp above 1pt1 on march 28	2	$416	208	208	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 09:30
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on march 27	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-26 15:19
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 27	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-26 19:12
Perle Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	5	$388	195	195	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 00:43
xrp above 1pt6 on march 26	2	$279	140	140	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:14
will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	3	$258	129	129	+0	No	+$0	03-29 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on april 24	3	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	04-23 10:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	3	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	04-22 13:13
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	2	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 19:21
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	2	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	04-19 00:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	2	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 00:52:02	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4f3e69…
09-20 19:09:50	Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0b8abe…
09-20 14:16:57	Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5	Over	SELL	20,347	49¢	$9,970	0xef7115…
09-20 14:16:07	Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	20,347	48¢	$9,767	0x66699b…
09-20 08:54:00	Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d03e8…
06-16 22:59:55	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 18?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x975128…
06-16 08:24:42	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 18?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe19e16…
06-10 15:25:39	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x325905…
06-10 07:23:06	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xfbda3f…
06-08 17:10:34	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x814e99…
05-26 19:57:37	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x3dc96e…
05-26 18:53:05	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xb3c7d2…
05-14 04:15:07	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 15?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x21b0ef…
05-14 00:59:03	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 15?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x45dd8e…
05-14 00:58:32	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 15?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x9f3d48…
05-10 06:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x334ccf…
05-10 06:46:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6f83a7…
05-10 06:46:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x220b6c…
05-09 23:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x35b37b…
05-09 06:30:11	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 9?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x59e0dd…
05-09 06:28:54	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 9?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x61e405…
05-09 06:25:05	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 9?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0bf795…
05-09 03:26:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 9?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x7b27ad…
05-08 07:04:52	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x3124a9…
05-08 00:06:28	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x17a197…
05-07 06:06:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x031479…
05-07 06:06:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe64552…
05-06 23:53:53	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x87067a…
05-04 20:14:50	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 6?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$96	0x01561f…
05-04 18:43:08	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 6?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0xdf40c3…
05-04 02:09:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x1f0abe…
05-03 21:57:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfefc63…
05-03 21:46:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x6a2141…
05-03 20:48:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x75dcf2…
05-03 20:11:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0b3426…
05-03 18:52:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd77d20…
05-03 18:48:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x517e5c…
05-03 18:40:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xef99b8…
05-03 18:32:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x19ce9b…
05-02 20:31:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x1b7450…
05-01 22:14:52	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 1?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbfbf63…
05-01 06:30:16	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xd69448…
04-30 21:43:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd105dc…
04-30 00:42:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x498223…
04-30 00:42:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x401035…
04-30 00:42:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x83bc78…
04-30 00:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb1030d…
04-30 00:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf7c1bb…
04-30 00:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3dbb60…
04-30 00:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xab6a80…
04-30 00:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1bb066…
04-30 00:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf8d3e8…
04-30 00:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd39407…
04-30 00:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x28300f…
04-30 00:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1f211b…
04-30 00:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfe3c25…
04-30 00:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfbaf42…
04-30 00:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb398fa…
04-30 00:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x660d3b…
04-29 21:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x1bd994…
04-29 07:08:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xceb8fb…
04-29 06:54:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0x1d6ee2…
04-29 03:05:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9fd9a7…
04-29 03:04:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x49afde…
04-28 06:43:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xda80ab…
04-27 09:52:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa6b5fd…
04-26 18:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x2464de…
04-26 01:51:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xd5c73a…
04-26 01:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb33f04…
04-25 17:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9c0dec…
04-25 06:51:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xcb268a…
04-25 05:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x09ba59…
04-24 08:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0x0d0084…
04-24 01:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x930f40…
04-23 10:52:46	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on april 24	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4ec4c6…
04-23 07:57:58	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on april 24	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x807a88…
04-22 21:50:56	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x0d6e22…
04-22 13:13:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa062cb…
04-22 03:49:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xefcd79…
04-22 02:41:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xf93ef2…
04-21 19:21:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x8ec6c3…
04-21 18:33:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0x841378…
04-19 00:41:12	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0xe07dc6…
04-18 21:36:44	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x85775d…
04-18 07:06:32	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x65d605…
04-17 01:18:40	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x8faf40…
04-16 02:25:36	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x47a14b…
04-15 20:30:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xfd71d7…
04-15 14:35:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 16	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xf15008…
04-15 00:37:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 16	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xdd6cad…
04-14 21:22:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xb49e4b…
04-14 20:44:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf20d49…
04-14 19:24:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x05ed35…
04-14 16:52:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x659b72…
04-14 15:47:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x7a73bd…
04-13 10:39:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf6b372…
04-13 01:18:29	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xd09141…
04-12 21:56:37	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x31bc23…
04-12 15:03:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 13	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x65756f…
04-12 11:13:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 13	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x7a00a9…